July 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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Special Weather Statement issued July 13 at 3:00PM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX
At 259 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles east of Camp Creek Lake to near Snook
to near Fayetteville. Movement was east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.

Locations impacted include...
College Station, Bryan, Brenham, Navasota, Madisonville, Caldwell,
Austonio, Washington, Somerville, Snook, Bedias, Kurten, Burton,
Wixon Valley, Millican, Anderson, Lake Somerville Dam, Kyle Field,
Bryan Utilities Lake, and Lake Somerville State Park & Trailway.
Instructions
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. [can confirm. lol]
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
Sender NWS Houston/Galveston TX
Sent 7/13/2025 15:00 CDT
Houston; Madison; Walker; Burleson; Brazos; Washington; Grimes; Montgomery; Austin; Waller
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DoctorMu
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2-3 inch an hour rain is coming down, frequent lighting. We were a miss yesterday and Friday. This should get us to next weekend.

Survive and advance in mid-July.
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Rip76
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jul 13, 2025 2:46 pm ICON double downs on a weak TX into Texas next weekend.

Feeling like there's some agreement on lemonade or some weak tropical influence in a week.

I noticed even long term, EURO keeps any ridging in the 10+day forecast largely on our southern flank.
Is this run through Louisiana or down into the Gulf and North into Texas?
davidiowx
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Wife, kids and I at our lake house in Toledo Bend (Louisiana side near Many) and it’s been lightning, thunder and torrential rains for a good hour and a half with some minor let up in between. One cell followed by another and one more.
Stratton20
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View from the Oasis at Lake Travis!
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DoctorMu
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Rip76 wrote: Sun Jul 13, 2025 3:54 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jul 13, 2025 2:46 pm ICON double downs on a weak TX into Texas next weekend.

Feeling like there's some agreement on lemonade or some weak tropical influence in a week.

I noticed even long term, EURO keeps any ridging in the 10+day forecast largely on our southern flank.
Is this run through Louisiana or down into the Gulf and North into Texas?
From Florida across the Gulf coast and into Texas..

The latest ICON has it moving into LA. We'll see.
Cromagnum
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Lampasas and Llano rivers flooded yesterday and the Frio flooded this morning. More flooding rain predicted this afternoon. What a bizarre July out here.
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Rip76
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Looks very Louisiana for “Dexter.”
Brazoriatx979
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I have a hard time believing anything 57 says on storms now, since he botched Beryl
Pas_Bon
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Mon Jul 14, 2025 11:00 am I have a hard time believing anything 57 says on storms now, since he botched Beryl
I don't understand why he's seen as infallible over there. He has whiffed on some pretty big stuff.
Cpv17
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Mon Jul 14, 2025 11:00 am I have a hard time believing anything 57 says on storms now, since he botched Beryl
Whenever I see him post something I just automatically scroll past it. I never read his posts anymore.
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DoctorMu
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Pas_Bon wrote: Mon Jul 14, 2025 11:18 am
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Mon Jul 14, 2025 11:00 am I have a hard time believing anything 57 says on storms now, since he botched Beryl
I don't understand why he's seen as infallible over there. He has whiffed on some pretty big stuff.
Yep. Summer and winter. ;)
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DoctorMu
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Spotty seabreeze showers around SETX. We just had a small vigorous cell just move through the A&M campus.

The Hill Country is still getting pounded. Drought or flood - seems like no in between.
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DoctorMu
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Rip76 wrote: Mon Jul 14, 2025 10:43 am Looks very Louisiana for “Dexter.”
I'm hoping that Dexter is disorganized so we might see some rain out of it. A sip of lemonade.

Organized LA TC = HEAT for SETX

The Euro forecast would be more conducive to some showers during the weekend. The ridging stays mostly south and becomes a GoM, Caribbean hurricane blocking ridge instead of a DR... and weakens further as July ends. Temps would be about average to a degree or two below average. Less than six weeks to the start of CFB! Give me more of what Euro is offering.
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DoctorMu
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We'll see, but it looks like potential for a "Citrus Express" moisture flow setup. Give Jason and I more of this more Florida-like summer weather. ;)

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Rip76
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Some boomers out there today.
I’ll take this everyday.
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jasons2k
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Looking south from the Rayford Kroger.
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jasons2k
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From the driveway.
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