May 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Over the last 10 years, League City is 10 inches of rain below average. Without Harvey about 14 inches of rain under average.

http://wx.apxsolutionsinc.com/wxchartsrainsummary.php
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DoctorMu
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The low Sunday or Monday in Houston might not dip below 80°F.

Not much better in CLL.

Transport me to college football season now!
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Cpv17
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Pretty conservative forecast on channel 13 for this upcoming week regarding rain chances. Haven’t seen other stations. All of my weather apps across the board have significantly higher chances.
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869MB
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It’s maybe because they are lowkey embarrassed about getting burned by their last Friday (Weather Watch Day) and Saturday’s rain chances, that for all intents and purposes, didn’t materialize like they heavily advertised leading up to the weekend. So this go around, they’ve decided they will proceed with caution regarding rain chances this forthcoming week until they gain higher confidence in the computer model guidance. Just a gut feeling of mine.
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Texas Deadhead
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869MB wrote: ↑Sat May 16, 2026 7:06 pm It’s maybe because they are lowkey embarrassed about getting burned by their last Friday (Weather Watch Day) and Saturday’s rain chances, that for all intents and purposes, didn’t materialize like they heavily advertised leading up to the weekend. So this go around, they’ve decided they will proceed with caution regarding rain chances this forthcoming week until they gain higher confidence in the computer model guidance. Just a gut feeling of mine.
Sounds like something a TV meteorologist would say.
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Cpv17
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869MB wrote: ↑Sat May 16, 2026 7:06 pm It’s maybe because they are lowkey embarrassed about getting burned by their last Friday (Weather Watch Day) and Saturday’s rain chances, that for all intents and purposes, didn’t materialize like they heavily advertised leading up to the weekend. So this go around, they’ve decided they will proceed with caution regarding rain chances this forthcoming week until they gain higher confidence in the computer model guidance. Just a gut feeling of mine.
Exactly my thoughts as well.
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DoctorMu
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869MB wrote: ↑Sat May 16, 2026 7:06 pm It’s maybe because they are lowkey embarrassed about getting burned by their last Friday (Weather Watch Day) and Saturday’s rain chances, that for all intents and purposes, didn’t materialize like they heavily advertised leading up to the weekend. So this go around, they’ve decided they will proceed with caution regarding rain chances this forthcoming week until they gain higher confidence in the computer model guidance. Just a gut feeling of mine.
...or it could go like last 4 of July and flood sweep people away (hopefully not!). NOAA's skeleton crew grows thinner during holidays.

My weather aps have a 60-90% chance of rain over 6 days
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DoctorMu
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GEPS - woah. The GEFS ensemble is not far behind.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_37.png



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