January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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CRASHWX
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Hardin county 34 degrees forecast 31 gonna bust
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Cpv17
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CRASHWX wrote: Sun Jan 20, 2019 7:54 pm Hardin county 34 degrees forecast 31 gonna bust
Cold air advection has passed well to our east now. Return flow will be coming soon off the Gulf. Expect dew points to start rising, especially overnight. That should save many areas from freezing tonight.
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CRASHWX
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 20, 2019 7:59 pm
CRASHWX wrote: Sun Jan 20, 2019 7:54 pm Hardin county 34 degrees forecast 31 gonna bust
Cold air advection has passed well to our east now. Return flow will be coming soon off the Gulf. Expect dew points to start rising, especially overnight. That should save many areas from freezing tonight.
GOOD POINT
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srainhoutx
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Light frost across NW Harris County this morning. Temperatures should warm the next 2 days as an onshore flow develops ahead of the next front expected late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Profiles do not support any wintry mischief with the pre and post frontal light rain at this time.

Freezing temperatures are again expected early Thursday and possibly early Friday morning mainly N of the 59/69 Corridor. Another front is penciled in for the Weekend.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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stormlover
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Fv3gfs is still snowing some wintry preceip
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CRASHWX
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stormlover
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It’s been snowing this for 3-4 days now so who knows
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don
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FWIW a majority of the GFS ensembles also show a changeover to snow as far south as the Houston metro area.
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CRASHWX
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Well have to see an air column profile to believe
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CRASHWX
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I am not sure where to retrieve that info or exactly how to read...STRUGGLES LOL
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srainhoutx
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If you are looking for weather potentially cold enough to offer wintry mischief, look at the weekend into next week IF we have any moisture to work with. Behind the early Wednesday front, it certainly looks as if we will remain below climatologically normal for a while.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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stormlover
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Srain what do u make of the fv3 gfs run ?
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srainhoutx wrote: Mon Jan 21, 2019 8:50 am If you are looking for weather potentially cold enough to offer wintry mischief, look at the weekend into next week IF we have any moisture to work with. Behind the early Wednesday front, it certainly looks as if we will remain below climatologically normal for a while.
Im certainly watching early to mid next week.

EURO has been hinting at a potential winter storm in Eastern and northern Texas. CMC just showed a major winter storm next Tuesday and Wednesday
redneckweather
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I would like to hear what this Wxman fella has to say about the upcoming pattern gong into February. He seems to get it as far as the lack on wintry weather we have down here in Southeast, Texas. The stars have to perfectly align for this type of magic to happen. With that said, It is very rare.

How many measurable 2+ Inch snowfalls have been recorded in the Houston area over the past 100 years?
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redneckweather wrote: Mon Jan 21, 2019 11:19 am I would like to hear what this Wxman fella has to say about the upcoming pattern gong into February. He seems to get it as far as the lack on wintry weather we have down here in Southeast, Texas. The stars have to perfectly align for this type of magic to happen. With that said, It is very rare.

How many measurable 2+ Inch snowfalls have been recorded in the Houston area over the past 100 years?
I believe 5 in the past 100 years.
BlueJay
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We watched the total lunar eclipse last night. It was really cold but the sky was clear and the wind was tame. What a great night time show!

Happy MLK day!
Cpv17
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3 runs of the Euro in a row now have shown great potential. Can we make 4 in a row here shortly? Fingers crossed!
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CRASHWX
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WEEKLIES...
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Cpv17
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Ummm :o

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Kingwood36
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Jan 21, 2019 12:55 pm Ummm :o

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Beautiful! But will it happen tho? Been a pretty boring winter so far
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