Not sure where you are, but this is the latest information
January 2025
Maybe the HRRR ends up being right but i don't have much faith in it. I can count numerous recent rain events where it showed "most of the heavy rain north of I-10 or east of 45 or along the coast etc and it ended up being the opposite. At this point its time to now cast and trust the meteorologist interpretations of the models based on actual conditions.
- MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2616
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
- Contact:
Onset of precip moved up 3-4 hours for most. That will be more accumulating precip.
Team #NeverSummer
-
- Posts: 346
- Joined: Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:10 am
- Location: Angleton
- Contact:
for who?MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 1:57 pm Onset of precip moved up 3-4 hours for most. That will be more accumulating precip.
Some sleet on the radar near Goliad. It's on its way.
- tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6018
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
I would, if I were you, let them know that the forecast has not changed. Give them the website address to the HGX NWS if they gave questions.
- MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2616
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
- Contact:
Yep. And since this is the 18z run, it already accounts for the variables people mentioned (e.g. how the earlier cloud cover is suppressing high temps today).Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 1:30 pm HRRR continues to suppress QPF/snow totals along the coast
Pair that with the system moving away faster, and we might very well get blanked. Even if higher totals verify, faster storm system movement leads to more afternoon clearing (and resultant melting).
- MontgomeryCoWx
- Posts: 2616
- Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
- Location: Weimar, TX
- Contact:
No one is asking you to leave, just don’t be a whiny negative poster when one model isn’t showing what we or you want.Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 1:53 pmMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 1:40 pmIt’s way off on just about everything else right now compared to initialization
You’re the worst in these situations, LOL, stop whining, you’re in Georgetown now .
Peace out then.
It’s HRRR vs everyone else right now. Other short range models are trending back better.
Team #NeverSummer
-
- Posts: 5357
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
the hrrr has about as high of a chance of verifying as i do getting struck by lightning lol.
In all seriousness we cant give that much weight to it given its already busted on temperatures
In all seriousness we cant give that much weight to it given its already busted on temperatures
I keep hearing that things are moving faster. Will it still be safe to drive in Houston around 6-7 pm?
-
- Posts: 1396
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:15 am
- Location: Porter, Texas. (Montgomery County)
- Contact:
I see we are getting into disrespectful behavior again.
It's weather, folks.
It's weather, folks.
The time for model tea leaf reading is over.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
-
- Posts: 5357
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
It does look like their is already more moisture a little more north than even what the hrrr depicts , at least looking on radar it looks that way
Indeed. We'll have to see whatever last minute tricks/quirks/details/etc can happen in comparison to the overall precip trends from recent (at time of comment) guidance.
Even a mere dusting would be a nice event for many here, especially taking climo to account.
This waiting is worse than waiting for that dang giraffe to be born years ago... come on, already!!
-
- Information
-
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot], DoctorMu, jasons2k, TexasBreeze and 14 guests