April 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Apr 26, 2026 6:06 pm Big nasty supercell near Wichita Falls… Also looks like a pretty wet weekend for SE texas next weekend, thats our strong late april/ eary May front which could bring several days of heavy rains thursday- sunday morning
We’ll see how far S that rain can get. It looks like it’ll be mainly N of I-10 rn.
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Ptarmigan
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don wrote: Sun Apr 26, 2026 11:31 am The supercell yesterday actually formed from three supercells that were over Wichita county, they merged over the WF area and formed into one intense "textbook" supercell.

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That is one nasty storm. :shock: :o
Cpv17
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Looks like a really good chance for rain later this week for those N of I-10. 2-4” on average.
Stratton20
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Euro still has 1-3 inches south of I-10, everyone should see some rain next weekend, slow moving frontal boundary thursday- saturday should help to focus widespread storms
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DoctorMu
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The Big Flip is still on for the end of the week.

NOAA has lows in the upper 40s and low 50s Friday, Saturday, and Sunday nights. Friday has the largest chance of rain by far with the approaching FROPA.

On the other flip side...there's a significant, but unclear how substantial, chance that a Super El Nino + CC could change the climate radically going forward. Hoping for some mitigation...or a warm Alaska!
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jasons2k
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DoctorMu wrote: Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:34 pm The Big Flip is still on for the end of the week.

NOAA has lows in the upper 40s and low 50s Friday, Saturday, and Sunday nights. Friday has the largest chance of rain by far with the approaching FROPA.

On the other flip side...there's a significant, but unclear how substantial, chance that a Super El Nino + CC could change the climate radically going forward. Hoping for some mitigation...or a warm Alaska!
The big El Nino of 1998 gave us a “step up” in the ongoing heating of the planet. This will do the same but like on steroids.
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DoctorMu
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My kind of flip-flopping!
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:44 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:34 pm The Big Flip is still on for the end of the week.

NOAA has lows in the upper 40s and low 50s Friday, Saturday, and Sunday nights. Friday has the largest chance of rain by far with the approaching FROPA.

On the other flip side...there's a significant, but unclear how substantial, chance that a Super El Nino + CC could change the climate radically going forward. Hoping for some mitigation...or a warm Alaska!
The big El Nino of 1998 gave us a “step up” in the ongoing heating of the planet. This will do the same but like on steroids.
Our next move might be Virginia instead of NC. 8-) :roll:
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Ptarmigan
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:44 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:34 pm The Big Flip is still on for the end of the week.

NOAA has lows in the upper 40s and low 50s Friday, Saturday, and Sunday nights. Friday has the largest chance of rain by far with the approaching FROPA.

On the other flip side...there's a significant, but unclear how substantial, chance that a Super El Nino + CC could change the climate radically going forward. Hoping for some mitigation...or a warm Alaska!
The big El Nino of 1998 gave us a “step up” in the ongoing heating of the planet. This will do the same but like on steroids.
There are a lot of factors that come to play besides El Nino. I would look at Indian Ocean or other parts of the Pacific.
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jasons2k
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Areas of North Texas just getting pounded again this evening.
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tireman4
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Today
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tireman4
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Cromagnum
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Forecast for widespread thunderstorms out here and as usual it hasn't done a damned thing. The forecasting is so terrible over here.
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jasons2k
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Front moving through Austin now.
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tireman4
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DoctorMu
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Front #1 has passed through CLL. Light northerly winds begin the transition to the May flip.
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DoctorMu
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Some nasty cells near Madisonville.
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jasons2k
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Front from Magnolia to Conroe, inching along now. Not much to see for now.
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