January 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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snowman65
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:29 am
snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:25 am Not to change the subject, but that next blast at the end of the month looks wild..... Yes, I'm sure it will change many times, but check out the GFS for pretty colors.
Gotta work in some precip with it
Shows plenty for me at this point
Brazoriatx979
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snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:33 am
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:29 am
snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:25 am Not to change the subject, but that next blast at the end of the month looks wild..... Yes, I'm sure it will change many times, but check out the GFS for pretty colors.
Gotta work in some precip with it
Shows plenty for me at this point
Well imagine that
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MontgomeryCoWx
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This upcoming pattern is loaded to the gills with opportunities
Team #NeverSummer
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sambucol
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:41 am This upcoming pattern is loaded to the gills with opportunities
It sure looks like it. Bring it!
Cpv17
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:41 am This upcoming pattern is loaded to the gills with opportunities
Yes sir, the next few weeks look very exciting!
Stratton20
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Lol. GFS has 2 winter storms on the 30 and 31st , 3 winter storms in a span of 10 days would just be absolutely ridiculous! Im all for it hahaha!
Stormlover2020
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Gfs trended colder this run for this weekend
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sambucol
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 10:04 am Lol. GFS has 2 winter storms on the 30 and 31st , 3 winter storms in a span of 10 days would just be absolutely ridiculous! Im all for it hahaha!
And the plus side, we have gotten our homes and property ready for winter weather, so, this next one, we can just enjoy it without making any winter preps.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Hug 6z models at your own peril. I told someone that the 12z runs would be the cliff runs where the temps would start going back down.


Well well, I wasn’t wrong.
Team #NeverSummer
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Kludge
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I think I'm going to have to hang out on this forum exclusively. The S2K Texas Winter 2025-2026 forum has been invaded by Okies. Poor soooners apparently don't know how to set up their own forum... but I expect even if they did they'd still hang out with the cool kids on the Texas board. :D Please note that I have several Okie friends and I have no problem with them lurking on our forum, but they have pretty much commandeered the forum to rag about only maybe getting a foot of snow this weekend. Sheesh. :?
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 7:33 am My forecasted low for Monday morning is 18°F.

Also, the end of next week looks really cold as well! Ensembles back it up too.
14°F here. The shallow polar air is being handled poorly. Significant effects through NW Harris Co. for me. Rain to freezing rain and sleet. It's better than 100°F. But I'd rather it did its thing and moved on. I saw this dozens of times in NC.
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 10:14 am Hug 6z models at your own peril. I told someone that the 12z runs would be the cliff runs where the temps would start going back down.


Well well, I wasn’t wrong.
12z GFS has some backside snow to at least Hearne. There's rain...then we're dry slotted avoiding some freezing rain. Then freezing rain/sleet and maybe a snow finish.
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DoctorMu
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snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:33 am
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:29 am
snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 9:25 am Not to change the subject, but that next blast at the end of the month looks wild..... Yes, I'm sure it will change many times, but check out the GFS for pretty colors.
Gotta work in some precip with it
Shows plenty for me at this point
There's a lot less warm nose in the end of the month event, as expected with a cooled off atmosphere.. Can we get the freezing line south enough? Major central and north Texas snow.
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DoctorMu
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sambucol wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 10:13 am
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 10:04 am Lol. GFS has 2 winter storms on the 30 and 31st , 3 winter storms in a span of 10 days would just be absolutely ridiculous! Im all for it hahaha!
And the plus side, we have gotten our homes and property ready for winter weather, so, this next one, we can just enjoy it without making any winter preps.
We don't have exposed pipes except for the outside faucet (cover is on) and we're on a slab not a foundation. Long power outages are the main concern. I'll have the water dripping for 2-3 days. We'll be 10°F warmer than 2021.
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tireman4
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Cromagnum
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Quite a lot of sleet and snow if this pans out.

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Cromagnum
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One of these is garbage.

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jasons2k
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 10:14 am Hug 6z models at your own peril. I told someone that the 12z runs would be the cliff runs where the temps would start going back down.


Well well, I wasn’t wrong.
Yeah, this was my post on S2K I was alluding to earlier this morning:

I think we have now passed “peak warmth” on the model runs. It’s all downhill from here, depending on your perspective.
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tireman4
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:23 am
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 22, 2026 10:14 am Hug 6z models at your own peril. I told someone that the 12z runs would be the cliff runs where the temps would start going back down.


Well well, I wasn’t wrong.
Yeah, this was my post on S2K I was alluding to earlier this morning:

I think we have now passed “peak warmth” on the model runs. It’s all downhill from here, depending on your perspective.


See why forecasting is so hard? I swear when I finish, I will just forecast for fun. Lol. On that note, Thursday was the day to start paying attention to the global and high res models.
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djmike
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Yeah all of my local Mets including NWSLC has dropped any and all freezing rain and/or ice for my area. (Beaumont). Temps still there but no ice which is positive sign for traveling. If these models have the new overnight aircraft info, looks like we in the Golden Triangle may have dodged the dicey part of this. JMO
Mike
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(IH-10 & College Street)
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