March 2025
Steady rainfall from The Woodlands to Stafford.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6016
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
317
FXUS64 KHGX 271149
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
649 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Scattered to widespread showers with locally heavy rainfall will
be possible through Friday afternoon with periods of lulls in the
shower activity expected.
- Light to moderate rainfall has already occurred across the SW
portion of the region with totals of .8-1.5"
- Some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
possible through the afternoon today, an increase in coverage
and intensity is expected this evening through Friday morning -
especially across the SW portions of the region (particularly
around Matagorda Bay)
- A Flood Watch is in effect for Jackson, Matagorda, Brazoria,
Wharton, Colorado and Fort Bend counties through Friday
afternoon
- Storm total rainfall through Friday will be generally up 2-5",
however isolated higher amounts up to 9" will be possible
within the Watch area
- Overall minor urban and small stream flooding is expected, but
a few instances of flash flooding is possible - with tonight
into Friday morning being the main window of concern
- Cannot out rule an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm or
two developing this afternoon or Friday afternoon
Fowler
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday Night)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
The rain has arrived and will be sticking around through the rest
of the short term period. A large upper-level trough is swinging
through northern Mexico into Texas this morning and a shortwave
trough out ahead of this system is what is triggering the
widespread showers we have seen over our southwestern counties
since around sunset last night. MRMS QPE has rain totals through
2am generally around .75" to 1" across Jackson, Matagorda,
Wharton, and Colorado counties with some pockets of higher totals
nearing 1.5-2". This widespread light to moderate shower activity
will persist through this morning along and south of I-10, but CAM
guidance is indicating the showers will become more isolated to
scattered (rather than the widespread/stratiform rain we are
seeing overnight), but the coverage expands further north into
the Brazos Valley and even to the Piney Woods by the mid
afternoon. The main trough axis is expected to move through our
region tonight through Friday afternoon increasing not only the
coverage of the shower activity, but also the intensity. CAM
guidance varies on exactly where the heaviest rainfall will occur
(mainly due to mesoscale interactions that are hard to predict
this far out), but there continues to be a better consensus that
the moderate to heavy rainfall tonight will occur south of I-10,
but west of I-45 with the areas around Matagorda Bay having the
highest chances. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to be
possible for much of the region through Friday afternoon as the
upper level disturbance slowly moves through. We finally get to be
on the backside of the trough Friday evening leading to an end of
the precipitation (on land, it may linger over the Gulf waters
into Friday night).
The Flood Watch has been expanded to now include Colorado and Fort
Bend counties and has been extended through 00z Saturday (Friday
evening). No big changes in the rainfall totals expected through
the event: generally up to 2-5" with isolated higher amounts of up
to 9" within the Watch area is expected. Now, ground soils are
particularly dry with D1-D3 drought being experienced across the
Watch area with 3-hr FFG around 4". So, there is going to need to
be a decent amount of rain to overcome these dry grounds.
Rain rates could be as high as 1-2" per hour within some of the
stronger storms tonight into Friday, and there is also potential
for some training storms. If these two things happen to occur at
the same time, then we may be able to exceed the high FFG.
Overall, minor/nuisance flooding of low-lying or poor drainage
areas is expected - but some instances of flash flooding cannot be
out ruled within the Watch area. There is some bust potential
where the axis of heavy rainfall this evening through Friday
morning sets up over the coastal waters and areas inland see much
less rainfall.
WPC has expanded the Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level
3/4 - corresponding to at least a 40% chance of exceeding FFG
within a 25 miles of a point) to include most of Jackson County,
western half of Matagorda County, and a portion of southern
Wharton County. A Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) extends up to US-290
and down through eastern Brazoria County, and a Marginal Risk
(level 1 of 4) in the Brazos Valley down through the Houston Metro
and Galveston County. For Friday, the Houston Metro and areas to
the south and east are in a Slight Risk with the rest of the area
in a Marginal Risk.
SPC has also a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) today and tomorrow for
portions of the region for isolated strong to severe
thunderstorms capable of producing strong wind gusts and hail (and
possibly even a quick, weak tornado) - but the primary weather
concern through Friday will be the localized heavy rainfall
potential.
Overcast skies will keep temperatures fairly seasonal during the
daytime today and Friday with highs in the low to mid 70s, but mild
overnight temperatures with lows in the mid to upper 60s.
Fowler
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
After a wet short term, the long term is looking fairly dry with
just some slight chances of showers in the Piney Woods Sunday and
again midweek next week due to a passing disturbances to the
north. The main headline this weekend into next week will be the
increasing temperatures and humidity with daytime high
temperatures reaching the mid to upper 80s (even reaching 90
degrees by Wednesday) and overnight lows in the mid 60s to low
70s.
Fowler
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the day today with SCT low
level clouds around 2000-4000ft with OVC high level clouds around
10000ft. Widespread light rain showers with isolated areas of
moderate rainfall will continue through the day today with an
increase in coverage and intensity expected tonight through Friday
afternoon. Heavy rainfall may reduce visibility down to 2-4mi at
times. CIGs are expected to decrease to around 1500ft by this
evening and continue through Friday morning with some isolated
lower CIGs down to 700ft possible late tonight. While some
isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, chances for TS
does not increase until Friday. Southeasterly winds around 8-12kt
will prevail today with gusts to 20-25kt possible down along the
coast tonight into Friday morning.
Fowler
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
The forecast through Friday night / Saturday morning is very
complex, featuring higher than normal uncertainty. First, let`s talk
about what we know. First, we know there will be periods of rain and
thunderstorms. Second, we know that winds will generally be moderate
to fresh out of the east to southeast. In addition, we also know
that seas will build. Our current forecast has winds over the bays
and Gulf averaging ~15-20kts through Friday night. Winds within
thunderstorms will likely be higher. But the real wild card in the
forecast concerns potential for strong winds well outside of these
thunderstorms. This is because we are likely to see larger clusters
of strong thunderstorms called Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS)
which result in localized pressure perturbations, steepening the
gradient in the vicinity of the storm. Therefore, be advised that
there could periods of much higher winds even if your location is
not directly hit by a thunderstorm.
Self
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Preceding low river levels before this rain event will likely
limit any significant river flooding over the next couple of days.
However, some gauges along the Lavaca/Navidad may reach Action
(bankfull) or even Minor stage with some rises of other area
rivers possible by Friday afternoon. Check with the West Gulf RFC
and at water.weather.gov for the latest river forecasts.
Fowler
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 70 62 73 64 / 90 90 90 40
Houston (IAH) 74 66 75 66 / 70 70 90 60
Galveston (GLS) 74 67 74 67 / 50 70 90 70
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch through Friday evening for TXZ210-226-227-235>237-
335>337-436-437.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through this evening for
GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Fowler
LONG TERM....Fowler
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...Self
FXUS64 KHGX 271149
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
649 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Scattered to widespread showers with locally heavy rainfall will
be possible through Friday afternoon with periods of lulls in the
shower activity expected.
- Light to moderate rainfall has already occurred across the SW
portion of the region with totals of .8-1.5"
- Some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
possible through the afternoon today, an increase in coverage
and intensity is expected this evening through Friday morning -
especially across the SW portions of the region (particularly
around Matagorda Bay)
- A Flood Watch is in effect for Jackson, Matagorda, Brazoria,
Wharton, Colorado and Fort Bend counties through Friday
afternoon
- Storm total rainfall through Friday will be generally up 2-5",
however isolated higher amounts up to 9" will be possible
within the Watch area
- Overall minor urban and small stream flooding is expected, but
a few instances of flash flooding is possible - with tonight
into Friday morning being the main window of concern
- Cannot out rule an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm or
two developing this afternoon or Friday afternoon
Fowler
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday Night)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
The rain has arrived and will be sticking around through the rest
of the short term period. A large upper-level trough is swinging
through northern Mexico into Texas this morning and a shortwave
trough out ahead of this system is what is triggering the
widespread showers we have seen over our southwestern counties
since around sunset last night. MRMS QPE has rain totals through
2am generally around .75" to 1" across Jackson, Matagorda,
Wharton, and Colorado counties with some pockets of higher totals
nearing 1.5-2". This widespread light to moderate shower activity
will persist through this morning along and south of I-10, but CAM
guidance is indicating the showers will become more isolated to
scattered (rather than the widespread/stratiform rain we are
seeing overnight), but the coverage expands further north into
the Brazos Valley and even to the Piney Woods by the mid
afternoon. The main trough axis is expected to move through our
region tonight through Friday afternoon increasing not only the
coverage of the shower activity, but also the intensity. CAM
guidance varies on exactly where the heaviest rainfall will occur
(mainly due to mesoscale interactions that are hard to predict
this far out), but there continues to be a better consensus that
the moderate to heavy rainfall tonight will occur south of I-10,
but west of I-45 with the areas around Matagorda Bay having the
highest chances. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to be
possible for much of the region through Friday afternoon as the
upper level disturbance slowly moves through. We finally get to be
on the backside of the trough Friday evening leading to an end of
the precipitation (on land, it may linger over the Gulf waters
into Friday night).
The Flood Watch has been expanded to now include Colorado and Fort
Bend counties and has been extended through 00z Saturday (Friday
evening). No big changes in the rainfall totals expected through
the event: generally up to 2-5" with isolated higher amounts of up
to 9" within the Watch area is expected. Now, ground soils are
particularly dry with D1-D3 drought being experienced across the
Watch area with 3-hr FFG around 4". So, there is going to need to
be a decent amount of rain to overcome these dry grounds.
Rain rates could be as high as 1-2" per hour within some of the
stronger storms tonight into Friday, and there is also potential
for some training storms. If these two things happen to occur at
the same time, then we may be able to exceed the high FFG.
Overall, minor/nuisance flooding of low-lying or poor drainage
areas is expected - but some instances of flash flooding cannot be
out ruled within the Watch area. There is some bust potential
where the axis of heavy rainfall this evening through Friday
morning sets up over the coastal waters and areas inland see much
less rainfall.
WPC has expanded the Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level
3/4 - corresponding to at least a 40% chance of exceeding FFG
within a 25 miles of a point) to include most of Jackson County,
western half of Matagorda County, and a portion of southern
Wharton County. A Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) extends up to US-290
and down through eastern Brazoria County, and a Marginal Risk
(level 1 of 4) in the Brazos Valley down through the Houston Metro
and Galveston County. For Friday, the Houston Metro and areas to
the south and east are in a Slight Risk with the rest of the area
in a Marginal Risk.
SPC has also a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) today and tomorrow for
portions of the region for isolated strong to severe
thunderstorms capable of producing strong wind gusts and hail (and
possibly even a quick, weak tornado) - but the primary weather
concern through Friday will be the localized heavy rainfall
potential.
Overcast skies will keep temperatures fairly seasonal during the
daytime today and Friday with highs in the low to mid 70s, but mild
overnight temperatures with lows in the mid to upper 60s.
Fowler
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
After a wet short term, the long term is looking fairly dry with
just some slight chances of showers in the Piney Woods Sunday and
again midweek next week due to a passing disturbances to the
north. The main headline this weekend into next week will be the
increasing temperatures and humidity with daytime high
temperatures reaching the mid to upper 80s (even reaching 90
degrees by Wednesday) and overnight lows in the mid 60s to low
70s.
Fowler
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the day today with SCT low
level clouds around 2000-4000ft with OVC high level clouds around
10000ft. Widespread light rain showers with isolated areas of
moderate rainfall will continue through the day today with an
increase in coverage and intensity expected tonight through Friday
afternoon. Heavy rainfall may reduce visibility down to 2-4mi at
times. CIGs are expected to decrease to around 1500ft by this
evening and continue through Friday morning with some isolated
lower CIGs down to 700ft possible late tonight. While some
isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, chances for TS
does not increase until Friday. Southeasterly winds around 8-12kt
will prevail today with gusts to 20-25kt possible down along the
coast tonight into Friday morning.
Fowler
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
The forecast through Friday night / Saturday morning is very
complex, featuring higher than normal uncertainty. First, let`s talk
about what we know. First, we know there will be periods of rain and
thunderstorms. Second, we know that winds will generally be moderate
to fresh out of the east to southeast. In addition, we also know
that seas will build. Our current forecast has winds over the bays
and Gulf averaging ~15-20kts through Friday night. Winds within
thunderstorms will likely be higher. But the real wild card in the
forecast concerns potential for strong winds well outside of these
thunderstorms. This is because we are likely to see larger clusters
of strong thunderstorms called Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS)
which result in localized pressure perturbations, steepening the
gradient in the vicinity of the storm. Therefore, be advised that
there could periods of much higher winds even if your location is
not directly hit by a thunderstorm.
Self
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 225 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Preceding low river levels before this rain event will likely
limit any significant river flooding over the next couple of days.
However, some gauges along the Lavaca/Navidad may reach Action
(bankfull) or even Minor stage with some rises of other area
rivers possible by Friday afternoon. Check with the West Gulf RFC
and at water.weather.gov for the latest river forecasts.
Fowler
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 70 62 73 64 / 90 90 90 40
Houston (IAH) 74 66 75 66 / 70 70 90 60
Galveston (GLS) 74 67 74 67 / 50 70 90 70
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch through Friday evening for TXZ210-226-227-235>237-
335>337-436-437.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through this evening for
GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Fowler
LONG TERM....Fowler
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...Self
As we all breathe at least a small breath/sigh of relief with finally getting some much-needed rain, we look ahead to the next decent rain chance for the HOU metro, which will be June 2034
Kidding.....April 6 (this year) has *some* model support for some rain in the area, but it's still way too far out to determine.
Kidding.....April 6 (this year) has *some* model support for some rain in the area, but it's still way too far out to determine.
Just 0.10 in. of rain so far up in the NW territories. Slow and steady in this band. At least the new bushes, flowers are wet and it's not from our poisonous city water.
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5354
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Huge bust in the rainfall department today, ill take it!
Lame.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 27, 2025 11:03 am Huge bust in the rainfall department today, ill take it!
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5354
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Cpv17 im glad it busted just because its my mothers birthday, rain just kills the vibe lol
There’s too much cloud cover. Gonna be hard to get any rain with cloud cover and temps in the 60’s.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 27, 2025 12:48 pm Cpv17 im glad it busted just because its my mothers birthday, rain just kills the vibe lol
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5354
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Cpv17 yeah the CC has pretty much drained the instability for storms, at least widespread, probably will see a couple of storms still pop up though , good news is if you love the rain, you’re gonna love the euro run, keeps us in a pretty active pattern the next couple of weeks
There's another band heading this way. Looks pretty weak though. Only 0.12 inches of wet stuff so far. I like the 60s part. lol A/C and sprinklers off for now.
March in CLL with the exception of a 3:30 am sneak attack has been Lamb vs. Lame.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6016
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
852
FXUS64 KHGX 272050
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, HYDROLOGY...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday Night)
Issued at 350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Another lead short wave/vort lobe has triggered a convective
cluster to our sw and is currently in the process of moving off
the mid/lower Tx coast. This should continue moving ese into the
Gulf this evening and tonight. We`ll be on its northern periphery
so anticipate some periods of showers and maybe a few embedded
tstms. With this large area of rain moving into the Gulf, my
suspicion is it`ll disrupt/rob much of our area from seeing
substantial (problem-causing) rainfall amounts.
Am very close to a tipping point of canceling the Flood Watch
across southwest parts of the area. Those locations saw 1-3" last
night...and even another 1-3" likely shouldn`t cause widespread
issues considering the antecedent conditions & dry ground. There`s
no doubt that I would cancel it should guidance show some sort of
run-to-run consistency. Even some the hires data hasn`t been
initializing well at times...or show significant changes from run-
to-run difference, but also understand it`s normal/expected this
time of year. That said, until we`re sure this complex moves far
enough offshore and disrupts things, we`ll ride a while longer
with the Flood Watch but will be cutting down expected precip
amounts. I`m currently thinking more localized street flooding
issues (if anything).
The primary mid-upper trof axis is currently situated across nctl
Mexico. We`ll probably see some more rain/storms Friday and it
makes it closer, and eventually east of the region Friday night.
Though POPs are fairly high, think the overall activity will be
somewhat scattered in nature. 47
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Possibly a few straggling shra Saturday morning, but conditions
in the long term range are otherwise looking relatively dry and
benign in the wake of the system bringing us rainfall in the short
term. A series of passing disturbances to the north of the region
will bring some modest rain chances to the Piney Woods area late
this weekend and in the mid-week timeframe. Temperatures will be
on the increase through the weekend into next week - high
temperatures will climb to the mid-upper 80s, with 90 degrees
possible by midweek. Overnight lows will remain in the mid/upper
60s to low 70s.
McNeel
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Conditions are expected to remain VFR today with mid-level
overcast skies. Shower activity has scattered out for the most
part across the region but remains in the areas north and south
of the Houston metro. Winds will remain out of the southeast today
around 8-12 kts with some occasional higher gusts. Ceilings are
expected to drop to the 700-1500 ft range region- wide late
tonight and overnight as another round of showers and isolated
embedded thunderstorms moves into the area through the overnight
hours into Friday morning. Heavier bands of rain could reduce
visibilities down to 2-4 miles locally. There looks to be a brief
break in shower activity late Friday morning before another
potential round of showers/thunderstorms moves across the area
Friday afternoon.
McNeel
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
The next disturbance is moving into the area. Expect periods of
rain and isolated thunderstorms overnight. The primary marine
hazards, however will be increasing winds and building seas.
A storm complex is moving east-southeast off the lower and middle
Texas coast this afternoon and evening. Wind gusts to or above
gale are a possibility on its northern periphery along the upper
Texas coastal waters...likely more gradient driven than storm
strength. Small Craft Advisories are in effect for all waters
overnight. Mariners should consider these conditions before beginning
or continuing their transits. After tonight, another (likely
final) disturbance should be tracking into the area Friday with
scattered showers and storms. The system moves out of the area
early on Saturday. Light to moderate onshore flow and decreasing
seas are expected in its wake through early next week. 47
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Given lower fcst rainfall amounts in the fcst, we`re not anticipating
much other than some modest rises to possibly lower end action stages
on portion of the Tres Palacios and Lavaca Rivers. 47
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 61 73 63 82 / 80 80 30 10
Houston (IAH) 63 74 65 83 / 70 80 50 30
Galveston (GLS) 65 73 67 76 / 60 90 70 40
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch through Friday evening for TXZ210-226-227-235>237-
335>337-436-437.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ330-335-350-
355-370-375.
&&
FXUS64 KHGX 272050
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, HYDROLOGY...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday Night)
Issued at 350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Another lead short wave/vort lobe has triggered a convective
cluster to our sw and is currently in the process of moving off
the mid/lower Tx coast. This should continue moving ese into the
Gulf this evening and tonight. We`ll be on its northern periphery
so anticipate some periods of showers and maybe a few embedded
tstms. With this large area of rain moving into the Gulf, my
suspicion is it`ll disrupt/rob much of our area from seeing
substantial (problem-causing) rainfall amounts.
Am very close to a tipping point of canceling the Flood Watch
across southwest parts of the area. Those locations saw 1-3" last
night...and even another 1-3" likely shouldn`t cause widespread
issues considering the antecedent conditions & dry ground. There`s
no doubt that I would cancel it should guidance show some sort of
run-to-run consistency. Even some the hires data hasn`t been
initializing well at times...or show significant changes from run-
to-run difference, but also understand it`s normal/expected this
time of year. That said, until we`re sure this complex moves far
enough offshore and disrupts things, we`ll ride a while longer
with the Flood Watch but will be cutting down expected precip
amounts. I`m currently thinking more localized street flooding
issues (if anything).
The primary mid-upper trof axis is currently situated across nctl
Mexico. We`ll probably see some more rain/storms Friday and it
makes it closer, and eventually east of the region Friday night.
Though POPs are fairly high, think the overall activity will be
somewhat scattered in nature. 47
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Possibly a few straggling shra Saturday morning, but conditions
in the long term range are otherwise looking relatively dry and
benign in the wake of the system bringing us rainfall in the short
term. A series of passing disturbances to the north of the region
will bring some modest rain chances to the Piney Woods area late
this weekend and in the mid-week timeframe. Temperatures will be
on the increase through the weekend into next week - high
temperatures will climb to the mid-upper 80s, with 90 degrees
possible by midweek. Overnight lows will remain in the mid/upper
60s to low 70s.
McNeel
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Conditions are expected to remain VFR today with mid-level
overcast skies. Shower activity has scattered out for the most
part across the region but remains in the areas north and south
of the Houston metro. Winds will remain out of the southeast today
around 8-12 kts with some occasional higher gusts. Ceilings are
expected to drop to the 700-1500 ft range region- wide late
tonight and overnight as another round of showers and isolated
embedded thunderstorms moves into the area through the overnight
hours into Friday morning. Heavier bands of rain could reduce
visibilities down to 2-4 miles locally. There looks to be a brief
break in shower activity late Friday morning before another
potential round of showers/thunderstorms moves across the area
Friday afternoon.
McNeel
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
The next disturbance is moving into the area. Expect periods of
rain and isolated thunderstorms overnight. The primary marine
hazards, however will be increasing winds and building seas.
A storm complex is moving east-southeast off the lower and middle
Texas coast this afternoon and evening. Wind gusts to or above
gale are a possibility on its northern periphery along the upper
Texas coastal waters...likely more gradient driven than storm
strength. Small Craft Advisories are in effect for all waters
overnight. Mariners should consider these conditions before beginning
or continuing their transits. After tonight, another (likely
final) disturbance should be tracking into the area Friday with
scattered showers and storms. The system moves out of the area
early on Saturday. Light to moderate onshore flow and decreasing
seas are expected in its wake through early next week. 47
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 350 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025
Given lower fcst rainfall amounts in the fcst, we`re not anticipating
much other than some modest rises to possibly lower end action stages
on portion of the Tres Palacios and Lavaca Rivers. 47
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 61 73 63 82 / 80 80 30 10
Houston (IAH) 63 74 65 83 / 70 80 50 30
Galveston (GLS) 65 73 67 76 / 60 90 70 40
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch through Friday evening for TXZ210-226-227-235>237-
335>337-436-437.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ330-335-350-
355-370-375.
&&
Finally got some decent rain earlier. Picked up 1.4”. All is good now lol
Was hoping for much more rain to wash out all this damn pollen.
ACHOO!!!
ACHOO!!!
South and Texas are in a severe drought. They can use the rain.
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentM ... aspx?South
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentM ... aspx?South
Indeed. On a related note, I spent the first 33 years of my life in South Louisiana.Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Thu Mar 27, 2025 8:55 pm South and Texas are in a severe drought. They can use the rain.
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentM ... aspx?South
I can vividly recall never wanting for rain….except for the Summer of 2011 (it was bad there, also). I remember that year specifically because I had just bought my first house and had decided to landscape the entire lot myself Spring 2011. Water bill was atrocious.
Funny how just a short stone’s throw away from the La border, I find myself anxious at times about getting rain (as we all do on here).
-
Brazoriatx979
- Posts: 346
- Joined: Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:10 am
- Location: Angleton
- Contact:
So this was it for the big rain event? I got like a light mist for maybe 10 15 seconds lol