MARCH 2018 - Pleasant Good Friday/Easter Weekend Ahead

[mckinne63]

We are heading to Louisiana from Stafford, TX this afternoon about 3pm. Will we be in front of the storms?

If you can leave earlier...I would. Storms are developing quickly across Fort Bend and Western Harris Counties. We expected storms to begin firing around 1:00 PM CDT and it appears they are right on que... Getting ahead of that I-10 mess eastbound as early as possible would my advise.

Thank you! Waiting on the hubby to get home. I was finishing up some work from the house, but I can shut down at any time. Will head out as soon as he gets here!

[tireman4]

Houston Pro-Am Suspended

[tireman4]

Flash Flood Warning

[DoctorMu]

Videos of waist-deep water in the BCS area.

Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Warning
TXC041-051-185-477-282100-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FF.W.0002.180328T1900Z-180328T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
200 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Southeastern Burleson County in southeastern Texas...
Western Grimes County in southeastern Texas...
Western Washington County in southeastern Texas...
Central Brazos County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 400 PM CDT.

* At 157 PM CDT, the public reported heavy rain across the warned
area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen. Flash flooding
is expected to begin shortly. The warned area has already received
locally one to three inches of rain over the past several hours.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
College Station, Bryan, Somerville, Snook, Burton, Lake Somerville
Dam, Kyle Field, Wellborn, Lyons and Quarry.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the
warned area within the next couple of hours.

LAT...LON 3020 9674 3024 9673 3025 9669 3029 9666
3030 9664 3030 9667 3032 9669 3032 9674
3049 9664 3076 9642 3057 9614 3011 9663
3013 9665 3015 9665 3015 9668 3016 9669
3015 9671 3014 9676 3016 9679

$$

[tireman4]

And adding to DoctorMu, more PSAs today...

[DoctorMu]

The heavy band is closing in on Cypress from the NW.

[srainhoutx]

03282018 mcd0079.gif

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0079
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
420 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2018

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST TX...WESTERN/NORTHERN
LA...FAR SOUTHEAST AR...WEST-CENTRAL MS

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY

VALID 282020Z - 290220Z

SUMMARY...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FROM STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WITH 2.5 INCH/HR RAINFALL RATES AND CONCERNS OF
TRAINING CELL ACTIVITY. FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY.

DISCUSSION...THE LATEST GOES-16 10.3 MICRON/IR IMAGERY SHOWS AN
EXPANSIVE AREA OF STRONG AND WELL-ORGANIZED COLD-TOPPED CONVECTION
WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED OVERSHOOTING TOPS THAT EXTENDS ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM NEAR VICTORIA TX...TO JASPER TX...TO
NATCHITOCHES LA.

THE CONVECTION IS BEING FACILITATED BY NOTABLY DIVERGENT FLOW
ALOFT COINCIDING WITH A PRONOUNCED POOLING OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE...SHEAR AND INSTABILITY ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND
WITH PROXIMITY TO AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. BLENDED-TPW AND
GPS-DERIVED PWATS ARE ON THE ORDER OF 1.7 TO 1.9 INCHES ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY...WITH MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING 1500 J/KG
AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 50 TO 55 KTS.

THIS WILL SUSTAIN A STRONG AND ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE THREAT WELL
INTO THE EVENING HOURS WITH A GRADUAL EAST AND SOUTHEAST SHIFT TO
THE CONVECTIVE AXIS THAT WILL THREATEN THE NORTHWEST SUBURBS OF
THE HOUSTON AND BEAUMONT/PORT-ARTHUR METROPOLITAN AREAS OF
SOUTHEAST TX...AND ALSO EXTENDING NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL LA WITH A
FOCUS ON THE NATCHITOCHES...FORT POLK AND ALEXANDRIA AREAS.

THIS IS ALL STRONGLY SUPPORTED BY THE 12Z CAM GUIDANCE...INCLUDING
THE ARW...ARW2...NMMB AND THE NAM-CONEST. RECENT HRRR RUNS SUPPORT
THIS AS WELL...BUT THE MAIN CONCERN MOVING FORWARD WILL BE AN
ENVIRONMENT BECOMING HIGHLY CONDUCIVE FOR TRAINING CONVECTION IN
THE HOURS AHEAD AS CONVECTION BECOMES STRONGLY ALIGNED SW/NE WITH
THE MEAN LAYER FLOW DOWNSTREAM OF AN UPPER TROUGH EJECTING OUT
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL BE COINCIDENT WITH A HIGHLY
CONFLUENT LOW LEVEL JET THAT WILL BE PEAKING NEAR 50 KTS AND
MAXIMIZING LOW LEVEL CLOUD-BEARING MOISTURE TRANSPORT.

GIVEN THE DEGREE OF DEEP MOISTURE AND FOCUSED
INSTABILITY...RAINFALL RATES WILL BE QUITE HIGH AND MAY EXCEED 2.5
INCHES/HR GOING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THIS COUPLED WITH TRAINING
CELL ACTIVITY WILL SUPPORT RAINFALL TOTALS OF AS MUCH 5+ INCHES
GOING THROUGH THE MID-EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
ENHANCED SHORT-TERM RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

ORRISON

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...JAN...LCH...LZK...MEG...SHV...

[Scott747]

We are heading to Louisiana from Stafford, TX this afternoon about 3pm. Will we be in front of the storms?

Taking the wife to the nugget for a little r&r and so far through Beaumont it has been smooth sailing.

Minor wreck as you get around Ford park (330 ish) but wasn't causing any slow down.

[Cromagnum]

It feels like a bowl of soup outside and winds are howling out of the south now. I have a feeling the south side of town is going to get it pretty bad later.

[srainhoutx]

Thought I would post this here since the Topic is active. Jeff and his family are in Orlando for the National Hurricane Conference and as you see, his heart and concern is here in Houston. He just received an Awesome Award and it is very well deserved for those of us that know and partner with Jeff and the Public that he has dedicated his life protecting. Well Done my friend!

Jeff Lindner‏Verified account @JeffLindner1 · 44m44 minutes ago
Honored to be nominated for the Outstanding Achievement Award by the National Hurricane Conference. This is for all those partnerships that worked so hard to provide life saving information during Harvey @NWSHouston @ReadyHarris @hcfcd @USGS @TxDOTHoustonPIO

[unome]

The heavy band is closing in on Cypress from the NW.

getting pretty dark here, need to turn on some lights

[unome]

Thought I would post this here since the Topic is active. Jeff and his family are in Orlando for the National Hurricane Conference and as you see, his heart and concern is here in Houston. He just received an Awesome Award and it is very well deserved for those of us that know and partner with Jeff and the Public that he has dedicated his life protecting. Well Done my friend!

Jeff Lindner‏Verified account @JeffLindner1 · 44m44 minutes ago
Honored to be nominated for the Outstanding Achievement Award by the National Hurricane Conference. This is for all those partnerships that worked so hard to provide life saving information during Harvey @NWSHouston @ReadyHarris @hcfcd @USGS @TxDOTHoustonPIO

that is awesome, so well deserved !

[jasons2k]

Temp has dropped 10 degrees here in the last hour, down to 64 with winds gusting from the north. Rain is getting heavier with some thunder.

[sau27]

Looks like there is some rotation just NW of Katy. Just got a T-storm warning on it.

[srainhoutx]

Pea sized hail in NW Harris County now

[Texaspirate11]

Thought I would post this here since the Topic is active. Jeff and his family are in Orlando for the National Hurricane Conference and as you see, his heart and concern is here in Houston. He just received an Awesome Award and it is very well deserved for those of us that know and partner with Jeff and the Public that he has dedicated his life protecting. Well Done my friend!

Jeff Lindner‏Verified account @JeffLindner1 · 44m44 minutes ago
Honored to be nominated for the Outstanding Achievement Award by the National Hurricane Conference. This is for all those partnerships that worked so hard to provide life saving information during Harvey @NWSHouston @ReadyHarris @hcfcd @USGS @TxDOTHoustonPIO

CONGRATULATIONS!

[tireman4]

The training worries me about these storms. This could be an interesting night in the Houston Metro area.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
530 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
North central Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 545 PM CDT.

* At 530 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Greater Greenspoint, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Northwestern Bush Intercontinental Airport around 540 PM CDT.

[unome]

that was a nice hard shower, just what we needed to clean the pollen away

https://www.harriscountyfws.org/

[davidiowx]

that was a nice hard shower, just what we needed to clean the pollen away

https://www.harriscountyfws.org/

Lucky you!! Here I am down in Richmond and nada.. guess I’ll have to water the lawn