August 2026

[DoctorMu]

"Rain Turtles" anyone? How about just a good old fashioned "Rain Dance"? Every day I keep reminding myself: one day closer to the end of August. The older I get, the longer it seems for summer to end.

It's not just you. We need a rain rally cap!

[Pas_Bon]

GFS keeps trying to weaken and shift our heat ridge off to the west in the day 9-10 window , has a pretty decent trough developing over the eastern US and diving S to SW, hopefully we see guidance start to show this outcome

If it were ANY other model, I'd start to think about the notion of possibly getting excited.

[spadilly]

Me mind on fire, Me soul on fire, feeling HOT, HOT, HOT!
Party people all around me feeling HOT, HOT, HOT!

[Stratton20]

12z Euro is pretty darn encouraging, first run in a while that show any rainfall of significance, definitely a wetter pattern in the 9-10 day window on that run, and Euro is the undisputed king when it comes to handeling upper air patterns

[Cromagnum]

Meh. When its 2-3 days out, I'll pay attention. September is effectively identical to August in the suck department.

[Cromagnum]

Awesome. Highs of 105+ predicted through this weekend and most of next week.

[tireman4]

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1

[Cpv17]

Awesome. Highs of 105+ predicted through this weekend and most of next week.

Mid to upper 90’s here through next week. Probably 10 degrees cooler than you.

[DoctorMu]

Awesome. Highs of 105+ predicted through this weekend and most of next week.

Mid to upper 90’s here through next week. Probably 10 degrees cooler than you.

102°F - 103°F all through the next 7 days in CLL. Slight chance of rain Friday and Saturday. Ha!


Euro AI - avert yer eyes and protect yer loins!

GFS AI (aka Godot) - teasing with a FROPA and rain

[Pas_Bon]

102° actual high temp in League City today. ^%#* this.

[Cromagnum]

No fall (which is expected).

No rain either.

[Cpv17]

No fall (which is expected).

No rain either.

Why are you posting a long range map that’s based off the CPC?

You’re posting literal trash to fit your pessimistic narrative.

[Stratton20]

its absolutely going to be wet down here across the fall despite what the CPC has put out, the STJ is going to be extremely vigorous across the deep south starting sometime in september and going all the way through next spring. The signal for wet weather in the fall down here is very strong in all the climatology models, and the signal gets even stronger going into winter. Its certainly not going to be dry down here, not at all

[Cpv17]

its absolutely going to be wet down here across the fall despite what the CPC has put out, the STJ is going to be extremely vigorous across the deep south starting sometime in september and going all the way through next spring. The signal for wet weather in the fall down here is very strong in all the climatology models, and the signal gets even stronger going into winter. Its certainly not going to be dry down here, not at all

I only look at the CPC for their 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks.

[captainbarbossa19]

its absolutely going to be wet down here across the fall despite what the CPC has put out, the STJ is going to be extremely vigorous across the deep south starting sometime in september and going all the way through next spring. The signal for wet weather in the fall down here is very strong in all the climatology models, and the signal gets even stronger going into winter. Its certainly not going to be dry down here, not at all

Given that this is a super event, I would definitely consult these precipitation extreme maps from NOAA. JAS (July, August, September) climatology for El Niños supports equal chances of wet or dry extremes. Note that once we get to SON (September, October, November) our odds for above-average precip increases dramatically.

[DoctorMu]

its absolutely going to be wet down here across the fall despite what the CPC has put out, the STJ is going to be extremely vigorous across the deep south starting sometime in september and going all the way through next spring. The signal for wet weather in the fall down here is very strong in all the climatology models, and the signal gets even stronger going into winter. Its certainly not going to be dry down here, not at all

I only look at the CPC for their 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks.

And they've been trash this year, too.

All models and Ensembles have ridging through Labor Day.

104°F in Bryan. 102°F high at the airport. 105°F high IMFY.

I used to look forward to this time of year when the sun angle became lower and temps cooled off a few degrees...and the rain started.

No dice now..."but at least it's not 2023."

[Cromagnum]

No fall (which is expected).

No rain either.

Why are you posting a long range map that’s based off the CPC?

You’re posting literal trash to fit your pessimistic narrative.

Our local mets posted it. Feel free to trash them too!