Interesting disco this morning from HGX: THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST REMAINS INTRIGUING AS THE GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN ALL HINT AT A FRONT PUSHING INTO SE TX LATE MON THROUGH WED OF NEXT WEEK. THE ECMWF HAS A SECOND STRONGER FRONTAL PUSH NEXT WED/THU. SINCE THIS FRONT WILL MOST LIKELY HAVE A TOUGH TIME P...

djjordan wrote:I think TD 5's track by the NHC is right on. I do not see this track moving westward over time. As always with tropical systems it's always a good idea to keep an eye on it until it is well inland and dissipated.

Dr Neil Frank would say this over and over and over!!!

I know Wxdata knows this, but I am thinking the first cool front usually hits us the second or last week of September. Now, I could totally be wrong.....

I have to race ( ok, I am not sure race is the word as to striding...as long as I hydrate, I should be ok) in Humble August 28. I just know at 8 am it will be 80 degrees with 90 percent humidity. Sigh. LOL Please Fall get here.

BoonDog wrote:

Candy Cane wrote:Anybody else prefer winter over this mess?

Raises his hand

Hello...here too...check out my avatar...that should tell you how I feel. It was "oh my goodness" hot today with more to come.

Wow. Just wow. I love it.

Boy many posters on Storm2k are really buying into the "East east...going east scenario". The system is not in the Gulf and boy oh boy. It is always going to be a east vs. west war on that board. You can tell the people who think it is moving west and will hit the west gulf usually are re...

Boy many posters on Storm2k are really buying into the "East east...going east scenario". The system is not in the Gulf and boy oh boy.

But, I am an amateur, and this is unofficial, and nobody can sue Belo, or the EasternWx forum, or KHOU-TV 11, or Lucy Nolen, who is a babe but I can't say it or Mrs. Mahmoud might club me to death with a package of frozen chicken in my sleep. Amateur, unofficial, any rebroadcast, transmission or us...

But, I am an amateur, and this is unofficial, and nobody can sue Belo, or the EasternWx forum, or KHOU-TV 11, or Lucy Nolen, who is a babe but I can't say it or Mrs. Mahmoud might club me to death with a package of frozen chicken in my sleep. Amateur, unofficial, any rebroadcast, transmission or us...

And the 2:00 models flip flops it back to Louisiana......I wish it would make up it's mind.... Its not even in the GOM - we will see this time and time again. What you want to see is trend in model runs...the same location for 3-4 runs - then the models have a better idea. If not even in the GOM......

i think its time for people of southeast texas to start making preparations for a possible cat1 or 2 hurricane...just my opinion I agree, but I would still take a watch and see attitude. I think ( to quote Dan and Wxman57) we should just go over our hurricane preparedness lists and make sure everyth...

From Air Force Met on another channel. He is seriously busy right now as is Wxman57: TUTT's are always badly forecated by the models. One does better by simply observing it for a time and making their own forecast. I think it will back far enough away by Saturday to allow for some development....may...

Here we go.......this will be a roller coaster few days.

Meaning..always be prepared during the season or be prepared for something down the line?

Happy Birthday Lt. Dan!!!!

i am starting to think that the center of circulation is still over water :shock: :shock: Since this afternoon I've been watching the system using two radars (LIX & LCH.) The center is right on the coast moving west northwestward (which at that position is paralleling the coastline. Is this the...

Yeah, I am feeling it in my run. It was not so quite debilitating as before. I could actually breathe!!

Rain slowly tapering off across the region this evening. 00z RAOB from CRP shows a PW value of 3.0''! I do not remember ever seeing precip water values that high before. LCH is currently sitting at a dry 2.44' This is just killing my running. I mean just taking my miles to the woodshed. Please Mr Ra...

This is one pro met's list of his favorite models ( I am almost positive he posts here too..) Txagwxman: I think the reason why, is because so many people post models out there that shouldn't be even posted. Over the long haul my model choices are: 1) ECMWF 2) UKMET 3) GFS/GFDL 4) HWRF--but new vers...