January 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Stratton20
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Tomball will definitely see ice accumulation
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MontgomeryCoWx
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BAY29 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 10:22 pm do yall really think Tomball could get some ice accummulation? dont want too much but just enough to cancel school
Yes, I do. Especially if these Globals follow the lead of the mesos.
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Ptarmigan
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DoctorMu
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Here. We. Go.
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djmike
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DoctorMu wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:03 am Here. We. Go.
So that is sleet and freezing rain to the coast, correct? Snow is still same areas of northern Texas? Looks like things are changing for us in SETX!
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Stratton20
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yes its just going to be freezing rain for se texas with some sleet mixed in, just not the right setup for snow this time, that being said looking at the newest euro and EPS runs, well lets just say the next system may offer up better chances for snow
Stormlover2020
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Let’s worry about this weekend first
txsnowmaker
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For metro Houston, still looking good. NWS says little to no ice accumulation, with tight window for freezing rain between 3 and 9 am on Sunday. All cold rain before and after. Channel 13 also limits freezing rain window to Sunday morning (60% chance).
Nuby33
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txsnowmaker wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 5:58 am For metro Houston, still looking good. NWS says little to no ice accumulation, with tight window for freezing rain between 3 and 9 am on Sunday. All cold rain before and after. Channel 13 also limits freezing rain window to Sunday morning (60% chance).
My forecast has progressively gotten worse per NWS..

Now expecting .3 inches of ice accumulation and .5 inch sleet accumulation.. and the temps keep dropping each time. 242 and 45 area
Brazoriatx979
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I believe the coastal counties will be added to a winter weather advisory today
Cpv17
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txsnowmaker wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 5:58 am For metro Houston, still looking good. NWS says little to no ice accumulation, with tight window for freezing rain between 3 and 9 am on Sunday. All cold rain before and after. Channel 13 also limits freezing rain window to Sunday morning (60% chance).
Ice is pretty much a lock at this point, even for you.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Yeah, NWS dropped my lows quite a bit.

Up to 1/2 inch of sleet and 1/2 inch of freezing rain.

Lows down to 13 and 14 Sunday and Monday Night.
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Brazoriatx979
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jeff linder just said coastal counties will be put under a winter weather advisory later today
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tireman4
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tireman4
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Good morning. As we have seen inches the past 24 hours, the forecasts have changed at least 3 times in many areas of the CWA. I expect it to fluctuate even more as we continue to run the global and high resolution models. I think a bit of now casting maybe involved as well as this event unfolds. This will be an ever changing event so make sure to pay attention to all media outlets for updates.
Nuby33
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Now my NWS forecast mentions change to all sleet before ending

242 and 45
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don
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I’m getting a little more concerned about Southeast Texas now. The HRRR along with other models show thunder sleet/thunder freezing rain over southeast Texas Sunday morning.

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tireman4
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Brazoriatx979
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don wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 8:23 am I’m getting a little more concerned about Southeast Texas now. The HRRR along with other models show thunder sleet/thunder freezing rain over southeast Texas Sunday morning.

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That would be an amazing thing to witness...
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 8:38 am
don wrote: Fri Jan 23, 2026 8:23 am I’m getting a little more concerned about Southeast Texas now. The HRRR along with other models show thunder sleet/thunder freezing rain over southeast Texas Sunday morning.

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That would be an amazing thing to witness...
December 1989, Longview, TX… that moment made me a weather geek!

2 inches in 15 minutes in a severe Thunder sleet cell. Then 6 inches of Thunder snow in about 3 hours.

It was amazing!
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