January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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sambucol
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 9:39 pm 00z ICON is a full on snowstorm for western, central and se texas
Yes!!!!! When does it show the snow starting?
Stratton20
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Wednesday night through friday morning, 3-5 inches for most of se texas
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snowman65
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but... can the ICON be trusted this far out??
txsnowmaker
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Cpv17
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snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 9:55 pm but... can the ICON be trusted this far out??
The ICON is a pretty good model tbh. The 0z Euro tonight is what I really wanna see though.
txsnowmaker
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Oz GFS has precip in Houston but appears to be all rain. Suspect it’s underdoing temps.

This would be a lot of snow if they’re too warm on forecasted temps…

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.ph ... &dpdt=&mc=
Last edited by txsnowmaker on Thu Jan 02, 2025 10:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Stratton20
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CMC 00z still has a snowstorm over houston
Cpv17
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txsnowmaker wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 10:20 pm Oz GFS has precip in Houston but appears to be all rain. Suspect it’s underdoing temps.

This would be a lot of snow if they’re too warm on forecasted temps…

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.ph ... &dpdt=&mc=
It’s more than likely overdoing the temps. The GFS has a known bias for this.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 I know that CMC will make you happy haha!
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txsnowmaker
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Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 10:27 pm Cpv17 I know that CMC will make you happy haha!
Very much! And CoCo too :D
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DoctorMu
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Are you not entertained?

...and the GFS piles on.
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Cpv17
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GEFS should be interesting.
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DoctorMu
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Ensembles are buying in. they are hedging on the amount of snow. It *could* be an interesting mid-week next week.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Give me the CMC and my 7-8 inches and I’ll give Jason an early Spring and jet off for Spring skiing in Montana.
Team #NeverSummer
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Cpv17 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 10:35 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 10:27 pm Cpv17 I know that CMC will make you happy haha!
Very much! And CoCo too :D
Damn right. We have steep hills on our property so I would have some fun skiing and sledding in CoCo.
Team #NeverSummer
Cpv17
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Goodness gracious, that 0z GFS run was flat nuts. Unreal pattern.
Stratton20
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00z GEPS average mean, that’s absolutely insane, you just dont see a signal like that often
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biggerbyte
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Well it is 4:30am. The ICON took a dump on all of the fun it was showing earlier. The GFS continues to give Dallas the action.

Oh well.. Eye candy melts too
Cpv17
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biggerbyte wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 4:23 am Well it is 4:30am. The ICON took a dump on all of the fun it was showing earlier. The GFS continues to give Dallas the action.

Oh well.. Eye candy melts too
The 6z & 18z ICON only goes out to 120 hours. The 12z and 0z ICON go out to 180 hours. We’ll have to wait till around 11am for the 12z ICON.
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