May 2026

[DoctorMu]

Over the last 10 years, League City is 10 inches of rain below average. Without Harvey about 14 inches of rain under average.

http://wx.apxsolutionsinc.com/wxchartsrainsummary.php

[DoctorMu]

The low Sunday or Monday in Houston might not dip below 80°F.

Not much better in CLL.

Transport me to college football season now!

[Cpv17]

Pretty conservative forecast on channel 13 for this upcoming week regarding rain chances. Haven’t seen other stations. All of my weather apps across the board have significantly higher chances.

[869MB]

It’s maybe because they are lowkey embarrassed about getting burned by their last Friday (Weather Watch Day) and Saturday’s rain chances, that for all intents and purposes, didn’t materialize like they heavily advertised leading up to the weekend. So this go around, they’ve decided they will proceed with caution regarding rain chances this forthcoming week until they gain higher confidence in the computer model guidance. Just a gut feeling of mine.

[Texas Deadhead]

It’s maybe because they are lowkey embarrassed about getting burned by their last Friday (Weather Watch Day) and Saturday’s rain chances, that for all intents and purposes, didn’t materialize like they heavily advertised leading up to the weekend. So this go around, they’ve decided they will proceed with caution regarding rain chances this forthcoming week until they gain higher confidence in the computer model guidance. Just a gut feeling of mine.

Sounds like something a TV meteorologist would say.

[Cpv17]

It’s maybe because they are lowkey embarrassed about getting burned by their last Friday (Weather Watch Day) and Saturday’s rain chances, that for all intents and purposes, didn’t materialize like they heavily advertised leading up to the weekend. So this go around, they’ve decided they will proceed with caution regarding rain chances this forthcoming week until they gain higher confidence in the computer model guidance. Just a gut feeling of mine.

Exactly my thoughts as well.

[DoctorMu]

It’s maybe because they are lowkey embarrassed about getting burned by their last Friday (Weather Watch Day) and Saturday’s rain chances, that for all intents and purposes, didn’t materialize like they heavily advertised leading up to the weekend. So this go around, they’ve decided they will proceed with caution regarding rain chances this forthcoming week until they gain higher confidence in the computer model guidance. Just a gut feeling of mine.

...or it could go like last 4 of July and flood sweep people away (hopefully not!). NOAA's skeleton crew grows thinner during holidays.

My weather aps have a 60-90% chance of rain over 6 days

[DoctorMu]

GEPS - woah. The GEFS ensemble is not far behind.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_37.png



GFS:

[Stratton20]

DoctorMu yup, QPF totals are going up every time a new model run comes in, the newest 00z Euro run is something else!

[Brazoriatx979]

Ill believe it when it starts falling from the sky...till then...more hype

[Stratton20]

Lol ok, sure

[Brazoriatx979]

Well again...last week..omg heavy rain is coming and nothing..so ya...till it falls lol

[DoctorMu]

The bulk of the predicted rain is late week and the Memorial Day weekend. We'll see.

It depends on where you are. The signal is consistent across models, but areas below I-10 like Angleton have lower QPF values, except on the Euro. North of I-10 and 59 have the highest QPF progs, fwiw.

[Brazoriatx979]

The bulk of the predicted rain is late week and the Memorial Day weekend. We'll see.

It depends on where you are. The signal is consistent across models, but areas below I-10 like Angleton have lower QPF values, except on the Euro. North of I-10 and 59 have the highest QPF progs, fwiw.

South of i-10 has been getting the shaft here lately

[DoctorMu]

The bulk of the predicted rain is late week and the Memorial Day weekend. We'll see.

It depends on where you are. The signal is consistent across models, but areas below I-10 like Angleton have lower QPF values, except on the Euro. North of I-10 and 59 have the highest QPF progs, fwiw.

South of i-10 has been getting the shaft here lately

I hear ya. That's a common summer pattern in College Station. The rain stops at Navasota.

[tireman4]

Eric Berger on Facebook

[Cpv17]

Even the GFS now is going bonkers with rainfall totals, geez.

[Stratton20]

12z Euro through early june just goes completely ape sh*t with rainfall totals across se texas. We need the rain, but some of the totals models are starting to throw out are quickly getting my attention. This setup of a very slow moving system out west and copious amounts of pacific, gulf and tropical moisture remind me of a certain major flood event back in may of 2015. At least the ingredients could be there for a pretty significant flooding event

[DoctorMu]

Welcome to the new Texas desert with occasional floods!

Long periods of dry spells, followed by flooding is not just a local change. I saw a story on my newsfeed that this is a national to global phenomenon.

[jabcwb2]

The potential for high levels of rain is over a series of days, right?