August 2024
Got back home to see that 2.25 inches fell this morning. Sprinklers stunned for the rest of this week.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6024
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
605
FXUS64 KHGX 051102
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
602 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
The focus this week is on the heat, as we are firmly in what is
already what is on average the hottest time of the year in
Southeast Texas, and we will be looking at conditions hotter than
those averages. Each day will see conditions near or exceeding the
heat advisory threshold for at least a portion of the area, so the
potential for advisories will need to be seriously evaluated each
day. Here are a few different ways to look at heat expected this
week:
- Look for high temperatures to drift slowly upwards through the
week, with forecast highs inland in the middle to upper 90s
today (lower 90s at the coast), gradually seeing triple digit
highs emerge as early as tomorrow, and expand in coverage into
the late week. At night, things don`t really look any more
comfortable, with forecast lows in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
- Peak heat index values look to follow a similar trend through
the week, already reaching into the 102-107 range (with isolated
higher numbers) for the first half of the week. Going into the
late week, however, we could see the area of peak heat index
values above the 108 threshold for a heat advisory.
- Where Heat Index considers only temperature and humidity, and
assumes a shaded area sheltered from wind, the wet bulb globe
temperature also takes things like solar impact and wind into
consideration, and may be more useful for folks doing strenuous
work out in exposed areas. All week, virtually the entire area
looks to see peak WBGT in the high risk range. Scattered spots
today look to max out in the extreme risk range, and that area
of extreme risk only looks to grow deeper into the week.
- Finally, even the experimental HeatRisk product, which restricts
itself to looking at the abnormality and duration of temperature
alone is picking up on the trends this week. We begin with most
of the area in the minor/moderate range and scraps of major in
the hottest parts of the area. But as with all of the other
angles discussed here so far, expect that area of major HeatRisk
to expand, with some extreme areas emerging late in the week.
TL;DR - we`re in the stretch of the highest average heat
conditions of the year, and this week will see heat exceed those
averages. This is a week for keeping heat safety at front of mind.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Today looks to see forecast highs in the lower 90s near the coast,
and middle to upper 90s inland. With dewpoints only expected to
bottom out in the upper 60s (far inland) to middle 70s (at the
coast) in the afternoon, we`re looking at heat index to peak out
in the 102-107 range, with isolated hot spots looking to poke up
briefly into the 108-110 range. And today is the "cool" day of the
week. Because the breadth and duration of 108+ heat index values
is somewhat lacking, I`m opting to hold off on a heat advisory for
today...but basically a day that is any hotter or more humid than
forecast could require an advisory on short notice.
A little shortwave trough looks to make its way down the Upper and
Middle Texas Gulf Coast today, which should "help" in giving us a
little bit of cloudiness, and even an isolated shower/storm down
around Matagorda Bay. That shortwave looks to continue on down the
coast tomorrow, leaving mid-level ridging to expand its influence
and control over Southeast Texas tomorrow. This means high
temperatures drift high up into the 90s, with isolated hot spots
likely reaching 100. The one saving grace is that we should also
be a little more effective in getting afternoon mixing of drier
air down to the surface. As a result, peak heat index values don`t
move much - hitting a 103-108 range with isolated higher max
numbers in that 108-110 range.
So, while we are going to again have to seriously consider a heat
advisory tomorrow, there`s not a whole lot of confidence in a yes
or no for either today or tomorrow. But it`s so close, that it`s
night on a moot point: this level of heat can kill if you don`t
(or can`t) take proactive measure against it. If you do enter the
day with a plan and capabilities to counteract the heat, that
defangs a lot of the threat. Frequent breaks, generous hydration,
and finding excuses to hang out in air conditioned spaces will be
everyone`s friend today, tomorrow, and really the rest of the
week...but that`s for the long term section to discuss.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
August is gonna August in the long term due to a strong mid/upper
ridge that will build through mid/late week, before atrophying
somewhat by the weekend. This pattern will yield a sunny, hot, and
dry regime. Inland high temperatures are expected to average around
100 degrees Tuesday-Friday while areas closer to the coast will
predominantly be in the low/mid 90s. Overnight lows are expected to
be in the mid/upper 70s. However, areas near the coast and within
Houston`s urban heat island are likely to struggle to drop below 80.
Humidity will certainly make it feel hotter. Heat index values are
likely to approach Heat Advisory criteria (108 degrees). The blend
of models used for our dew point and temperature grids are
indicating that the best chance of reaching Heat Advisory criteria
will be Thursday and Friday. But it`s worth mentioning that heat
safety is warranted regardless of whether or not an advisory is
issued. Temperatures may moderate somewhat by the weekend as the
ridge weakens. However, don`t expect it to cool off much. The early
outlook for the weekend features widespread temperatures in the
mid/upper 90s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 602 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Virtually all VFR, barely any scraps of cloud to mar a completely
SKC set of TAFs. VSBY already back up to at least 6SM at CXO and
LBX as very localized fog is dissipating early this morning. Winds
light and variable, coming up to more ENE than anything else as
the sun rises through the morning. From HOUish coastward, can
expect seabreeze to veer winds more southeasterly before going all
sites are back to light and variable after sundown.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Not much to talk about in the marine space. Winds will generally be
weak and seas will remain low.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 97 77 98 75 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 98 79 99 78 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 93 80 93 80 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Luchs
LONG TERM....Self
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...Self
FXUS64 KHGX 051102
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
602 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
The focus this week is on the heat, as we are firmly in what is
already what is on average the hottest time of the year in
Southeast Texas, and we will be looking at conditions hotter than
those averages. Each day will see conditions near or exceeding the
heat advisory threshold for at least a portion of the area, so the
potential for advisories will need to be seriously evaluated each
day. Here are a few different ways to look at heat expected this
week:
- Look for high temperatures to drift slowly upwards through the
week, with forecast highs inland in the middle to upper 90s
today (lower 90s at the coast), gradually seeing triple digit
highs emerge as early as tomorrow, and expand in coverage into
the late week. At night, things don`t really look any more
comfortable, with forecast lows in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
- Peak heat index values look to follow a similar trend through
the week, already reaching into the 102-107 range (with isolated
higher numbers) for the first half of the week. Going into the
late week, however, we could see the area of peak heat index
values above the 108 threshold for a heat advisory.
- Where Heat Index considers only temperature and humidity, and
assumes a shaded area sheltered from wind, the wet bulb globe
temperature also takes things like solar impact and wind into
consideration, and may be more useful for folks doing strenuous
work out in exposed areas. All week, virtually the entire area
looks to see peak WBGT in the high risk range. Scattered spots
today look to max out in the extreme risk range, and that area
of extreme risk only looks to grow deeper into the week.
- Finally, even the experimental HeatRisk product, which restricts
itself to looking at the abnormality and duration of temperature
alone is picking up on the trends this week. We begin with most
of the area in the minor/moderate range and scraps of major in
the hottest parts of the area. But as with all of the other
angles discussed here so far, expect that area of major HeatRisk
to expand, with some extreme areas emerging late in the week.
TL;DR - we`re in the stretch of the highest average heat
conditions of the year, and this week will see heat exceed those
averages. This is a week for keeping heat safety at front of mind.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Today looks to see forecast highs in the lower 90s near the coast,
and middle to upper 90s inland. With dewpoints only expected to
bottom out in the upper 60s (far inland) to middle 70s (at the
coast) in the afternoon, we`re looking at heat index to peak out
in the 102-107 range, with isolated hot spots looking to poke up
briefly into the 108-110 range. And today is the "cool" day of the
week. Because the breadth and duration of 108+ heat index values
is somewhat lacking, I`m opting to hold off on a heat advisory for
today...but basically a day that is any hotter or more humid than
forecast could require an advisory on short notice.
A little shortwave trough looks to make its way down the Upper and
Middle Texas Gulf Coast today, which should "help" in giving us a
little bit of cloudiness, and even an isolated shower/storm down
around Matagorda Bay. That shortwave looks to continue on down the
coast tomorrow, leaving mid-level ridging to expand its influence
and control over Southeast Texas tomorrow. This means high
temperatures drift high up into the 90s, with isolated hot spots
likely reaching 100. The one saving grace is that we should also
be a little more effective in getting afternoon mixing of drier
air down to the surface. As a result, peak heat index values don`t
move much - hitting a 103-108 range with isolated higher max
numbers in that 108-110 range.
So, while we are going to again have to seriously consider a heat
advisory tomorrow, there`s not a whole lot of confidence in a yes
or no for either today or tomorrow. But it`s so close, that it`s
night on a moot point: this level of heat can kill if you don`t
(or can`t) take proactive measure against it. If you do enter the
day with a plan and capabilities to counteract the heat, that
defangs a lot of the threat. Frequent breaks, generous hydration,
and finding excuses to hang out in air conditioned spaces will be
everyone`s friend today, tomorrow, and really the rest of the
week...but that`s for the long term section to discuss.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
August is gonna August in the long term due to a strong mid/upper
ridge that will build through mid/late week, before atrophying
somewhat by the weekend. This pattern will yield a sunny, hot, and
dry regime. Inland high temperatures are expected to average around
100 degrees Tuesday-Friday while areas closer to the coast will
predominantly be in the low/mid 90s. Overnight lows are expected to
be in the mid/upper 70s. However, areas near the coast and within
Houston`s urban heat island are likely to struggle to drop below 80.
Humidity will certainly make it feel hotter. Heat index values are
likely to approach Heat Advisory criteria (108 degrees). The blend
of models used for our dew point and temperature grids are
indicating that the best chance of reaching Heat Advisory criteria
will be Thursday and Friday. But it`s worth mentioning that heat
safety is warranted regardless of whether or not an advisory is
issued. Temperatures may moderate somewhat by the weekend as the
ridge weakens. However, don`t expect it to cool off much. The early
outlook for the weekend features widespread temperatures in the
mid/upper 90s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 602 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Virtually all VFR, barely any scraps of cloud to mar a completely
SKC set of TAFs. VSBY already back up to at least 6SM at CXO and
LBX as very localized fog is dissipating early this morning. Winds
light and variable, coming up to more ENE than anything else as
the sun rises through the morning. From HOUish coastward, can
expect seabreeze to veer winds more southeasterly before going all
sites are back to light and variable after sundown.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Not much to talk about in the marine space. Winds will generally be
weak and seas will remain low.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 97 77 98 75 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 98 79 99 78 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 93 80 93 80 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Luchs
LONG TERM....Self
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...Self
AKA Death Ridge. I hope it weakens next week.
August is gonna August in the long term due to a strong mid/upper
ridge that will build through mid/late week, before atrophying
somewhat by the weekend.
August is gonna August in the long term due to a strong mid/upper
ridge that will build through mid/late week, before atrophying
somewhat by the weekend.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6024
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
859
FXUS64 KHGX 051937
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
237 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Hot and dry are the two main weather words this week. High pressure
continues to dominate the weather pattern across the region,
resulting in hot and relatively dry conditions. Currently, mid-cloud
cover will continue to increase this afternoon as daytime heating
causes mixing of the high dew point air near the surface. It is hot
out there with heat index values generally between 97 to 107 degF
early this afternoon. With decent mixing, dew points in the low to
mid 70s have kept conditions warm but dry, with heat indices a tad
below advisory levels. Afternoon radar shows a few showers and
storms developing over the coastal counties, particularly across
Matagorda and Brazoria counties. This activity is due to the
combination of daytime heating, a passing shortwave trough aloft
and seabreeze interaction. Showers are expected to diminish late
this afternoon.
A quiet and mild night is ahead with some low-lying patchy fog
possible. Expect even hotter temperatures on Tuesday with highs
mainly from the mid-90s to near 100F. Afternoon mixing should once
again keep heat indices near to slightly below advisory levels. A
shower or two cannot be ruled out in the afternoon near the coast
due to diurnal heating and sea-bay breeze interactions.
JM
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
It`s August.
...
....
.....
Wait you`re still here?! It`s August, it`s hot...what more is there
to say?! Well I suppose we can talk about HOW hot it`ll be this week.
Upper level high pressure and its subsequent ridge axis will
continue nudging its way eastward and eventually sit right over
Southeast TX towards the end of the work week, so there`ll be plenty
of heat to go around. Let`s lay out all of the factors going into
the high temperature forecast this week: 500mb heights gradually
increasing as the high pressure center inches closer going from 592-
594 midweek up to 594-596 dam at the end of the work week; 850mb
temperatures near the 99th to MAX percentile (NAEFS/GEFS) midweek
into the weekend with values mainly between 21-25C; Periods of
southwesterly flow at the surface adding to the WAA; Slightly
drier air mixing in with dew points dropping into the mid/upper
60s to low 70s in the afternoon. ALL of that adds up to widespread
temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s midweek and into the
weekend. Wednesday through Friday in particular look to be the
hottest days of the forecast period with most inland locations
near or exceeding the 100F mark. Although dew points will be a
bit lower, with temperatures generally around 100F throughout the
week, it makes reaching the Heat Advisory threshold (heat indices
108F) a bit easier. There will likely be Heat Advisories at
some point throughout the week.
There are some indications that the ridge will begin to weaken,
which explains the decreasing temperature trend beginning on Sunday.
It remains to be seen if the ridge breaks down enough to allow for
rain chances to return, but the one thing we are certain of is the
above normal temperatures. There won`t be much relief overnight
either as low temperatures will only bottom out in the mid/upper 70s
to low 80s throughout the week. Just because it`s "normally" hot in
August doesn`t mean that we should let heat safety precautions fall
by the wayside. You should still know the signs of heat related
illnesses (heat stroke/heat exhaustion), drink plenty of water to
stay hydrated, take frequent breaks from the heat, avoid strenuous
outdoor activities during the hottest part of the day, wear
sunscreen and loose/light-colored clothing, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS
LOOK before you LOCK your vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as
well...if the ground is too hot for the palm of your hand, then it
is too hot for their paws.
Batiste
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
VFR conditions are expected through the period. Light winds will
transition to the ENE this afternoon, but will generally remain
between 5 to 8 knots. Terminals south of HOU could see a wind
shift to the SE due to seabreeze. Light and variable winds are
once again expected this evening through the remainder of this TAF
period. A shower/storm or two will be possible around the coastal
terminals (including SGR and HOU) this afternoon. However,
confidence in occurrence and coverage is low to be included in
TAFs.
JM
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Benign marine conditions persist with light winds and low seas
prevailing throughout the week.
Batiste
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 76 98 76 100 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 78 99 78 100 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 80 93 80 92 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM....Batiste
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...Batiste
FXUS64 KHGX 051937
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
237 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Hot and dry are the two main weather words this week. High pressure
continues to dominate the weather pattern across the region,
resulting in hot and relatively dry conditions. Currently, mid-cloud
cover will continue to increase this afternoon as daytime heating
causes mixing of the high dew point air near the surface. It is hot
out there with heat index values generally between 97 to 107 degF
early this afternoon. With decent mixing, dew points in the low to
mid 70s have kept conditions warm but dry, with heat indices a tad
below advisory levels. Afternoon radar shows a few showers and
storms developing over the coastal counties, particularly across
Matagorda and Brazoria counties. This activity is due to the
combination of daytime heating, a passing shortwave trough aloft
and seabreeze interaction. Showers are expected to diminish late
this afternoon.
A quiet and mild night is ahead with some low-lying patchy fog
possible. Expect even hotter temperatures on Tuesday with highs
mainly from the mid-90s to near 100F. Afternoon mixing should once
again keep heat indices near to slightly below advisory levels. A
shower or two cannot be ruled out in the afternoon near the coast
due to diurnal heating and sea-bay breeze interactions.
JM
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
It`s August.
...
....
.....
Wait you`re still here?! It`s August, it`s hot...what more is there
to say?! Well I suppose we can talk about HOW hot it`ll be this week.
Upper level high pressure and its subsequent ridge axis will
continue nudging its way eastward and eventually sit right over
Southeast TX towards the end of the work week, so there`ll be plenty
of heat to go around. Let`s lay out all of the factors going into
the high temperature forecast this week: 500mb heights gradually
increasing as the high pressure center inches closer going from 592-
594 midweek up to 594-596 dam at the end of the work week; 850mb
temperatures near the 99th to MAX percentile (NAEFS/GEFS) midweek
into the weekend with values mainly between 21-25C; Periods of
southwesterly flow at the surface adding to the WAA; Slightly
drier air mixing in with dew points dropping into the mid/upper
60s to low 70s in the afternoon. ALL of that adds up to widespread
temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s midweek and into the
weekend. Wednesday through Friday in particular look to be the
hottest days of the forecast period with most inland locations
near or exceeding the 100F mark. Although dew points will be a
bit lower, with temperatures generally around 100F throughout the
week, it makes reaching the Heat Advisory threshold (heat indices
108F) a bit easier. There will likely be Heat Advisories at
some point throughout the week.
There are some indications that the ridge will begin to weaken,
which explains the decreasing temperature trend beginning on Sunday.
It remains to be seen if the ridge breaks down enough to allow for
rain chances to return, but the one thing we are certain of is the
above normal temperatures. There won`t be much relief overnight
either as low temperatures will only bottom out in the mid/upper 70s
to low 80s throughout the week. Just because it`s "normally" hot in
August doesn`t mean that we should let heat safety precautions fall
by the wayside. You should still know the signs of heat related
illnesses (heat stroke/heat exhaustion), drink plenty of water to
stay hydrated, take frequent breaks from the heat, avoid strenuous
outdoor activities during the hottest part of the day, wear
sunscreen and loose/light-colored clothing, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS
LOOK before you LOCK your vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as
well...if the ground is too hot for the palm of your hand, then it
is too hot for their paws.
Batiste
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
VFR conditions are expected through the period. Light winds will
transition to the ENE this afternoon, but will generally remain
between 5 to 8 knots. Terminals south of HOU could see a wind
shift to the SE due to seabreeze. Light and variable winds are
once again expected this evening through the remainder of this TAF
period. A shower/storm or two will be possible around the coastal
terminals (including SGR and HOU) this afternoon. However,
confidence in occurrence and coverage is low to be included in
TAFs.
JM
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Aug 5 2024
Benign marine conditions persist with light winds and low seas
prevailing throughout the week.
Batiste
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 76 98 76 100 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 78 99 78 100 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 80 93 80 92 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM....Batiste
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...Batiste
Dog days of summer. Not much to talk about.
There is a FROPA that will make it to Arkansas next week...whether Texas feels any relief is another story.
There was some drier air mixdown this afternoon - we might have sunk to a 69°F DP. lol
There was some drier air mixdown this afternoon - we might have sunk to a 69°F DP. lol
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6024
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
267
FXUS64 KHGX 061128
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
628 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
The heat will crank up a notch today and tomorrow thanks to a
building mid/upper level ridge of high pressure. Inland high
temperatures are expected to reach the upper 90s to near 100 degrees
this afternoon, with more areas reaching or surpassing the 100
degree mark on Wednesday. As to be expected, the humidity will make
it feel hotter than the actual temperature. Whether or not we are
able to reach Heat Advisory criteria (108-112 heat index) is
somewhat uncertain thanks to drier air mixing down to the surface
during the peak heating of the day. Widespread heat index values are
expected to be in the 104-108 range, with locally higher and lower
values likely. If there is less dry air in the mix, then these heat
indexes values will be higher. Therefore, we cannot rule out needing
heat advisories for today. Current blend of models used for our
temperatures and dew point grids are suggesting heat index values
right at criteria in Chambers and Liberty counties. We have held
off on heat advisories for those counties for now.
The one wild card in today`s weather is the potential for isolated
shower and thunderstorm activity along the sea breeze boundary this
afternoon. The aforementioned ridge will act to suppress convective
development. It is quite possible that no rainfall will occur
anywhere today. However, a plethora of guidance seems to think that
the LL lift from the sea breeze will suffice to pop off a few
isolated showers/thunderstorms. Therefore, we have kept 15-20 PoPs
over our coastal counties west of Galveston Bay.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
With the mid/upper level ridge remaining across the area, look for little
change in the heat. At this time, Thursday and Friday (and probably
Saturday) have the highest temperature forecasts (low 90s at the coast
and a mainly 100-103 range inland), and heat advisories are probably
going to be needed for most or all of the area. Don`t look for much
relief at night with mid 70s at some lucky inland spots and upper 70s
to low 80s at almost all other locations. Looking for cooler temperatures?
The rest of the period (Sunday and Monday) is just for you with inland
highs backing down into a mid 90s to around 100 range and inland lows
dropping back down into a mid to upper 70s range. Expect little to no
relief from possible rains as this forecast period remains dry for a
majority of the area.
As stated in yesterday afternoon`s discussion, just because it`s "normally"
hot in August doesn`t mean that we should let heat safety precautions
fall by the wayside. You should still know the signs of heat related
illnesses (heat stroke/heat exhaustion), drink plenty of water to stay
hydrated, take frequent breaks from the heat, avoid strenuous outdoor
activities during the hottest part of the day, wear sunscreen and loose/light-
colored clothing, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS LOOK before you LOCK your
vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as well...if the ground is too
hot for the palm of your hand, then it is too hot for their paws.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 623 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Patchy fog near LBX and SGR should clear 14Z. Otherwise, VFR
cigs/vis should prevail through the TAF period. There remains a
slight chance of isolated shra/tsra along the sea/bay breeze
boundary this afternoon. However, the chance of shra/tsra is too
low to warrant mention in the TAFs. A period of south to southeast
winds expected, especially from IAH to the coast, later this
afternoon as the sea/bay breeze pushes inland. These winds should
only be 5-10 knots, though could occasionally gust up to 15 knots.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Light winds, low seas and mostly dry weather will persist throughout
the week. Overnight winds may increase somewhat off the coast.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 98 77 100 76 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 99 80 100 79 / 10 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 93 80 91 82 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Self
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...42
FXUS64 KHGX 061128
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
628 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
The heat will crank up a notch today and tomorrow thanks to a
building mid/upper level ridge of high pressure. Inland high
temperatures are expected to reach the upper 90s to near 100 degrees
this afternoon, with more areas reaching or surpassing the 100
degree mark on Wednesday. As to be expected, the humidity will make
it feel hotter than the actual temperature. Whether or not we are
able to reach Heat Advisory criteria (108-112 heat index) is
somewhat uncertain thanks to drier air mixing down to the surface
during the peak heating of the day. Widespread heat index values are
expected to be in the 104-108 range, with locally higher and lower
values likely. If there is less dry air in the mix, then these heat
indexes values will be higher. Therefore, we cannot rule out needing
heat advisories for today. Current blend of models used for our
temperatures and dew point grids are suggesting heat index values
right at criteria in Chambers and Liberty counties. We have held
off on heat advisories for those counties for now.
The one wild card in today`s weather is the potential for isolated
shower and thunderstorm activity along the sea breeze boundary this
afternoon. The aforementioned ridge will act to suppress convective
development. It is quite possible that no rainfall will occur
anywhere today. However, a plethora of guidance seems to think that
the LL lift from the sea breeze will suffice to pop off a few
isolated showers/thunderstorms. Therefore, we have kept 15-20 PoPs
over our coastal counties west of Galveston Bay.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
With the mid/upper level ridge remaining across the area, look for little
change in the heat. At this time, Thursday and Friday (and probably
Saturday) have the highest temperature forecasts (low 90s at the coast
and a mainly 100-103 range inland), and heat advisories are probably
going to be needed for most or all of the area. Don`t look for much
relief at night with mid 70s at some lucky inland spots and upper 70s
to low 80s at almost all other locations. Looking for cooler temperatures?
The rest of the period (Sunday and Monday) is just for you with inland
highs backing down into a mid 90s to around 100 range and inland lows
dropping back down into a mid to upper 70s range. Expect little to no
relief from possible rains as this forecast period remains dry for a
majority of the area.
As stated in yesterday afternoon`s discussion, just because it`s "normally"
hot in August doesn`t mean that we should let heat safety precautions
fall by the wayside. You should still know the signs of heat related
illnesses (heat stroke/heat exhaustion), drink plenty of water to stay
hydrated, take frequent breaks from the heat, avoid strenuous outdoor
activities during the hottest part of the day, wear sunscreen and loose/light-
colored clothing, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS LOOK before you LOCK your
vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as well...if the ground is too
hot for the palm of your hand, then it is too hot for their paws.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 623 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Patchy fog near LBX and SGR should clear 14Z. Otherwise, VFR
cigs/vis should prevail through the TAF period. There remains a
slight chance of isolated shra/tsra along the sea/bay breeze
boundary this afternoon. However, the chance of shra/tsra is too
low to warrant mention in the TAFs. A period of south to southeast
winds expected, especially from IAH to the coast, later this
afternoon as the sea/bay breeze pushes inland. These winds should
only be 5-10 knots, though could occasionally gust up to 15 knots.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Light winds, low seas and mostly dry weather will persist throughout
the week. Overnight winds may increase somewhat off the coast.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 98 77 100 76 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 99 80 100 79 / 10 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 93 80 91 82 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Self
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...42
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5362
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Nothing to talk about, nothing but pure misery in the extended range
Pure crud.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:47 pm Nothing to talk about, nothing but pure misery in the extended range
C’mon Fall/Football
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6024
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
351
FXUS64 KHGX 061955
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
255 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Another hot afternoon is unfolding across SE TX with heat index values
between 100 - 108F. A few showers or storms will attempt to develop
over the coastal counties as the sea breeze develops/moves inland.
Overall, hot and dry for most with light variable winds.
A clear and muggy night is ahead with overnight lows into the upper 70s
to near 80. Patchy fog is once again expected, especially in low-lying
and rural areas.
Broad ridging aloft remains in control over the Southern CONUS and will
slightly shift eastward into the region Wednesday into the end of the
week. Increasing 500 hPa heights, 850mb temperatures into the 20-25
degC range and southwest to south surface winds will keep the region
warm and humid on Wednesday. In other words, a slightly hotter day is
on tap for the region on Wednesday with temperatures 2 to 8 degrees
above normal. Will continue to monitor for heat headlines as most of
the region will be close to advisory levels. Uncertainty arises in the
amount of drier air mixing down to the surface in the afternoon hours,
which is the peak of daytime heating. This is more likely for our
inland locations. Based on current forecast, peak heat indices between
105 to 109F can be expected. Whether we have heat headlines or not, it
is imperative to keep practicing heat safety wherever you are.
With strong subsidence aloft, little to no rainfall is expected.
JM
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Thursday and Friday are shaping up to be the hottest days of the
year so far with widespread triple digit temperatures as upper level
high pressure (heatdome) continues to sit overhead. 850mb
temperatures will remain in the 99th to MAX percentiles
(NAEFS/GEFS). With the ridging aloft persisting, we`ll continue to
have all that subsidence mix those abnormally warm temperatures
aloft down to the surface...thus making surface temperatures
abnormal. Our normal high temperatures this time of the year for the
City of Houston is 96F, and we`ll be a solid ~5F above that
Thursday-Saturday. The air temperatures will be aided a bit to reach
the 100s by some slightly drier air mixing in during the afternoon
hours as dew points fall into the upper 60s to low 70s. That being
said, with temperatures at or above 100F, it won`t take much to get
the heat indices above criteria ( 108F). It still looks likely
that a widespread Heat Advisory will be needed on Thursday-Saturday.
Friday will be the hottest day of the week, and we may see heat
indices flirt with Excessive Heat Warning criteria (( 113F) in
some areas. If it makes y`all feel any better though, by August 10th
of 2023, the City of Houston had already experienced around ~20 days
of 100+F days. By this weekend, we`ll still likely have less than 5
100+F days...so definitely not as bad as 2023!
Saturday will still be hot, but "cooler" by a degree or so as the
ridge begins to break down a bit. This is due to an upper level
trough moving through the Great Lakes region over the weekend. This
will actually push a cold front down near our area on Saturday. This
is actually a fairly decent front as dew points behind it appear to
drop down into the 50s...but alas...all of that drier air looks to
stay just east of us. On the plus side, with the ridge getting
weaker we go from abnormally hot to just normally hot as
temperatures on Sunday/Monday top out in the mid to upper 90s. Some
questionable potential for rainfall remains late in the
weekend/early next week as moisture returns with the frontal
boundary. It`ll be a battle between strong subsidence aloft/dry air
above the surface and elevated moisture. Which one is gonna win?!
Find out next time on...Houston Weather Z.
With heat indices around and above Heat Advisory criteria ( 108F)
through at least Saturday, please continue to keep heat safety at
the forefront of any plans that you make (especially if outdoors).
Know the signs of heat related illnesses (heat stroke/heat
exhaustion), drink plenty of water to stay hydrated, take frequent
breaks from the heat, avoid strenuous outdoor activities during the
hottest part of the day, wear sunscreen and loose/light-colored
clothing, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS LOOK before you LOCK your
vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as well! If the ground is too
hot for the palm of your hand, then it is too hot for their paws.
Batiste
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
SCT mid clouds will continue to develop this afternoon along with
light southeast to south winds. An isolated shower or two will be
possible this afternoon, particularly near terminals from HOU
coastward. Light and variable winds can be expected after sunset.
Overall, VFR conditions are expected through the period.
JM
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 255 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Benign marine conditions persist with light winds, low seas, and dry
conditions prevailing throughout the week. During the overnight
hours, winds may intermittently increase to around 10-15 knots.
Batiste
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 77 100 76 102 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 80 100 79 102 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 80 91 82 92 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM....Batiste
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...Batiste
FXUS64 KHGX 061955
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
255 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Another hot afternoon is unfolding across SE TX with heat index values
between 100 - 108F. A few showers or storms will attempt to develop
over the coastal counties as the sea breeze develops/moves inland.
Overall, hot and dry for most with light variable winds.
A clear and muggy night is ahead with overnight lows into the upper 70s
to near 80. Patchy fog is once again expected, especially in low-lying
and rural areas.
Broad ridging aloft remains in control over the Southern CONUS and will
slightly shift eastward into the region Wednesday into the end of the
week. Increasing 500 hPa heights, 850mb temperatures into the 20-25
degC range and southwest to south surface winds will keep the region
warm and humid on Wednesday. In other words, a slightly hotter day is
on tap for the region on Wednesday with temperatures 2 to 8 degrees
above normal. Will continue to monitor for heat headlines as most of
the region will be close to advisory levels. Uncertainty arises in the
amount of drier air mixing down to the surface in the afternoon hours,
which is the peak of daytime heating. This is more likely for our
inland locations. Based on current forecast, peak heat indices between
105 to 109F can be expected. Whether we have heat headlines or not, it
is imperative to keep practicing heat safety wherever you are.
With strong subsidence aloft, little to no rainfall is expected.
JM
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Thursday and Friday are shaping up to be the hottest days of the
year so far with widespread triple digit temperatures as upper level
high pressure (heatdome) continues to sit overhead. 850mb
temperatures will remain in the 99th to MAX percentiles
(NAEFS/GEFS). With the ridging aloft persisting, we`ll continue to
have all that subsidence mix those abnormally warm temperatures
aloft down to the surface...thus making surface temperatures
abnormal. Our normal high temperatures this time of the year for the
City of Houston is 96F, and we`ll be a solid ~5F above that
Thursday-Saturday. The air temperatures will be aided a bit to reach
the 100s by some slightly drier air mixing in during the afternoon
hours as dew points fall into the upper 60s to low 70s. That being
said, with temperatures at or above 100F, it won`t take much to get
the heat indices above criteria ( 108F). It still looks likely
that a widespread Heat Advisory will be needed on Thursday-Saturday.
Friday will be the hottest day of the week, and we may see heat
indices flirt with Excessive Heat Warning criteria (( 113F) in
some areas. If it makes y`all feel any better though, by August 10th
of 2023, the City of Houston had already experienced around ~20 days
of 100+F days. By this weekend, we`ll still likely have less than 5
100+F days...so definitely not as bad as 2023!
Saturday will still be hot, but "cooler" by a degree or so as the
ridge begins to break down a bit. This is due to an upper level
trough moving through the Great Lakes region over the weekend. This
will actually push a cold front down near our area on Saturday. This
is actually a fairly decent front as dew points behind it appear to
drop down into the 50s...but alas...all of that drier air looks to
stay just east of us. On the plus side, with the ridge getting
weaker we go from abnormally hot to just normally hot as
temperatures on Sunday/Monday top out in the mid to upper 90s. Some
questionable potential for rainfall remains late in the
weekend/early next week as moisture returns with the frontal
boundary. It`ll be a battle between strong subsidence aloft/dry air
above the surface and elevated moisture. Which one is gonna win?!
Find out next time on...Houston Weather Z.
With heat indices around and above Heat Advisory criteria ( 108F)
through at least Saturday, please continue to keep heat safety at
the forefront of any plans that you make (especially if outdoors).
Know the signs of heat related illnesses (heat stroke/heat
exhaustion), drink plenty of water to stay hydrated, take frequent
breaks from the heat, avoid strenuous outdoor activities during the
hottest part of the day, wear sunscreen and loose/light-colored
clothing, and ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS LOOK before you LOCK your
vehicle. Don`t forget about your pets as well! If the ground is too
hot for the palm of your hand, then it is too hot for their paws.
Batiste
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
SCT mid clouds will continue to develop this afternoon along with
light southeast to south winds. An isolated shower or two will be
possible this afternoon, particularly near terminals from HOU
coastward. Light and variable winds can be expected after sunset.
Overall, VFR conditions are expected through the period.
JM
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 255 PM CDT Tue Aug 6 2024
Benign marine conditions persist with light winds, low seas, and dry
conditions prevailing throughout the week. During the overnight
hours, winds may intermittently increase to around 10-15 knots.
Batiste
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 77 100 76 102 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 80 100 79 102 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 80 91 82 92 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM....Batiste
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...Batiste
Euro and CMC have a weaker Death Ridge than GFS. But not much rain in sight for at least 10 days.
Let the Elko era begin!
Let the Elko era begin!
Amen to that!Rip76 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 06, 2024 3:04 pmPure crud.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 06, 2024 1:47 pm Nothing to talk about, nothing but pure misery in the extended range
C’mon Fall/Football
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6024
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
835
FXUS64 KHGX 071134
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
634 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 301 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Temperatures and heat indices will be very close to Heat Advisory
criteria today and tomorrow. Criteria is met when either the actual
temperature reaches 103F and/or when the heat index reaches 108F.
Inland highs today are expected to average around 100 degrees while
CWA-wide heat indices are expected to peak in the 105F to 109F
range. The upper limit of that range would put some areas in
criteria threshold. But we have opted to hold off on issuing an
advisory (for now) since 1) widespread indices are expected to be
just shy of criteria and 2) areas that reach criteria may only do so
for an hour or two. That being said, we cannot rule out needing an
advisory for this afternoon in future updates if mixing doesn`t
sufficiently lower afternoon dew points. In addition, the sea breeze
could push in higher dew points, resulting in higher heat index
values. This occurred in Angleton on Tuesday where the dew point
increased from 75 to 81! Fortunately, the breeze probably took some
of the bite out of the heat. Though it certainly felt oppressive
even with the breeze.
Persistent mid/upper ridging and rising 850mb temps overhead will
likely build the heat further tomorrow (at least by a degree or two
or three). Overnight lows are forecast to average in the mid/upper
70s. But areas near the coast and in urban environments will
struggle to drop below 80 degrees.
It is important to note that "normal" southeast Texas heat is
dangerous enough to warrant heat safety practices (drinking plenty
of water, LOOK before you LOOK, etc...). The heat today and tomorrow
will be a little worse than normal. So even if below advisory
criteria, the heat today/tomorrow will be plenty dangerous. So be
careful out there y`all!
Self
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 301 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Mid/upper level ridging will persist and will continue to provide heat
to the area. Inland high temperatures in the upper 90s to around 100
can be expected on Friday and Saturday, and we will probably need a
Heat Advisory for most if not all of the area with many spots having
peak heat index values in a 108 to 111 range. The rest of the forecast
looks to be only a degree or two cooler with highs mostly in a 96 to
99 degree range and max heat index values around or slightly above the
Heat Advisory threshold of 108. Starting on Monday and on into Tuesday,
some heat relief could come with possible showers/thunderstorms (low
chances) near the coast in the morning and inland (but not too far inland...
mainly near and to the south of the Highway 59/69 corridor) in the afternoon.
42
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 620 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Though we cannot rule out patchy fog near some of our rural
terminals this morning, cigs/vis should remain VFR through the TAF
period. A period of light south to southeast prevailing winds
possible this afternoon as the sea breeze pushes inland.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 301 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Mainly light winds and low seas will prevail through the remainder
of the week and on into the weekend. During the overnight hours,
winds may intermittently increase to around 10 to 15 knots.
42
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 100 77 101 79 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 100 80 101 80 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 92 81 91 80 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Self
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...42
FXUS64 KHGX 071134
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
634 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 301 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Temperatures and heat indices will be very close to Heat Advisory
criteria today and tomorrow. Criteria is met when either the actual
temperature reaches 103F and/or when the heat index reaches 108F.
Inland highs today are expected to average around 100 degrees while
CWA-wide heat indices are expected to peak in the 105F to 109F
range. The upper limit of that range would put some areas in
criteria threshold. But we have opted to hold off on issuing an
advisory (for now) since 1) widespread indices are expected to be
just shy of criteria and 2) areas that reach criteria may only do so
for an hour or two. That being said, we cannot rule out needing an
advisory for this afternoon in future updates if mixing doesn`t
sufficiently lower afternoon dew points. In addition, the sea breeze
could push in higher dew points, resulting in higher heat index
values. This occurred in Angleton on Tuesday where the dew point
increased from 75 to 81! Fortunately, the breeze probably took some
of the bite out of the heat. Though it certainly felt oppressive
even with the breeze.
Persistent mid/upper ridging and rising 850mb temps overhead will
likely build the heat further tomorrow (at least by a degree or two
or three). Overnight lows are forecast to average in the mid/upper
70s. But areas near the coast and in urban environments will
struggle to drop below 80 degrees.
It is important to note that "normal" southeast Texas heat is
dangerous enough to warrant heat safety practices (drinking plenty
of water, LOOK before you LOOK, etc...). The heat today and tomorrow
will be a little worse than normal. So even if below advisory
criteria, the heat today/tomorrow will be plenty dangerous. So be
careful out there y`all!
Self
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 301 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Mid/upper level ridging will persist and will continue to provide heat
to the area. Inland high temperatures in the upper 90s to around 100
can be expected on Friday and Saturday, and we will probably need a
Heat Advisory for most if not all of the area with many spots having
peak heat index values in a 108 to 111 range. The rest of the forecast
looks to be only a degree or two cooler with highs mostly in a 96 to
99 degree range and max heat index values around or slightly above the
Heat Advisory threshold of 108. Starting on Monday and on into Tuesday,
some heat relief could come with possible showers/thunderstorms (low
chances) near the coast in the morning and inland (but not too far inland...
mainly near and to the south of the Highway 59/69 corridor) in the afternoon.
42
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 620 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Though we cannot rule out patchy fog near some of our rural
terminals this morning, cigs/vis should remain VFR through the TAF
period. A period of light south to southeast prevailing winds
possible this afternoon as the sea breeze pushes inland.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 301 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Mainly light winds and low seas will prevail through the remainder
of the week and on into the weekend. During the overnight hours,
winds may intermittently increase to around 10 to 15 knots.
42
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 100 77 101 79 / 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 100 80 101 80 / 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 92 81 91 80 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Self
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...42
-
Stratton20
- Posts: 5362
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
So to pretty much sum up that forecast discussion- Misery, Misery and more Misery, sigh lol
After a couple of drier afternoons with some mixdown, the DP is back up to the mid 70s today. 110°F+ heat indexes are inevitable today.
Absolutely horrible.
Absolutely horrible.
-
tireman4
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 6024
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 125 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
No major changes with these belated TAFS. High pressure over the area
will keep mostly VFR conditions in through the period (and likely be-
yond). Light SW (to variable) winds (3-8kts) should prevail, with the
flow becoming more S/SE in the wake of the seabreeze as it pushes in-
land through the afternoon. 41
&&
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 125 PM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
No major changes with these belated TAFS. High pressure over the area
will keep mostly VFR conditions in through the period (and likely be-
yond). Light SW (to variable) winds (3-8kts) should prevail, with the
flow becoming more S/SE in the wake of the seabreeze as it pushes in-
land through the afternoon. 41
&&
Thanks, I hate it. LolDoctorMu wrote: ↑Thu Aug 08, 2024 12:08 am August weather...
https://youtu.be/uhiCFdWeQfA?si=DS_bwJiNA8IVNalL
I found this interesting table of historical data of the date of the 1st cool/cold front in Houston dating back to 1982.
A gentleman named Andy Gambos compiled it.
KPRC website.
https://www.click2houston.com/weather/2 ... ly-arrive/
A gentleman named Andy Gambos compiled it.
KPRC website.
https://www.click2houston.com/weather/2 ... ly-arrive/