June 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Post Reply
Stratton20
Posts: 5817
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Noaa 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks call for a return to an active pattern down here
Pas_Bon
Posts: 949
Joined: Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:58 am
Location: League City, TX
Contact:

We need to ban high pressure from May - October, with exceptions for hurricanes in the Gulf.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8022
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Pas_Bon wrote: Thu Jun 25, 2026 2:43 pm We need to ban high pressure from May - October, with exceptions for hurricanes in the Gulf.
Keep the ridges out at sea.

Interesting - the Euro and GFA AI 12Z iterations are picking up on the Easterlies disturbances and QPF under the high better than the canonical model and Ensembles. I approve the AI geek message for now.

I buy nothing the WPC is selling either way. They've been atrocious.
Attachments
ec-aifs_apcpn_us_60-2.png
(113.85 KiB) Not downloaded yet
aigfs_apcpn_us_64.png
(118.69 KiB) Not downloaded yet
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8022
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Probably will not reach us, but the NW flow aloft has some perks - lower DP and ironically better chance of a high side runaway cell.

Image
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4520
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Pas_Bon wrote: Thu Jun 25, 2026 2:43 pm We need to ban high pressure from May - October, with exceptions for hurricanes in the Gulf.
I am with you on that. 8-)
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 7126
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8022
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

The models have adjusted the high pressure next week a little east over TN so that the seabreeze Jul 1-3 comes ashore east of I-45. This easterlies setup could change again, so stay tuned.

Post July 4th, we could be back to a NW flow aloft.
Post Reply
  • Information