January 2019 - Active Progressive WX Pattern Ahead

[Cpv17]

Ummm

Beautiful! But will it happen tho? Been a pretty boring winter so far

I agree! Very boring. 4 runs in a row now though. Decent consistency so far, but long ways to go.

[Cpv17]

The Euro is dropping the Artic hammer on Texas at day 8.

[cperk]

How do i determine the temps on that Euro run looking at that color shading.

[Cpv17]

How do i determine the temps on that Euro run looking at that color shading.

It’s depatrues from average. It’s very cold..it has sub freezing highs for most of southeast Texas for almost 2 days in a row.

[Cpv17]

The Euro has a freeze for most of the area for Thursday morning. We can probably bank more on that happening because that’s only a few days out. I wouldn’t put too much stock yet for next week. Too far out, but it shows temps near or below freezing for 2 days in a row.

[DoctorMu]

We watched the total lunar eclipse last night. It was really cold but the sky was clear and the wind was tame. What a great night time show!

Happy MLK day!

Crystal clear. The moon rose big and golden before the eclipse - very nice colors near totality.

[Cpv17]

CPC is on to the cold blast for next week. They’re still east biased imo though.

[CRASHWX]

72995ABD-9EDA-4060-A4E2-E1C33BBB31B2.png

[Kingwood36]

72995ABD-9EDA-4060-A4E2-E1C33BBB31B2.png

Where? It's not really that cold around here

[Cpv17]

12z Euro has a pretty significant rain event for Saturday, especially for the southwestern areas of the viewing area.

[don]

18z NAM came in colder for Wednesday with surface temps in the mid 30's in metro Houston with moisture,it looks like most of the models show an area of colder air at the surface where the precipitation falls the heaviest, it looks like the heavier precip is bringing some of the cold air down to the surface,that's probably the reason why the NAM, and some other models bring temps down as the precip picks up and cold air advection filters in . We could be looking at a localized wintry mix setup if the timing is right.If something frozen does fall it looks to be more of a rain/sleet mix event more than a snow event. Looking at the 18z NAM you can see the localized area of colder temps (34/35F) along the 59 corridor just something to watch.

[CRASHWX]

Well all depends on the column of air and that pesky warm nose that seems to like to hang out

[Cpv17]

Well all depends on the column of air and that pesky warm nose that seems to like to hang out

Honestly, I’d be satisfied just seeing a few sleet pellets from this event. The 28-31 time period has my attention. That period has big potential.

[CRASHWX]

I am watching that as well as first half of feb as a whole!

[don]

From the NWS discussion this afternoon.

One big question will be how long precipitation lingers into
Wednesday morning behind the front. We look to see a pretty decent
rush of colder air in behind the front, and if the front is early
enough for enough cooling...and the precip drags on long
enough...there`s a nonzero chance of seeing rain change over to
sleet or, more likely, flurries before coming to an end. Indeed,
some of my automated consistency tools sprinkled, isolated specks
of a tenth of an inch of snow accumulation in Houston County
(also see: WPC`s 1-5 percent chance of snow accumulation in the
same period). Right now, confidence is low enough that I opted to
tweak the forecast a bit so that snow no longer popped up. It will
be something to keep an eye on, though. I would expect that
impacts will be none to minimal at worst, so it would be mainly
conversational snow...and I`m not terribly interested in having
that conversation...just yet.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1

[stormlover]

Fvgvs 18z still showing wintry stuff for wed

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 12118&fh=6

[Kingwood36]

Fvgvs 18z still showing wintry stuff for wed

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 12118&fh=6

Yea buddy! What time would that start IF it did come true..I noticed Brooks mention the possibility of snow north of Houston on fb

[stormlover]

I mean this is only model showing this so who knows

[jasons2k]

The plants did just fine over the weekend. Looks like I will be covering again this week though...

[Ptarmigan]

I am watching that as well as first half of feb as a whole!

February has had freezes and winter weather. It also has the most snowfall.