April 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4484
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 7:56 pm GFS and Euro don’t have much for us here for the next couple weeks, especially the GFS, which has almost nothing. I’m just gonna take it day by day. Not sure the models have a good handle on things right now.
Forecast models change. They will probably have rain in the forecast.
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6993
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Ben Noll
Attachments
Ben Noll 04 06 26.jpg
Ben Noll 04 06 26.jpg (77.67 KiB) Viewed 413 times
Cpv17
Posts: 6989
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Ptarmigan wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 10:56 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 7:56 pm GFS and Euro don’t have much for us here for the next couple weeks, especially the GFS, which has almost nothing. I’m just gonna take it day by day. Not sure the models have a good handle on things right now.
Forecast models change. They will probably have rain in the forecast.
I think we’ll get near average rainfall over the next couple weeks. I don’t buy what the CPC is showing for our part of Texas.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7863
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

tireman4 wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2026 10:06 amBen Noll
No mas on 2023 or 1998.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7863
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Ptarmigan wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 10:56 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 7:56 pm GFS and Euro don’t have much for us here for the next couple weeks, especially the GFS, which has almost nothing. I’m just gonna take it day by day. Not sure the models have a good handle on things right now.
Forecast models change. They will probably have rain in the forecast.
Canonical GFS is a joke, especially in the long range.

68°F temp. and 36°F DP. Enjoying it while it lasts. It could be November before we see today's Chamber of Commerce weather again!
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6993
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Andy Hazelton
Attachments
Andy Hazelton 04 06 26.png
Andy Hazelton 04 06 26.png (256.07 KiB) Viewed 370 times
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4484
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

tireman4 wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2026 10:06 amBen Noll
Not sure of another strong El Nino like 1877, 1972, 1983, 1997, or 2015.
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6993
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6993
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6993
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Ryan Maue
Attachments
Ryan Maue.jpg
Ryan Maue.jpg (94.55 KiB) Viewed 209 times
Cpv17
Posts: 6989
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Still no agreement in our area between the GFS and Euro. Just going to split the difference and say we end up with 1-2” over the next couple weeks, for now. I’ll gladly take that.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4484
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

tireman4 wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2026 3:04 pmRyan Maue
I am not sure of forecasting a Super El Nino.
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6993
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Cpv17
Posts: 6989
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

The latest WPC 7 day QPF forecast only has us getting around half an inch over the next week lol
User avatar
don
Posts: 3142
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Wichita Falls
Contact:

Sometimes the problem with these setups for southeast Texas is the proximity to the SE ridge. If the ridging is too strong it will act a a deflector the closer you are to the higher heights.
Post Reply
  • Information