April 2025

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 you’re gonna love the 18z GFS for next week haha

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 you’re gonna love the 18z GFS for next week haha

Yeah, it’s better, but there will be a lot more rain further N into N Texas and Oklahoma than what it’s showing. Definitely gotta stick with the ensembles.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17, its going to depend on where the cut off low sets up shop in texas and where disturbances that ride around that low eject and set up, the Euro/ GFS runs have the low in a good spot that it produces widespread heavy thunderstorms over se texas, i think we will have many chances to see rain next week because that cut off low looks like its going to almost stall out for 4-5 days in west texas due to strong ridging over the SE US

[DoctorMu]

I spy...an outflow boundary on the radar heading this way. That robust line will probably be a bust at our doorstep. Just a few miles away from more liquid gold.

[Stratton20]

WPC outlook is looking better for se texas, now has most of se texas getting 2-4 inches next week

[jasons2k]

I spy...an outflow boundary on the radar heading this way. That robust line will probably be a bust at our doorstep. Just a few miles away from more liquid gold.

Rained up there but it waited until getting right on my doorstep to go poof.

Before bedtime - watched KPRC 10:00 news and their model showed solid rain here from 1-6am and all across Houston…well that busted….

Back to

[jasons2k]

WPC outlook is looking better for se texas, now has most of se texas getting 2-4 inches next week

Well it was supposed to pour here overnight and the whole thing went poof.

WPC seems to overdo it 9/10 times lately….

I’ll believe it when I see it.

[Pas_Bon]

WPC outlook is looking better for se texas, now has most of se texas getting 2-4 inches next week

Well it was supposed to pour here overnight and the whole thing went poof.

WPC seems to overdo it 9/10 times lately….

I’ll believe it when I see it.

I know I posted this question last week and I got a couple informative replies stating why storms die down when they get toward the coast, but it's happening more often than not lately and I know why storms fizzle out, but my question is why it seems to be happening much more frequently lately down here in the coastal counties.
What, specifically, is the setup that is preventing areas S of Houston from getting this rain and why does it seem to be occurring so much lately?

[DoctorMu]

I spy...an outflow boundary on the radar heading this way. That robust line will probably be a bust at our doorstep. Just a few miles away from more liquid gold.

Rained up there but it waited until getting right on my doorstep to go poof.

Before bedtime - watched KPRC 10:00 news and their model showed solid rain here from 1-6am and all across Houston…well that busted….

Back to

I thought it was toast, but we got half an inch. Still, only 2.47 inches of rain for April.

We need a rainy May or summer will be more brutal than average, and average is pretty bad!

[Stratton20]

jasons2k to be fair only the hrrr had that line holding together over night, i think their is a good bet youll be seeing rain on youre door step next week