August 2024

[tireman4]

894
FXUS64 KHGX 081126
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
626 AM CDT Thu Aug 8 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday Night)
Issued at 239 AM CDT Thu Aug 8 2024

Today`s Heat Advisory has been expanded to include the coastal
counties. The dominance of mid/upper ridging will continue to drive
the weather in the short term. This equates to dry and very hot
conditions across southeast Texas. Inland afternoon highs are
expected to reach 100-102F (locally higher) with low/mid 90s at the
coast. Obviously it will feel hotter thanks to our southeast Texas
humidity. Heat index values are expected to peak in the 108-112F
range. Tonight will be steamy. Lows will generally be in the upper
70s. Coastal and urban areas will struggle to drop below 80 degrees.
Tomorrow looks like a similar day. The blend of guidance used for
our dew points indicate that the humidity could be a tad lower
across our northern counties tomorrow, potentially knocking heat
indices down a couple of degrees. That being said, it`s gonna be
very hot across the entire CWA today and tomorrow. Be sure to remain
hydrated, take breaks if working outside, and NEVER leave a child or
pet in a vehicle. Also, if the pavement is too hot for your bare
feet, then it`s probably too hot for the paws of our furry friends.

This is the climatological peak of the summer folks. Hang in there
and stay cool!

Self

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 239 AM CDT Thu Aug 8 2024

Not a whole lot of summer heat relief can be expected Saturday through
Wednesday as mid/upper level ridging remains in our area. This morning`s
forecast package has highs each day in the mid to upper 90s, and we
might get very close to 100 in/around parts of the Brazos Valley. Lows
each day will be in the mid to upper 70s. At this time, a good section
of the area looks to have heat index values at or above 108 degrees
each day, so we might end up having to issue more heat advisories. Once
again, make sure to take all heat precautions even if there is not heat
advisory in effect. Subtle weaknesses in the ridge could allow for some
rain to edge back into the forecast starting on Monday, mainly in the
morning near the coast and inland in the afternoon with the inland extent
generally in/around the Highway 59/69 corridor. 42

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Thu Aug 8 2024

With the exception of a slight chance of patchy rural fog this
morning, VFR vis and cigs will prevail through the TAF period.
Winds will remain light, though may increase somewhat from the
south to southeast in areas that experience the sea / bay breeze.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 239 AM CDT Thu Aug 8 2024

Light winds and low seas will prevail. During the overnight hours,
winds may intermittently increase to around 10 to 15 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 101 78 100 79 / 0 0 10 0
Houston (IAH) 101 81 101 81 / 10 0 10 0
Galveston (GLS) 93 81 93 82 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening
for TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-
313-335>338-436-438-439.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Self
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...42

[tireman4]

August usually starts to slowly cool off by the mid part of the month...

[DoctorMu]

I found this interesting table of historical data of the date of the 1st cool/cold front in Houston dating back to 1982.

A gentleman named Andy Gambos compiled it.

KPRC website.
https://www.click2houston.com/weather/2 ... ly-arrive/

Yeah - need a first Fall cool front contest - what's the criteria? Low at IAH under 60°F? It has to be more than a windshift, with appreciable cooling.

[DoctorMu]

August usually starts to slowly cool off by the mid part of the month...

I think today, August 8th is the statistical average peak of heat in CLL.

Just 16 days until CFB begins.

I'm going to predict a close game as GT at home will give F$U a scare on the 24th.

August 31: Aggies shock the world with a double digit win over ND at home. Elko's run D stymies Riley Leonard's running game and limits ND offense to bubble screens.

OL actually opens gaps for running and protects Conner Weigman.

[Cpv17]

August usually starts to slowly cool off by the mid part of the month...

I think today, August 8th is the statistical average peak of heat in CLL.

Just 16 days until CFB begins.

I'm going to predict a close game as GT at home will give F$U a scare on the 24th.

August 31: Aggies shock the world with a double digit win over ND at home. Elko's run D stymies Riley Leonard's running game and limits ND offense to bubble screens.

OL actually opens gaps for running and protects Conner Weigman.

Good luck with that. I’ll believe that when I see it. A&M has a long ways to go till they’re considered good in my eyes.

[Pas_Bon]

August usually starts to slowly cool off by the mid part of the month...

I think today, August 8th is the statistical average peak of heat in CLL.

Just 16 days until CFB begins.

I'm going to predict a close game as GT at home will give F$U a scare on the 24th.

August 31: Aggies shock the world with a double digit win over ND at home. Elko's run D stymies Riley Leonard's running game and limits ND offense to bubble screens.

OL actually opens gaps for running and protects Conner Weigman.

[DoctorMu]

August usually starts to slowly cool off by the mid part of the month...

I think today, August 8th is the statistical average peak of heat in CLL.

Just 16 days until CFB begins.

I'm going to predict a close game as GT at home will give F$U a scare on the 24th.

August 31: Aggies shock the world with a double digit win over ND at home. Elko's run D stymies Riley Leonard's running game and limits ND offense to bubble screens.

OL actually opens gaps for running and protects Conner Weigman.

Good luck with that. I’ll believe that when I see it. A&M has a long ways to go till they’re considered good in my eyes.

You didn't see what Elko did with 2* and 3* players at Duke. They beat Clemson easily and had ND, F$U and UNC on the ropes. Two bowl seasons in a row.

[Cpv17]

I think today, August 8th is the statistical average peak of heat in CLL.

Just 16 days until CFB begins.

I'm going to predict a close game as GT at home will give F$U a scare on the 24th.

August 31: Aggies shock the world with a double digit win over ND at home. Elko's run D stymies Riley Leonard's running game and limits ND offense to bubble screens.

OL actually opens gaps for running and protects Conner Weigman.

Good luck with that. I’ll believe that when I see it. A&M has a long ways to go till they’re considered good in my eyes.

You didn't see what Elko did with 2* and 3* players at Duke. They beat Clemson easily and had ND, F$U and UNC on the ropes. Two bowl seasons in a row.

Oh I saw it, but A&M has culture problems. I’ll believe it when I see it. And sometimes those 2 and 3 star players are more coachable and have a chip on their shoulder. 4 and 5 star players don’t mean anything when they have the wrong mindset.

[Stratton20]

I dont think culture problem is going to be an issue at A&M, Elko is a NO BS guy, my friend is an assistant defensive analyst for A&M and hes told me that elko has kicked guys out of practice for goofing off, he doesnt put up with that, exact opposite of Jimbo , who was a big softie

[Pas_Bon]

I found this interesting table of historical data of the date of the 1st cool/cold front in Houston dating back to 1982.

A gentleman named Andy Gambos compiled it.

KPRC website.
https://www.click2houston.com/weather/2 ... ly-arrive/

Yeah - need a first Fall cool front contest - what's the criteria? Low at IAH under 60°F? It has to be more than a windshift, with appreciable cooling.

I’d say any front that brings low temp down below 65° and/or dew points in the 60°/50° range.
Maybe high temp 80° or less

[DoctorMu]

Good luck with that. I’ll believe that when I see it. A&M has a long ways to go till they’re considered good in my eyes.

You didn't see what Elko did with 2* and 3* players at Duke. They beat Clemson easily and had ND, F$U and UNC on the ropes. Two bowl seasons in a row.

Oh I saw it, but A&M has culture problems. I’ll believe it when I see it. And sometimes those 2 and 3 star players are more coachable and have a chip on their shoulder. 4 and 5 star players don’t mean anything when they have the wrong mindset.

Jimbo was the culture problem. Sumlin before that, although he was always good for an 8-4. Johnny was lightning in a bottle. The A&M brass thought mistakenly it was more. But they've all been fired or are retiring (John Sharp at last!)

The Aggies have a boatload of talent. Elko brought accountability.

[Cpv17]

Hottest day of the year down here today and it’s not even close. Today resembled a day from last summer. Absolutely brutal.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 its ridiculous, feels like temp of 117 here, absolutely miserable

[Cpv17]

Cpv17 its ridiculous, feels like temp of 117 here, absolutely miserable

At 3:30 we hit 100°F with a feels like of 117 as well. And I had to work in it. Pure misery, but a person has to do what they gotta do for money. Can’t do jack without it. Can’t wait to get home and take a shower lol

[DoctorMu]

Chance of storms this evening, mostly NW of I-69/59

[DoctorMu]

97°F here. DP = 77.5°F. A *mere* 113°F HI

The mixdown from a few days ago has evaporated.

[Stratton20]

Heat wave to break in about a week? thats a very nice upper air pattern on the GFS, Ridging over the western US extending all the way up Canada , forcing a deep trough to dig down over the central US, may bring us better rain chances and cooler air

[Cpv17]

We just got a really nice storm here. Unfortunately it knocked out my TV for a while so I missed some of the Texans game.

[Cpv17]

Picked up a nice .40” this evening.

[DoctorMu]

Nothing here despite a 40% chance. It was 90°F at 9:30 pm. Ugggh.

Some nice storms moved through Shiner and Cuero.