September 2019 - Warm End of September

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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stormlover wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 10:51 pm https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 91800&fh=1


Man oh man
That is my concern. Too many folks (not on this board) sleeping on this storm.
stormlover
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DoctorMu wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 10:53 pm
stormlover wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 10:51 pm https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 91800&fh=1


Man oh man
That is my concern. Too many folks (not on this board) sleeping on this storm.
Every model run tonight is showing this hrr, rgem, nam, icon
sau27
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The circulation we had been focusing on all evening appears to have almost devolved into a small meso vortex around what is now a broader circulation right over the loop.
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Rip76
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Not sleeping for sure.
4 hours of straight rain here in Friendswood.
Kingwood36
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Looks like all the rain is lifting out of the area
Tx2005
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stormlover wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 10:55 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 10:53 pm
stormlover wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 10:51 pm https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 91800&fh=1


Man oh man
That is my concern. Too many folks (not on this board) sleeping on this storm.
Every model run tonight is showing this hrr, rgem, nam, icon
Can anybody explain what these models are showing?
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Rip76
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Reds coming back into radar.
stormlover
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Kingwood36 wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 11:10 pm Looks like all the rain is lifting out of the area
It’s not going anywhere
tsb2107
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Weird...all recent models are still showing high rain totals but the storm appears to be weakening as it moves north. What am I missing here?
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jasons2k
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Yeah the old LLC rotated south toward Richmond/Rosenberg and a more broad center has become dominant, now drifting north towards Jersey Village. It will be an eventful overnight but I need sleep - have an 8:15 presentation at the office. Goodnight everyone and stay safe!! Could be a long couple of days ahead. It’s not over ‘till it’s over!
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Rip76
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Man I would like to know the rain totals here in Friendswood, just from 8pm.
Cromagnum
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For those wondering if it's all quiet, just wait. Things are supposed to get cooking again pretty strongly in the morning, especially once the we get closer to dmax.
LylaB
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Cromagnum wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 11:35 pm For those wondering if it's all quiet, just wait. Things are supposed to get cooking again pretty strongly in the morning, especially once the we get closer to dmax.
What is the dmax? I've heard y'all mention it but not sure. Things are quiet in the Hockley area. Not sure if we will see the heavy rainfall totals it seems.
Cromagnum
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LylaB wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 11:48 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 11:35 pm For those wondering if it's all quiet, just wait. Things are supposed to get cooking again pretty strongly in the morning, especially once the we get closer to dmax.
What is the dmax? I've heard y'all mention it but not sure. Things are quiet in the Hockley area. Not sure if we will see the heavy rainfall totals it seems.
Diurnal max. I'm not the best to explain it, but deals with atmospheric warming and cooling.

We are at 4 inches and counting in Rosharon. Have friends in Alvin-Friendswood area with close to 8
LylaB
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Cromagnum wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 11:50 pm
LylaB wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 11:48 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 11:35 pm For those wondering if it's all quiet, just wait. Things are supposed to get cooking again pretty strongly in the morning, especially once the we get closer to dmax.
What is the dmax? I've heard y'all mention it but not sure. Things are quiet in the Hockley area. Not sure if we will see the heavy rainfall totals it seems.
Diurnal max. I'm not the best to explain it, but deals with atmospheric warming and cooling.

We are at 4 inches and counting in Rosharon. Have friends in Alvin-Friendswood area with close to 8
Thank you. Stay safe!
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Rip76
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Has to be close to 8 or more.
And looks like a small stall again.
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Belmer
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Rip76 wrote: Tue Sep 17, 2019 11:53 pm Has to be close to 8 or more.
And looks like a small stall again.
Harris County Flood Warning System: https://preview.harriscountyfws.org

Interactive map you can zoom into your neighborhood. Looks like Friendswood has picked up between 6-7 inches. Turkey Creek nearing 8 inches.
Blake
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Rip76
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Thank you. Looks like I’m right about 7 and some change.
Scott747
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Very intense rainfall rates popping down by Sargent and towards Freeport.
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