April 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Stratton20
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Cpv17 you’re gonna love the 18z GFS for next week haha
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Apr 30, 2025 5:43 pm Cpv17 you’re gonna love the 18z GFS for next week haha
Yeah, it’s better, but there will be a lot more rain further N into N Texas and Oklahoma than what it’s showing. Definitely gotta stick with the ensembles.
Stratton20
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Cpv17, its going to depend on where the cut off low sets up shop in texas and where disturbances that ride around that low eject and set up, the Euro/ GFS runs have the low in a good spot that it produces widespread heavy thunderstorms over se texas, i think we will have many chances to see rain next week because that cut off low looks like its going to almost stall out for 4-5 days in west texas due to strong ridging over the SE US
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DoctorMu
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I spy...an outflow boundary on the radar heading this way. That robust line will probably be a bust at our doorstep. Just a few miles away from more liquid gold.
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Stratton20
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WPC outlook is looking better for se texas, now has most of se texas getting 2-4 inches next week
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jasons2k
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DoctorMu wrote: Wed Apr 30, 2025 9:54 pm I spy...an outflow boundary on the radar heading this way. That robust line will probably be a bust at our doorstep. Just a few miles away from more liquid gold.
Rained up there but it waited until getting right on my doorstep to go poof.

Before bedtime - watched KPRC 10:00 news and their model showed solid rain here from 1-6am and all across Houston…well that busted….

Back to 💤
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jasons2k
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu May 01, 2025 1:30 am WPC outlook is looking better for se texas, now has most of se texas getting 2-4 inches next week
Well it was supposed to pour here overnight and the whole thing went poof.

WPC seems to overdo it 9/10 times lately….

I’ll believe it when I see it.
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