JUNE 2016: Showers/Storms Possible

[srainhoutx]

Short fuse quantitative precipitation forecast suggest the best potential for heavier rainfall will occur over portions of SE Texas. Seeing new storms moving inland off the Gulf.

[djjordan]

Our friends in San Antonio are under the gun for the rest of the night with rapidly developing heavy T-storms that have the potential to put down very heavy rainfall in a short amount of time!!!!!



BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
205 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BEXAR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN COMAL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 700 AM CDT

* AT 200 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA COVERING
MUCH OF THE SAN ANTONIO METRO AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS
ALREADY FALLEN OVER WESTERN PARTS OF SAN ANTONIO...AND VERY
SATURATED SOILS WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING THAT WILL OCCUR MORE
QUICKLY THAN USUAL. SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
IMPACT THE SAN ANTONIO AREA THROUGH AT LEAST 330 AM CDT...AND
RAINFALL TOTAL COULD REACH 5 INCHES IN SOME AREAS IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. THIS TYPE OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY IMPACT SOME OF THE
LARGER URBAN STREAMS SUCH AS LEON CREEK...SAN ANTONIO
RIVER...CIBOLO CREEK AND SALADO CREEK WITH DANGEROUS FLOODING FOR
SEVERAL HOURS.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...UNIVERSAL CITY...SCHERTZ...CIBOLO...LIVE
OAK...LEON VALLEY...KIRBY...HELOTES...ALAMO HEIGHTS...SELMA...WINDCREST...
CANYON LAKE...TERRELL HILLS...BULVERDE...GARDEN RIDGE...HOLLYWOOD PARK...
SHAVANO PARK...LYTLE AND OLMOS PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS...AND UNDERPASSES
AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.

[srainhoutx]

Cloud tops beginning to cool with that MCS near and SW of San Antonio. Approaching upper low over Mexico suggests the San Antonio Area MCS will continue to build East toward SE Texas early this morning.

[srainhoutx]

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
312 AM EDT Thu Jun 02 2016

Valid 12Z Thu Jun 02 2016 - 12Z Sat Jun 04 2016

...Flash flooding possible across portions of the southern plains and
western Gulf Coast...

...Locally heavy rain possible across the North Carolina Outer Banks...

...Warm and dry conditions expected across much of the western U.S...

A slow-moving frontal boundary will continue to move across the southern
plains and lower Mississippi valley today, with scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms expected today and tonight. Heavy rainfall
amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible across portions of the southern
plains and western Gulf Coast, and flash flooding is possible. On Friday
the front will become stationary across Texas, keeping numerous showers
and thunderstorms in place from the eastern half of Texas to eastward to
the lower Mississippi valley through Saturday morning.

Farther north, a low pressure system will move from the northern Rockies
into the northern plains today. The system will be relatively starved for
moisture initially, thus only scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected. By tonight, however, the system will begin to draw in deeper
moisture as it moves from the northern plains into the Upper Midwest. An
area of more numerous showers and thunderstorms is forecast to develop
tonight into early Friday morning from eastern portions of the Dakotas
into Minnesota. This area will then move east across the Upper Midwest
during the day on Friday and into the Upper Great Lakes by Friday night.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Bonnie will continue to linger near the North
Carolina Outer Banks today before beginning to move a little more
appreciably to the northeast by tonight. This will keep a chance for
showers and thunderstorms in place across the Outer Banks through today,
and locally heavy rainfall is possible. The same system that will finally
help to move the remnants of Bonnie east will bring scattered areas of
showers and thunderstorms to much of the eastern U.S. today and Friday.

The majority of the western U.S. will remain dry through the next couple
days as high pressure remains in place. High pressure will also lead to
warm temperatures, and afternoon highs are forecast to be 10 to 15 degrees
above average across much of the West today. The one exception will be
portions of coastal Washington and Oregon, where a weakening Pacific front
will bring clouds and a few showers today -- these will diminish by
Friday, however. Temperatures will warm further by Friday, with some areas
approaching 20 degrees above average.


Ryan

[srainhoutx]

Getting very concerned for Castroville below Medima Dam. That area has seen continuing flooding as Lake Medima has overflowed the spillway the last 2 days. Remember that lake was virtually empty 3 days ago due to years of extended drought.

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
241 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

UVALDE TX-MEDINA TX-
241 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM CDT FOR
EASTERN UVALDE AND MEDINA COUNTIES...

AT 237 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS EASTERN UVALDE AND MUCH OF
MEDINA COUNTY. RADAR ESTIMATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN
JUST SOUTH OF THE MEDINA DAM AROUND MICO. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVER THIS AREA...AND A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD
WAVE IS EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH THE EMERGENCY SPILLWAY RELEASES AT
MEDINA DAM TO POTENTIALLY IMPACT PROPERTIES IN THE CASTROVILLE AREA
OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS. OTHER AREAS INSIDE THE WARNED AREA CAN
EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCH RAIN TOTALS OVER VERY SATURATED SOILS THROUGH 4
AM CDT.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HONDO...CASTROVILLE...SABINAL...LACOSTE...DUNLAY...D`HANIS...BADER...NOONAN...
NEW FOUNTAIN...QUIHI...CLIFF...RIO MEDINA AND MICO.

[djjordan]

San Antonio area continues to get hit hard overnight.


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
259 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BEXAR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
FRIO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
ATASCOSA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
SOUTHERN MEDINA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 700 AM CDT

* AT 257 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREAS OF SOUTHERN MEDINA
COUNTY...SOUTHERN BEXAR COUNTY...MUCH OF ATASCOSA COUNTY...AND ALL
OF FRIO COUNTY. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER
SOUTHERN FRIO COUNTY...AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD OVER THE AREA THROUGH 4 AM CDT. FLASH FLOODING IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...DEVINE...DILLEY...JOURDANTON...POTEET...
CHARLOTTE...CHRISTINE...CAMPBELLTON...MOORE...LYTLE...SOMERSET...
ELMENDORF...NATALIA...FRIO TOWN...GOLDFINCH...CALAVERAS LAKE...NORTH
PEARSALL...WEST PEARSALL AND YANCEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...FARMLAND...AND OTHER LOW LYING
SPOTS.

[srainhoutx]

,,^^

Those areas is where our old hunting lease is located. Again it appears the movement is generally to the East. Noticing new storms developing further E ahead of the complex. Will need to monitor the movement toward our area later this morning. The Texas Tech WRF has indicated that MCS will be our local weather maker later today.

[srainhoutx]

Radar trends and meso analysis suggest a developing area of divergence developing over SE Texas. Should see increasing showers and thunderstorms as Southerly and Southeasterly winds increase ahead of the thunderstorm complex to our West. The 00Z Euro continues to advertise a Coastal low organizes along the Middle and Upper Texas Coast Friday into Saturday.

[djjordan]

Development now in my neck of the woods with some heavy rain and Lightning and Thunder on the increase.

[srainhoutx]

Updated Excessive Rainfall Outlook for today just released places SE Texas in a Moderate Risk for Excessive Rainfall Today.

EASTERN TEXAS INTO WESTERN TO CENTRAL LOUISIANA

A FAIRLY BROAD SLIGHT AND MODERATE RISK AREA WAS MAINTAINED ON THE
UPCOMING DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...WITH A
SLIGHT EASTWARD SHIFT IN THE LIGHT AND MODERATE AXES...EXTENDING
THEM INTO CENTRAL TO WESTERN LOUISIANA...FROM THE PREVIOUS DAY 2
ISSUANCE. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL
EVOLUTION OF THE AREA OF HEIGHT FALLS PUSHING OUT OF NORTHERN
MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS DAY THIS PERIOD...WITH THESE
HEIGHT FALLS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS SLOWLY EASTWARD AND CLOSE OFF
ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
CONVECTION LIKELY TO REMAIN ACTIVE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM---WITH
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY TOTALS ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS
OF TX INTO CENTRAL TO WESTERN LA. THE HI RES ARW AND THE CMC GEM
WERE USED PRIMARILY FOR QPF DETAILS THIS PERIOD AS THEY SHOWED
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN EACH OTHER AND GOOD CONTINUITY WITH
THEIR PREVIOUS RUNS. VERIFICATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAS
SHOWN VERY POOR MODEL SKILL---LEADING TO LOW CONFIDENCE AGAIN
MOVING FORWARD WITH SOME OF THE SHORTER TERM FORECAST DETAILS.
THERE IS AGREEMENT---HOWEVER---THAT THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE MAX AHEAD
OF THIS SYSTEM AND THE FOCUS FOR THE MOST DEFINED LOW LEVEL FLOW
OFF THE WESTERN GULF WILL HELP CONCENTRATE HEAVIEST RAIN POTENTIAL
THURSDAY ALONG THE TX GULF COAST INTO SOUTHWEST LA. AT THE SAME
TIME---CAN NOT RULE OUT A SECOND MAX FORMING CLOSER TO THE MID TO
UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION FARTHER TO THE WEST OVER CENTRAL TO
NORTHEAST TX. TOWARD THE END OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING---THE FAVORED HI RES ARW AND CMC GEM BOTH SHOW POTENTIAL
FOR ANOTHER MID TO UPPER TX COASTAL AND SOUTHWEST LA PRECIP
MAX---TO THE SOUTHEAST OF ANY MAX CLOSER TO THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CENTER. WITH PW VALUES REMAINING WELL ABOVE AVERAGE AHEAD OF THIS
DEVELOPING CLOSED LOW---AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT WILL PERSIST
TO THE EAST OF THIS UPPER CENTER DAY 1. THE GREATEST RISK IS
DEPICTED IN THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL OUTLOOK ALONG THE MID
TO UPPER TX COAST INTO SOUTHWEST LA WHERE THERE MAY BE MORE THAN
ONE ROUND OF ORGANIZED SLOW MOVING CONVECTION.

[djjordan]

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0286
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
519 AM EDT THU JUN 02 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE

VALID 020918Z - 021518Z

SUMMARY...REDEVELOPING CONVECTION MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
AMOUNTS RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING...PARTICULARLY ACROSS AREAS
RECENTLY IMPACTED BY HEAVY RAINS.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS STARTED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA AS AMPLIFYING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF
A SHORTWAVE LIFTING ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS MOVES DEEPER MOISTURE
ACROSS A SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING ALONG THE UPPER TX COAST.
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE EARLY DAYLIGHT
HOURS...WITH THE 07 UTC RAP SHOWING PWS TO AROUND 2 INCHES BY 13
UTC. ALSO...MUCAPES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN 1000-2000 J/KG
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. MEANWHILE...LARGE SCALE LIFT AFFORDED
BY THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT THE
POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPING/TRAINING CELLS. HI-RES GUIDANCE
MEMBERS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 2-4 INCHES THROUGH
15 UTC...WITH 40 KM NEIGHBORHOOD PROBABILITIES FROM THE 00Z SSEO
MEAN INDICATING A 30-50 PERCENT OF 3-HOUR ACCUMULATIONS EXCEEDING
3 INCHES ACROSS A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA.
THESE AMOUNTS WOULD BE PROBLEMATIC...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS NORTH
OF HOUSTON -- AN AREA IMPACTED BY HEAVY AMOUNTS AND FLASH FLOODING
THE PREVIOUS EVENING. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE
BELOW A 0.25 INCH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA -- SUGGESTING ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL CAUSE RUNOFF CONCERNS.

PEREIRA

ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...LCH...SHV...

[djjordan]

Flood Advisory hoisted for the Beaumont area ......

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 630 AM CDT

* AT 427 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BEAUMONT...LUMBERTON AND SILSBEE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA.
THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL MAKE MINOR FLOODING.

[srainhoutx]

Heavy thunderstorms lining up across Harris County extending NW toward Waller Country. Showers and thunderstorms increasing over Washington County ahead of the advancing MCS inbound from our West. Please stay safe out there particularly during the morning commute. Streets will flood quickly with these heavier thunderstorms.

[unome]

SPC really ramps up the thunderstorm outlook as the day goes on

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/enhtstm/

[djjordan]

This mornings AFD from the NWS offers more of the same. Be safe everyone .... We will all get through this together!!!!

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
444 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
What can be said that hasn't already been communicated over these
past few days? We are entering into this latest high severe
weather event that will again likely produce another 2 to 4
inches of areawide rainfall...with localized amounts in excess of
8 inches...over the next 48 to 72 hours. The upper low over the
Trans Pecos region has transitioned to a broad open wave trough
whose positive tilted axis lays over the western half of the
state. A vigorous shortwave disturbance ejecting eastward from
this trough is initializing flood-producing convection over San
Antonio's forecast area this morning...and this wave will be
rotating across our CWA through the daylight hours. This most
likely scenario will be for this shortwave to trigger periods of
moderate to locally heavy precipitation from near sunrise through
early evening... clusters of thunderstorms will drop an average 1
to 3 inches of precipitation with localized amounts exceeding 6
inches. This...in short...will reaggravate the regions' flooding
woes both from a sheet/flash flooding and rising... swollen river
flood threat. The real secondary threat will be wind...it will
not take as much wind to topple trees within this very saturated
soil. Thunderstorm wet downbursts on the range of 30 to 40 kts
will bring trees down...strongest winds in excess of 45 knots may
produce residential and business damage. Can't rule out a brief
weak tornado forming along any bowed segment or line break but...
with this very tropical near 2" PWAT tropical air mass...early
day offshore waterspouts may be observed within nearshore convection
moving ashore.

The warm core mid-upper low sitting sitting over the forecast area
for a good day or so will eventually shear out over the weekend
(high confidence mention). As it does...lowering coastal pressures
Friday into Saturday will aid in enhancing lower level convergence
that may focus higher rainfall further south...this all dependent
on the location of the trough axis --> sets up along near a Highway
59 corridor then high rainfall occurs over the coastal counties
while if it sets up along or near parallel to the upper Texas coastline
then the high rainfall will occur where most want it...over the
Gulf. As the surface trough stretches out/low moves northeast...a
frontal boundary will travel over the CWA and veer winds northerly
early Sunday. This will be the beginning of the end of this early
June high rainfall event. Higher rain chances will linger along
the coast and points offshore Sunday before falling to below
mentionable early Monday. Slight chance POPs will only exist along
the sea breeze boundary Monday through Wednesday as the state falls
on the far eastern edge of a eastern Pacific/Baja region upper
ridge.

Rain and overcast will maintain relatively cooler temperatures of
near 10 degrees below normal afternoon maximums...muggy upper 70
to lower 80 maximums/upper 60 to middle 70 minimums through Saturday.
Once the bulk of the inclement weather clears early next
week...subsequent work week temperature readings will warm back
up into the mean upper 80s to lower 90s through the dry out
period. 31

&&

.MARINE...
Onshore flow has come back up in advance of storm complex currently
in cntl Tx. Will re-hoist the caution flags in the Gulf waters into
the early aftn hours. Anticipate this storm complex to move
into/impact the upper Tx coastal waters between now and that time as
well with locally higher/rough waters. Expect winds/seas to weaken a
bit late in the day, but repeat scenarios can be expected into the
weekend as a series of upper level disturbances move overhead and
produce periods of unsettled weather. May see a weak frontal
boundary approach the coast later this weekend, but there is still
considerable uncertainty in regards to timing. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
Look for increasing tstm coverage this morning...persisting into the
mid/late aftn hours. Favorable upper level pattern for locally
heavy/training cells. Will probably see somewhat a break in the
precip this evening...followed by regeneration overnight. As long
the the upper low remains to our west (which it should going into
the weekend) look for disturbances rotating around it to trigger
periods of unsettled wx and storm complexes. Outside of convection,
expect mostly VFR conditions, but maybe some patchy shallow fog at
night. 47

[srainhoutx]

Thanks djjordan for all your updates overnight! So proud of our Team over the last 6 weeks. You've all been fantastic and make this online weather community so well respected and trusted. Hopefully after the weekend we all can catch a breather before Hurricane Season really gets going.

[djjordan]

Thanks djjordan for all your updates overnight! So proud of our Team over the last 6 weeks. You've all been fantastic and make this online weather community so well respected and trusted. Hopefully after the weekend we all can catch a breather before Hurricane Season really gets going.

Don't mention it .... I'm honored to be able to be apart of a great team here!!!

[unome]

more at the link: https://twitter.com/AlertHouston

DATE: June 2, 2016 4:41:25 AM CDT

The National Weather Service (NWS) West Gulf River Forecast Center says that the West Fork of the San Jacinto River in Kingwood has risen again into Major Flood Stage as a result of the significant rainfall that fell overnight in the Spring Creek Watershed, which flows into the River.

Residents in the affected subdivisions may not be able to leave until the river recedes. If you are stranded in your home and require evacuation, please call 911.

Residents in the affected neighborhoods should avoid driving or walking through high water, and be prepared to seek high ground if water rises.

[Katdaddy]

I second that srainhoutx. Well done over the past several weeks djjordan.

Scattered heavy rains have developed in advance of another convective complex moving into SE TX from Central TX this morning. N Central Harris and SW Montgomery Counties are seeing another round of thunderstorms currently. Additional heavy rains expected to develop today. Stay weather aware and remember "turn around don't drown".

[djjordan]

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
BASTROP COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
CALDWELL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN TRAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
LEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 930 AM CDT

* AT 623 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN DUE
TO THUNDERSTORMS FROM LINCOLN TO GIDDINGS TO LEDBETTER. THIS WILL
CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN
HAS ALREADY FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LOCKHART...ELGIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...SMITHVILLE...LEXINGTON...
MARTINDALE...UHLAND...MUSTANG RIDGE...NIEDERWALD...FEDOR...ROSANKY...
PAIGE...CEDAR CREEK...CIRCLE D-KC ESTATE...WYLDWOOD...CIRCLE D-KC
ESTATES...CAMP SWIFT...UPTON AND BROWNSBORO.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. THIS
ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING.