January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Stratton20
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Cpv17 now it might be the opposite this time around, Euro seeing it, and the GFS is on an island lol
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Cold is coming with the overall pattern (which is highly welcomed after the last few weeks), but I’m not saying much about severity until I see how cold WCAN gets in the next couple of days, what snow falls over the next few days in Kansas and north and how does the blocking evolve into next week.

I think the first shot will be chilly but I’m not buying winter weather with that one. I’m looking more towards the middle to late part of the month. It should be a well below normal month.
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Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 11:48 am Cpv17 now it might be the opposite this time around, Euro seeing it, and the GFS is on an island lol
Honestly, that wouldn’t even surprise me lol
Cpv17
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I’m curious to know what the teleconnections will be towards mid to late month.
Stratton20
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12z Euro again is very aggressive with back to back winter storms over south central and se texas
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 12:28 pm I’m curious to know what the teleconnections will be towards mid to late month.
I think you’re worrying too much about it. If this evolves like we think, you’re looking at a good 3 weeks, maybe 4 of solid cold fronts. If the energy keeps coming, even in NW flow, you’re looking at multiple chances of winter weather.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Random note… we sit due south of Fayette Lake. Due to it being a power plant lake, there have been lake effect snow bands that have reached us some 18 miles south when the wind is just right. It’s light, but it’s wild. It’s happened twice in the last 5 years.
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Brazoriatx979
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Stratton20 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 12:30 pm 12z Euro again is very aggressive with back to back winter storms over south central and se texas
Let's see it if ya got it
Cpv17
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 12:42 pm Random note… we sit due south of Fayette Lake. Due to it being a power plant lake, there have been lake effect snow bands that have reached us some 18 miles south when the wind is just right. It’s light, but it’s wild. It’s happened twice in the last 5 years.
You’re south of I-10, correct?
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 12:46 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 12:42 pm Random note… we sit due south of Fayette Lake. Due to it being a power plant lake, there have been lake effect snow bands that have reached us some 18 miles south when the wind is just right. It’s light, but it’s wild. It’s happened twice in the last 5 years.
You’re south of I-10, correct?
Yes.

I should specify that our place 18 miles south is where we hunt and get away to some weekends.

Our place of residence is between Weimar and Sheridan. No way a band could make it that far. I think that is 27 miles and more SSW.
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Cpv17
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Stratton20
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12z Euro
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Brazoriatx979
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Stratton20 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 1:41 pm12z Euro
Good start, but I'm gunna need that to go alllllllllll the way to the coast lol
Cpv17
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 1:47 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 1:41 pm12z Euro
Good start, but I'm gunna need that to go alllllllllll the way to the coast lol
Plenty of time lol
Cpv17
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The 12z EPS has a signal for snow all the way to the coast and even into parts of the Gulf… wow!
Brazoriatx979
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 2:21 pm The 12z EPS has a signal for snow all the way to the coast and even into parts of the Gulf… wow!
See now THAT..THAT RIGHT THERE IS WHAT WE ARE TALKING ABOUT!!
biggerbyte
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Folks, another big weather event is setting up for our area around the 10th of January. We need to get a better lock on it around the 6th. You know how things are around here with really anything beyond three days. It's just something different to look forward to. Keep in mind anything being said this far out is NOT a forecast. Just to see the possibility of a snowstorm of this magnitude is extremely rare. I'd rather see that than ice or freezing rain. Keep those on the table as well until we lock in the level of cold air intrusion.

Eyes and ears...
Stratton20
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Winter is coming with a vengeance
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Brazoriatx979
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Stratton20 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 3:35 pm Winter is coming with a vengeance
Looks like it's going to the east lol of course...
Stratton20
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Brazoriatx979 not really, even if the highest probability of hazardous temperatures is to our east, we are still going to get very cold, this cold is driven by the EPO and the tropospheric polar vortex, we are likely going to have very cold weather, im talking highs probably in the 30’s with lows in the 20’s, we dont need the bitter stuff, in fact that euro run shows just low 30’s and has heavy snow all across se texas
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