January: Increasing Clouds/Rain & Warmer To End Month

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:08 am

Damage reported in Brenham

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:13 am

Just stood outside as the darker clouds moved overhead, definitely some rotation in the clouds.

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:14 am

The 1/25 0z European teleconnection index forecast is interesting. It show a -NAO, -AO, and positive PNA in the longer term. Prior runs had only shown a negative NAO and negative AO, with a negative PNA. The change to a positive PNA means that a west coast ridge may set up, with a trough across the eastern 1/2 of the CONUS. This, of course, is dependent on whether the model forecast verifies.

The only negative I see is that the European is forecasting a postive EPO. However, even the positive EPO is trending towards neutral and perhaps negative beyond 10 days. My gut, along with these index forecasts, leads me to believe that the time period to look at for possible wintry weather is February 7-25. Keep hope alive.

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:16 am

Folks in Katy heads up. Rotation noted just to your SW

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:17 am

damaged reported in Huntsville

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:18 am

Flood Advisory issued for Austin, Colorado, Grimes, Walker, Washington, and Wharton Counties

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:21 am

Sunny and breezy in Baytown. Maybe we are out of the woods.

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:21 am

Damage reports coming in from Burleson County

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:22 am

sambucol wrote:Sunny and breezy in Baytown. Maybe we are out of the woods.

No

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:23 am

Damage reports from Montgomery County

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:26 am

Damage reports from Brazos County

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:27 am

is it just me or does the meso low look to be setting up in the right spot for a training event over Montgomery county.

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:30 am

Wow, this board is rocking! Rightly so. With all these damage reports coming in looks like a true severe weather event for SE TX. Hope it does not get too bad. I will report from the Galleria area (San Felipe and 610) once the weather gets here. That is if the power is on.

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:31 am

jcarr and I were just talking. Folks out E, don't let your guard down. The meso low is just now approaching Western Harris County and slowly moving E along I-10. It hasn't rained up here as of yet, but skies have turned very dark. This event is just beginning for the Metro Houston Area.

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:32 am

Had some very strong winds last night caused the power to go out numerous times overnight ..... watching with keen interest here in SGR as this line progresses east.

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:33 am

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity and Walker Counties

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:35 am

Folks in Western Harris County heads up. Rotation noted with cell near Katy

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:37 am

Update from Jeff:

Warnings continue to verify with numerous reports of wind damage across the region. Appears Grimes County was hit pretty hard with law enforcement reporting widespread wind damage to homes, trees and power lines across much of the county. Tire shop on HWY 36 in Burleson County was completely destroyed and numerous trees and power lines down over Montgomery County. Radar continues to show frequent tornado signatures spinning up very quickly along the leading edge of the squall line over Montgomery and Walker counties. Watching growing cells closely over Colorado and southern Austin/Waller counties as these may go tornadic shortly. Cell motions of 35-50mph and leading to very short lead times. Additionally very low cloud bases and rain warp nature of the event is making seeing any kind of funnel cloud or tornado almost impossible. Threat will be shifting to the US 59 corridor over the next 1-3 hours. Rainfall: Cells over Colorado, Austin, and Waller counties have been showing decent cell merging and training over the past few hours, but it is clear that the entire line is slowing. Given tremendous Gulf moisture advection in progress with moisture levels near historical maximum for this time of year it will not take long to get into problems with hourly rainfall rates approaching 2.5-3 inches under the stronger cells. Urban flooding of street and low lying areas appears likely as this line sags into the more populated US 59 corridor.

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:45 am

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Austin, Ft Bend and Wharton Counties

Wed Jan 25, 2012 9:48 am

Torrential rains now at my location in NW Harris County

January: Increasing Clouds/Rain & Warmer To End Month

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