OCTOBER: Halloween Storm: Severe Storms/Flash Flood Threat?

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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djmike
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Tornado Watch in effect extreme SETX!

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 551
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

TORNADO WATCH 551 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC241-245-351-361-311900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0551.131031T1230Z-131031T1900Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

JASPER JEFFERSON NEWTON
ORANGE
$$
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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srainhoutx
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FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
802 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013


LIBERTY TX-CHAMBERS TX-BRAZORIA TX-FORT BEND TX-HARRIS TX-
GALVESTON TX-
802 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
SOUTHERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN GALVESTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1000 AM CDT

* AT 759 AM CDT...TRAINING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL
CONTINUE IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER
HOUR ARE EXPECTED. THIS RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME COULD
LEAD TO SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING PLACES...STREETS AND
FEEDER ROADS. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE ACROSS LIBERTY COUNTY
WHERE 2 TO 6 INCH AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE
PASADENA...PEARLAND...LEAGUE CITY...BAYTOWN...TEXAS CITY...
FRIENDSWOOD...LA PORTE...DEER PARK...ALVIN...DICKINSON...SOUTH
HOUSTON...BELLAIRE...WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE...LA MARQUE...SANTA
FE...WESTERN SEABROOK...GALENA PARK...JACINTO CITY...WEBSTER...
LIBERTY...DAYTON...HITCHCOCK...NORTHEASTERN MANVEL...PINEY POINT
VILLAGE...KEMAH...MIDTOWN HOUSTON...CLEAR LAKE...FOURTH WARD...
GREATER THIRD WARD AND GREATER EASTWOOD.

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biffb816
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unome wrote:from: https://twitter.com/HCOHSEM

Harris County OHSEM ‏@HCOHSEM 4m

Harris County Flood Control reports rainfall is causing rise in bayou levels but no danger of overflow at this time. #texasrainfallmassacre
Nice hashtag! Ditches were fuller than I've seen in a while along Telge, and 2920 at Calvert had the usual runoff creeping into the inbound lanes.
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djmike
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Wow! I have never seen so many watches/warnings and advisories for my area here in Beaumont (Jefferson County)! I dont think we had this many when hurricane Ike came onshore!

~
*Flash Flood Warning in effect from October 31, 08:36 AM CDT until October 31, 11:30 AM CDT
*Flood Warning in effect from November 2, 01:00 AM CDT until October 30, 07:00 PM CDT
*Tornado Watch in effect from October 31, 07:30 AM CDT until October 31, 02:00 PM CDT
*Flash Flood Watch is in effect until October 31, 07:00 PM CDT
*Flood Advisory in effect from October 31, 07:52 AM CDT until October 31, 10:45 AM CDT
*Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect until October 31, 07:00 PM CDT
*Special Weather Statement is in effect
*Hazardous Weather Outlook
*Short Term Forecast is in effect
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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srainhoutx
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EWX (NWS Austin/San Antonio) reports: Water backing up in City of San Marcos west of the San Marcos / Blanco river confluence.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Rip76
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Looks like the rain is moving out of the Austin area, which is good.

The whole area seems to be moving quicker to the south now.
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djmike
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Major flooding currently now taking place in the Beaumont area! Chambers, Jefferson, Jasper and Orange counties are seeing the heavy training effects and according to radar, it doesnt look to be moving anytime soon! Wish I was at my home instead of at work so I could keep an eye on the place. Honestly right now in Beaumont, it looks like a hurricane is coming onshore with the high winds, sideways rain, flooding and pitch black darkness! If there is ever a Halloween "look", This is it! Wow...
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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djmike
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IH-10 feeder in Beaumont right now!
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Mike
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snowman65
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Yuck Mike....My daughter has a dr appt in Bmt at 3:00...may need to reschedule...lol
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djmike
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High water rescues now taking place in Beaumont!
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Mike
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srainhoutx
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Update from Jeff:

Excessive rainfall in progress along I-10 from Columbus to Beaumont.

Since early this morning rainfall of 2-5 inches has fallen over the area on top of the 2-3 inches yesterday. This is leading to flooding and significant rises on area watersheds. Thus far no major flooding has resulted, but street flooding from the high hourly rainfall rates is ongoing in urban areas.

Should see this line of storms slowly build southward over the next 2-3 hours with the heavy rainfall axis shifting to along a line from Wharton to Friendswood to Lake Charles.

An additional 2-3 inches of rainfall on top of what has already fallen will be possible.

Major flooding is ongoing on rivers between Austin and San Antonio after 8-12 inches of rainfall overnight. Large floodwaves have been generated and are moving downstream along the Blanco, Guadelupe, Colorado, and San Marcos Rivers.

A rainfall rate of 4.85 inches was recorded overnight in 75 minutes south of Austin.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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jabcwb2
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Do you guys see today's rain levels in Harris County equaling those of Austin????

Thanks,
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Portastorm
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Pretty extraordinary heavy rainfall event here in Austin! We saw rainfall totals ranging from 3.5 inches up to 15 inches in the general metro area. High-water rescues throughout the night and now we have mass evacuation rescues ongoing in southeast Travis County. Don't forget that we had a 10-12 inch rainfall event less than two weeks ago in parts of the general Austin metro area. This morning, many roads are closed ... debris on roadways ... a very slow commute into downtown.

And it looks like we might do this again next week?! Yikes!
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djmike
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KJAC - Vehicles are beginning to float away. All feeder roads in the Beaumont area are flooded. Beaumont PD are scrambling to close off all under passes and low lying areas! If you are in the Beaumont area, you are advised to stay home and do not get out and drive around! High water rescues are currently taking place!
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Mike
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srainhoutx
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jabcwb2 wrote:Do you guys see today's rain levels in Harris County equaling those of Austin????

Thanks,
It looks like the trough axis is moving our way rather quickly now, although isolated amounts near 10 inches+ are possible NE of Metro Houston for the storm totals since yesterday.

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daywalker2k2
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Wow, those images in beaumont are something!! Hope you peeps are safe..and keep safe!
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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
952 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

NORTHERN NEWTON TX-JEFFERSON TX-RAPIDES LA-BEAUREGARD LA-ALLEN LA-
VERNON LA-CALCASIEU LA-ORANGE TX-JEFFERSON DAVIS LA-
SOUTHERN JASPER TX-SOUTHERN NEWTON TX-WEST CAMERON LA-
952 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JASPER...NEWTON...JEFFERSON AND
ORANGE COUNTIES...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RAPIDES...
BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...VERNON...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS AND CAMERON
PARISHES UNTIL 1045 AM CDT...

AT 950 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SUGARTOWN TO 3 MILES
EAST OF GROVES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...VINTON...
PITKIN...EDGERLY...RAGLEY...LEANDER AND GRANT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH...
WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS.
SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE
PASSED.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
954 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

LAC019-TXC361-311515-
/O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131031T1515Z/
CALCASIEU LA-ORANGE TX-
954 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY...AND WESTERN CALCASIEU PARISH...

AT 950 AM CDT...THIS RADAR INDICATED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR
ORANGE..MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM IN THE BRIDGE CITY AREA.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
VINTON...EDGERLY AND CARLYSS
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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Jeff reports South Mayde Creek is getting close to bankfull.

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srainhoutx
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Jeff reports Cypress Creek at Grant Rd is 3ft from bankfull.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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