When Will Texas Receive Its First Hurricane in 2011

[srainhoutx]

Vote!

[tireman4]

I voted September.

[unome]

has to be a cane or do tropical storms count ?

[srainhoutx]

^^^

Yikes! I edited the poll to include Tropical Storms as well. Those that would like to change their vote, feel free to do so…

[Ptarmigan]

If we go by history, statistically speaking from 1870 to 2010, I think Texas will receives its first hurricane between late July. Interestingly, June has 6 hurricane landfalls, while July has 5 hurricane landfalls. No major hurricane ever made landfall in June, while one made landfall in July.

Do I think a hurricane can make landfall this year. It is certainly possible. A tropical storm on average makes landfall almost every 2 years, while hurricane is about every 4 years on average, and major hurricane is every 11 years on average.