Search found 100 matches

by PaulEInHouston
Fri Jul 05, 2013 1:25 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July - Hot & Muggy To End The Month
Replies: 460
Views: 234536

Re: July - Increasing Rain Chances/Tropical Wave

Shear.jpg AreaInterest.jpg Interesting to note that the shear tendency is decreasing. Strong W and W/SW winds of 20-30 are still around, but hinting at relaxing as potential system continues in a generally N/NW direction. RBG and hi-res GOES satellite shows the low nicely. EDIT...the dashed lines i...
by PaulEInHouston
Wed Jul 03, 2013 6:50 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July - Hot & Muggy To End The Month
Replies: 460
Views: 234536

Re: July - 4th Thoughts/Watching the Tropics?

trop1.jpg Trop.jpg Areas of interest in my opinion that bear watching this upcoming weekend! GFS (still running it appears) is trying to latch on to a closing system in BOC and, like some of the NCEP track ensembles, brings it generally N towards the Middle Texas coast. Mexico radar is depicting an...
by PaulEInHouston
Thu Dec 20, 2012 7:10 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December-Wet/Stormy New Years Eve Ahead
Replies: 760
Views: 334301

Re: December-Light Freeze Friday/Christmas Storm/Very Cold?

Had a strong gusty cell associated with fropa here in League City at 3:00 and station recorded a record high wind gust of 50.1 mph at 3:01 with a record high average sustained speed of 34.4 mph. Gotta love it...some of my lawn furniture is now in the bottom of the pool, and I thought I had it secure...
by PaulEInHouston
Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:48 pm
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Tropical Depression Isaac:
Replies: 1413
Views: 689091

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Passing South Of Key West

What concerns me is with Isaac weakening and becoming disorganized he will wander around the Guld and be even harder to forecast. I went through Ike and really hope to not have to go through another hurricane...I honestly could not start over again. Isaac has done nothing so far but try to organize...
by PaulEInHouston
Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:19 pm
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Tropical Depression Isaac:
Replies: 1413
Views: 689091

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Passing South Of Key West

Question for Jeff: Do you think that *if* we have a scenario where this thing actually heads towards the TX coast we will still be looking at a Wed/Thu landfall or sometime later? Or is it still too early to tell? Not sure what to make of it, but wunderground has an 80% chance of thunderstorms on T...
by PaulEInHouston
Fri Mar 09, 2012 4:26 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March: Warm Days To End The Month With Isolated Showers
Replies: 437
Views: 199776

Re: March 8th-11th: Significant Heavy Rainfall/Flooding Even

Just had some small dime size hail League City
by PaulEInHouston
Fri Mar 09, 2012 4:12 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March: Warm Days To End The Month With Isolated Showers
Replies: 437
Views: 199776

Re: March 8th-11th: Significant Heavy Rainfall/Flooding Even

srainhoutx wrote:Near 1.75 inches of rain in the past 45 minutes at my location.
Where located? That's a Texas size dumping!
by PaulEInHouston
Fri Mar 09, 2012 3:53 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March: Warm Days To End The Month With Isolated Showers
Replies: 437
Views: 199776

Re: March 8th-11th: Significant Heavy Rainfall/Flooding Even

Definite shortwave impulse approaching from W/SW area as storm increasing in coverage and strength. Radar indicated hail poss to .5" diam in cell to N/NE of Katy http://wx.apxsolutionsinc.com/wxradarbaseref.php . Gusty winds here in League City to 25 mph. It also appears a previously mentioned ...
by PaulEInHouston
Sun Feb 12, 2012 6:12 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February: Calm Weather To End The Month
Replies: 667
Views: 292119

Re: February: Wintry Mix Tonight/Severe WX Possible Monday 2

Sleet/graupel mix here in League city. I've been watching my radar and it seems that if returns are showing in .5 degree Base Reflectivity and also above at 1.4 and 2.5, indicates precip making it to the ground...just my 2 cents. Based on that, I'd bet you see some precip in SW Houston in next, say,...
by PaulEInHouston
Wed Jan 25, 2012 11:41 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January: Increasing Clouds/Rain & Warmer To End Month
Replies: 1330
Views: 583759

Re: January: Tornado Watch/ Slight Risk/ 1/25 With Heavy Ra

Suspect cell/rotation near just W of Bonnie and South of Arcola....
by PaulEInHouston
Wed Jan 25, 2012 11:25 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January: Increasing Clouds/Rain & Warmer To End Month
Replies: 1330
Views: 583759

Re: January: Tornado Watch/ Slight Risk/ 1/25 With Heavy Ra

GRLevel 3 radar via my website is showing storm total rains of over 5 inches West and North of Katy and NW Harris County. Gusty winds down here in League City with just sprinkles, but it's on the way.

http://wx.apxsolutionsinc.com/wxradarbaseref.php
by PaulEInHouston
Tue Jan 24, 2012 7:16 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January: Increasing Clouds/Rain & Warmer To End Month
Replies: 1330
Views: 583759

Re: January: Slight Risk Severe Storms 1/24-25 / With Heavy

Srain, have been watching the ULL over last 12 hours and it appears to be slowing any Eastward progression at this time and diving due South just North of ELP. Large influx of moisture over the Big Bend area with dry slot/dry line very visible approaching C/Tex area. Wondering if ridging previously ...
by PaulEInHouston
Thu Sep 29, 2011 6:35 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September Weather Discussion: this year's Autumn in Texas?
Replies: 202
Views: 118775

Re: September Weather Discussion: this year's Autumn in Texa

Here's hoping some of the lingering boundaries and outflow channels from this mornings storms to our East and S/E linger around and provide some focus for shower and thunderstorm development as it heats up later today. WV suggesting an impulse or two to our W/SW in Big Bend area in Westerly flow to ...
by PaulEInHouston
Tue Sep 13, 2011 8:09 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: 2011 ATL Hurricane Season: Coming to an End
Replies: 477
Views: 213281

Re: 2011 ATL Hurricane Season: Watching The Gulf & Caribbean

As svrwx0503 and Paul were posting, there are some indications of a pretty decent trough and strong ridge forming over the east CONUS. The models do indicate the pressures may lower over the Atlantic and Carribean but at this point no organization is showing up in the models. I am more excited with...
by PaulEInHouston
Tue Sep 13, 2011 8:03 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September Weather Discussion: this year's Autumn in Texas?
Replies: 202
Views: 118775

Re: September Weather Discussion.

Models still showing the same this morning it appears, even the ensembles. Looks like first chance of rain would come late this week or over the weekend with SE flow returning and mainly sea breeze/outflow driven convection, assuming the cap erodes enough. Progs still advertise a cold front middle n...
by PaulEInHouston
Mon Sep 12, 2011 6:46 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: 2011 ATL Hurricane Season: Coming to an End
Replies: 477
Views: 213281

Re: 2011 ATL Hurricane Season: Watching The Gulf & Caribbean

This mornings GFS and ECMWF runs are rather consistent on shifting/building a large ridge to the Eastern CONUS and offshore to Western Atlantic. Models also show the death ridge flattening out over the 4 corners towards weeks end as well as hint at lowering pressures in the Carribean/GOM. May be an ...
by PaulEInHouston
Tue Aug 30, 2011 6:39 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Extratropical Depression Lee: Inland N Gulf States
Replies: 515
Views: 286976

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Well, for 2 days now GFS has picked up on 1, if not 2 areas that may develop. At one point there were 2 lows in the GOM at the same time. Looks like the models though are coming better into agreement of something forming, be it in GOM or from Carib influence. Image suggesting whatever develops could...
by PaulEInHouston
Sun Aug 28, 2011 8:12 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August Weather Discussion
Replies: 199
Views: 110077

Re: August Weather Discussion

Had 105.9 yesterday. With no high clouds like were present yesterday morning, I think we will break records today again...as for Monday, prob few degrees cooler area-wide, but still in triple digits.
by PaulEInHouston
Sun Aug 28, 2011 8:04 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Extratropical Depression Lee: Inland N Gulf States
Replies: 515
Views: 286976

Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

wxman, correct me if I'm wrong, but the death ridge is progged to weaken and move East/NE towards TN valley, correct? I've seen some say move West but don't think that's the case. East would open up the GOM, especially TX coast for tropical moisture and associated with a weakness along the lower/mid...
by PaulEInHouston
Sun Aug 28, 2011 7:49 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Katia: N Of The Leeward Islands
Replies: 17
Views: 11107

Re: 92L SE of the Cape Verde Islands

50/50 on going fishing :D like Jose