July 2025

[srainhoutx]

We are following closely here in Western North Carolina. It brings back so many bad memories of late last September as Helene impacted this Region. I recall the 1987 flood event for Kerr County. I am so devastated that so many young people have been impacted. How many times have warm cored remnant low of dying tropical systems brought devastating impacts in Texas and particularly the Hill Country?

[Ptarmigan]

We are following closely here in Western North Carolina. It brings back so many bad memories of late last September as Helene impacted this Region. I recall the 1987 flood event for Kerr County. I am so devastated that so many young people have been impacted. How many times have warm cored remnant low of dying tropical systems brought devastating impacts in Texas and particularly the Hill Country?

I know hurricane remnants and warm core low pressures have caused heavy rain and flooding. Most of these flood events happen at night, usually after midnight.

Central Texas Flooding, Including Hill Country
June 1899-Tropical Storm 1
September 1921-Hurricane 2
September 1932-Warm Core Low Pressure?
September 1936-Tropical Storm 14
June 1954-Hurricane Alice (Deep South Texas Event)
September 1967-Hurricane Beulah (Deep South Texas Event)
August 1978-Tropical Storm Amelia
July 2002-Warm Core Low Pressure
September 2010-Tropical Storm Hermine
July 2025-Tropical Storm Barry

https://www.weather.gov/sjt/events-1936 ... d%20houses.
https://www.weather.gov/media/lch/event ... istory.pdf
https://cdn.ymaws.com/www.tfma.org/reso ... ellano.pdf
https://pubs.usgs.gov/wsp/0488/report.pdf
https://pubs.usgs.gov/wsp/0816/report.pdf
https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2003/ofr03-193 ... patton.htm
https://dailytimes.com/history/a-remind ... ae569.html

[TexasBreeze]

That cell to the northwest of Austin may be the beginning of tonight's activity? It is a slow moving and strong storm.

[Cpv17]

That cell to the northwest of Austin may be the beginning of tonight's activity? It is a slow moving and strong storm.

I think that’s possible, but the mesos aren’t really showing much happening tonight.

[tireman4]

Today's Forecast ( although the moisture from the West is slowly matriculating eastward)

[tireman4]

WPC Update

[Cromagnum]

That cell to the northwest of Austin may be the beginning of tonight's activity? It is a slow moving and strong storm.

I think that’s possible, but the mesos aren’t really showing much happening tonight.

Warm core event? 16 inches of rain fell in that spot overnight.

[Cpv17]

That cell to the northwest of Austin may be the beginning of tonight's activity? It is a slow moving and strong storm.

I think that’s possible, but the mesos aren’t really showing much happening tonight.

Warm core event? 16 inches of rain fell in that spot overnight.

That’s why I said it’s possible. Mesos didn’t have that happening when I looked around 10-11pm last night though. And that’s why I said yesterday that I would expect it to blow up again overnight if it’s a warm core event.

[don]

This is a "classic" core rain event from a warm core low. Big droughts love to end in floods down here. A very dangerous situation.My heart goes out to all those impacted and those lost or still missing.