June 2026
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Stratton20
- Posts: 5817
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Noaa 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks call for a return to an active pattern down here
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Pas_Bon
- Posts: 949
- Joined: Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:58 am
- Location: League City, TX
- Contact:
We need to ban high pressure from May - October, with exceptions for hurricanes in the Gulf.
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DoctorMu
- Posts: 8023
- Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
- Location: College Station
- Contact:
Keep the ridges out at sea.
Interesting - the Euro and GFA AI 12Z iterations are picking up on the Easterlies disturbances and QPF under the high better than the canonical model and Ensembles. I approve the AI geek message for now.
I buy nothing the WPC is selling either way. They've been atrocious.
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DoctorMu
- Posts: 8023
- Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
- Location: College Station
- Contact:
Probably will not reach us, but the NW flow aloft has some perks - lower DP and ironically better chance of a high side runaway cell.
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Ptarmigan
- Statistical Specialist
- Posts: 4520
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
- Contact:
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tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 7126
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
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DoctorMu
- Posts: 8023
- Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
- Location: College Station
- Contact:
The models have adjusted the high pressure next week a little east over TN so that the seabreeze Jul 1-3 comes ashore east of I-45. This easterlies setup could change again, so stay tuned.
Post July 4th, we could be back to a NW flow aloft.
Post July 4th, we could be back to a NW flow aloft.
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jasons2k
- Posts: 6193
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
- Location: Imperial Oaks
- Contact:
Well, I’ll be getting reports from the relatives staying back at the house while we’re at the beach for awhile. The sprinklers will be on overdrive this week, then hopefully after the holiday, Texas gets into a wetter pattern while Florida maintains a typical summertime regime.
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DoctorMu
- Posts: 8023
- Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
- Location: College Station
- Contact:
Today's probably our last day of NW flow.
Beginning Monday, we're changing the script. It's an battle between an Eastern ridge (aka heat dome, aka temp. Death Ridge) and trough in the west. Texas is in the middle. Look for seasonable temps. However, there's just enough high pressure overhead to limit rainfall.
I'm still seeing some easterlie moisture and return flow under the eastern ridge where especially east of I-45 showers are possible.
If Jason is on the East Coast, he should expect no rain and temps in the mid to upper 90s (except on the beach). DC, Philly, NY should crack 100°F. It's rare when College Station is cooler than the East Coast so I'll sort of enjoy the schadenfreude.
July 4th weekend into the following week, the eastern ridge breaks down and potential disturbances and relatively unsettled weather (for summer) in SETX is possible..and slighly "cooler" temps (low 90s). Don't get too optimistic...but it could be worse. Next Sunday and Monday even have a chance of scattered showers.
Beginning Monday, we're changing the script. It's an battle between an Eastern ridge (aka heat dome, aka temp. Death Ridge) and trough in the west. Texas is in the middle. Look for seasonable temps. However, there's just enough high pressure overhead to limit rainfall.
I'm still seeing some easterlie moisture and return flow under the eastern ridge where especially east of I-45 showers are possible.
If Jason is on the East Coast, he should expect no rain and temps in the mid to upper 90s (except on the beach). DC, Philly, NY should crack 100°F. It's rare when College Station is cooler than the East Coast so I'll sort of enjoy the schadenfreude.
July 4th weekend into the following week, the eastern ridge breaks down and potential disturbances and relatively unsettled weather (for summer) in SETX is possible..and slighly "cooler" temps (low 90s). Don't get too optimistic...but it could be worse. Next Sunday and Monday even have a chance of scattered showers.