Hurricane Beryl

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Scott747
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Sometimes those NOAA fixes are a little off. AF306 will confirm for us. Need to get those tailburners on to make it before the 10 pm advisory. If it's indeed a directional change this early the track will shift by a decent margin relative to how close to landfall we are. So they want to get it right.

fwiw - I told Josh Bryan Beach this morning. One reason I'm sitting at home instead of on the road with him. ;)
Goomba
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Stratton20
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I wouldnt be surprised if beryl ends up making landfall even closer to galveston
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Rip76
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Heyoooo ICON.
AtascocitaWX
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Rip76 wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:24 pmHeyoooo ICON.
What?
txbear
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Scott747 wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:05 pm Sometimes those NOAA fixes are a little off. AF306 will confirm for us. Need to get those tailburners on to make it before the 10 pm advisory. If it's indeed a directional change this early the track will shift by a decent margin relative to how close to landfall we are. So they want to get it right.

fwiw - I told Josh Bryan Beach this morning. One reason I'm sitting at home instead of on the road with him. ;)
Mighty big wink haha. Y’all stay safe down there. Always appreciate your presence on here, along with the other pros and well seasoned folks.

Will get a bit noisy in the western burbs for sure, but MAY not be a full on overflight as was trended earlier.

Edited for caveats. Maybe a slight wobble west?
Last edited by txbear on Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Rip76
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AtascocitaWX wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:30 pm
Rip76 wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:24 pmHeyoooo ICON.
What?
Oh sorry, I just meant it seems to have been correct all along.
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:23 pm I wouldnt be surprised if beryl ends up making landfall even closer to galveston
You’d love that. Less rain and wind for you lol
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don
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Beryl is here! this rain is crazy heavy.Looks like a smaller eye may be trying to wrap up due south of Sargent but im not sure yet.

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Tx2005
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So I'm assuming that with this possible eastern shift, Humble will likely get more wind and rain.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 I prefer a nice soaking after noon non severe thunderstorm , over something that could knock out power for several days lol
AtascocitaWX
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Tx2005 wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:40 pm So I'm assuming that with this possible eastern shift, Humble will likely get more wind and rain.
Yep.
Tx2005
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AtascocitaWX wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:43 pm
Tx2005 wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:40 pm So I'm assuming that with this possible eastern shift, Humble will likely get more wind and rain.
Yep.
I sure hope the winds don't increase much more before landfall.
Scott747
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Due n after the latest recon fix.

Expect a change in landfall with the advisory coming up.

Between Sargent and Bryan Beach/Quintana.

Likely extend hurricane warnings to Galveston/High Island.

Good news is that it's still not deepening at a fast rate.
Scott747
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Advisory might run a little late if there are changes.
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jasons2k
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Everything fully stocked-up here and vehicles all got topped-off today. We’re as ready as can be. My Aunt from Florida is visiting. Her 7:15am flight was moved. She’s about to have a wild finale!
Cromagnum
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Few hours to go. We will get a minimal cat 1. Not enough time to do much worse thankfully.
Cpv17
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Cromagnum wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:53 pm Few hours to go. We will get a minimal cat 1. Not enough time to do much worse thankfully.
A weak hurricane is enough! Don’t want anything more than that and this is coming from someone who loves experiencing extreme weather.
Tx2005
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I know this is likely a dumb question, but the only other storm I've experienced at home is Ike, also in the Humble area. Any thoughts on what we should expect up here compared to Ike?
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DoctorMu
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Scott747 wrote: Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:47 pm Due n after the latest recon fix.

Expect a change in landfall with the advisory coming up.

Between Sargent and Bryan Beach/Quintana.

Likely extend hurricane warnings to Galveston/High Island.

Good news is that it's still not deepening at a fast rate.
Mouth of the Brazos! 8-)
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