April 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Ptarmigan
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 7:56 pm GFS and Euro don’t have much for us here for the next couple weeks, especially the GFS, which has almost nothing. I’m just gonna take it day by day. Not sure the models have a good handle on things right now.
Forecast models change. They will probably have rain in the forecast.
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tireman4
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Cpv17
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Ptarmigan wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 10:56 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 7:56 pm GFS and Euro don’t have much for us here for the next couple weeks, especially the GFS, which has almost nothing. I’m just gonna take it day by day. Not sure the models have a good handle on things right now.
Forecast models change. They will probably have rain in the forecast.
I think we’ll get near average rainfall over the next couple weeks. I don’t buy what the CPC is showing for our part of Texas.
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DoctorMu
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tireman4 wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2026 10:06 amBen Noll
No mas on 2023 or 1998.
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DoctorMu
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Ptarmigan wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 10:56 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2026 7:56 pm GFS and Euro don’t have much for us here for the next couple weeks, especially the GFS, which has almost nothing. I’m just gonna take it day by day. Not sure the models have a good handle on things right now.
Forecast models change. They will probably have rain in the forecast.
Canonical GFS is a joke, especially in the long range.

68°F temp. and 36°F DP. Enjoying it while it lasts. It could be November before we see today's Chamber of Commerce weather again!
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tireman4
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Ptarmigan
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tireman4 wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2026 10:06 amBen Noll
Not sure of another strong El Nino like 1877, 1972, 1983, 1997, or 2015.
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tireman4
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Still no agreement in our area between the GFS and Euro. Just going to split the difference and say we end up with 1-2” over the next couple weeks, for now. I’ll gladly take that.
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Ptarmigan
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tireman4 wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2026 3:04 pmRyan Maue
I am not sure of forecasting a Super El Nino.
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tireman4
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Cpv17
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The latest WPC 7 day QPF forecast only has us getting around half an inch over the next week lol
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Sometimes the problem with these setups for southeast Texas is the proximity to the SE ridge. If the ridging is too strong it will act a a deflector the closer you are to the higher heights.
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Models are converging. Most of the rain is north and west of College Station...but I'd take an inch in the next week.
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tireman4
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So much for a wet pattern, looks dry down here for the rest of the month
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I hate this climate. This is just getting ridiculous at this point.
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