July 2025

[Cpv17]

Weak sauce

As expected. At least the temps are down.

[DoctorMu]

NWS missed this one - they had a 50% chance of rain in Houston, 10% here in CLL. We have a few showers in the area. Pretty weak, and no surprise seeing the TS lemonade move north and outta here.

[DoctorMu]

Weak sauce

As expected. At least the temps are down.

Yep. Give me 83° until CFB season - no questions asked.

Buffalo and Madisonville will see a shower, but no cigar outside the Piney Woods, even with most of the rain inside Texas now. The I-45 wall has come to fruition.

[DoctorMu]

Euro AI eyes another retrograde weak sauce lemonade system in about a week.

So, there's a chance...

Even the ridges are moving in retrograde. An interesting and a different summer. Keep the retrograde lemonade coming!

[user:null]

There are some small areas of showers building in from the Gulf. Could provide rain for a lucky few despite the earlier bulk activity staying north.

[DoctorMu]

This weaksauce low is retrograding west south west? Showers/cells are increasing in Houston and a blob of light rain is retreating from the Piney Woods sagging toward B/CS. If we're lucky we might see a couple of drops and maybe an outflow before dissipating this evening. Don't think there's a strong enough warm core center to produce nighttime rainfall. Proto-Dexter has been an interesting little beast.

[DoctorMu]

More of the same late next week:


Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1257 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

- Rain chances diminish and temperatures increase this weekend into
the middle parts of next week.

- The next decent chances of precipitation re-enter the forecast
late next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

Mid-upper inverted trof/disturbance situated over east/southeast Tx
should further weaken and lift nnw out of the vicinity tonight &
Saturday. Ridging should then gradually build in from the east as we
go through the weekend and into at least the middle parts of next
week. Increasing subsidence and lower PW`s with time will limit, or
eliminate, rain chances...and more sunshine will allow for a bump in
daytime highs.

Heading into the second part of next week, guidance is depicting
another inverted trof making its way wwd across FL, under the ridge
and toward the western Gulf Coast around Friday. (Looks like a
similar setup as to what we saw this week). If nothing else, it
should bring some increasing clouds/moisture and associated rain
chances back into the area. Some guidance tries to eventually
develop a weak surface circulation, but as of now, moderate winds
aloft could be a limiting factor for development. 47

&&