December 2022
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We have the Cold air coming, thats one piece of the puzzle, but based off what im seeing in the GEFS guidance, the GFS operational should correct back to a more wetter pattern
Just keep the ridging away from the west coast and down into the Baja and we should be alright. Don’t like the look of the EPS/GEFS with ridging along the west coast.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:12 pm We have the Cold air coming, thats one piece of the puzzle, but based off what im seeing in the GEFS guidance, the GFS operational should correct back to a more wetter pattern
We need a neutral to slightly negative PNA. Keep that +PNA crap away!
I think it's been great outside lately. Very pleasant.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 11:56 amI’d take it in a heartbeat versus the crap we’ve had.
20 degrees and snow - people will be outside. 20 degrees and dry - people will be inside praying their pipes don't freeze.


- MontgomeryCoWx
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- MontgomeryCoWx
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It’s been soupy and nasty to me. Hard to run outside in this.jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:26 pmI think it's been great outside lately. Very pleasant.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 11:56 amI’d take it in a heartbeat versus the crap we’ve had.
20 degrees and snow - people will be outside. 20 degrees and dry - people will be inside praying their pipes don't freeze.![]()
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I’ll go for 10 mile runs in 20 degrees
Team #NeverSummer
Even if it’s dry, I like to go outside and just experience the bitter cold. I find it very fascinating and thrilling. Now give me some snow with that cold and I’ll go nuts loljasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:26 pmI think it's been great outside lately. Very pleasant.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 11:56 amI’d take it in a heartbeat versus the crap we’ve had.
20 degrees and snow - people will be outside. 20 degrees and dry - people will be inside praying their pipes don't freeze.![]()
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Any idea how cold for SETX, and if we are sustained below freezing for a while?MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 5:24 pm Yeah, its not handling precip well. It's also probably 10-15 degrees too warm with a high that large.
With that said, SETX gets very cold.
- srainhoutx
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I spent the day outdoors getting things done around our 2 properties ahead of a prolonged cold spell. Life here in the Smokies is a bit different than preparing in SE Texas. Our houses are built to handle very cold temperatures, but some things need freeze protection when temperatures are expected to be in the single digits or below. We have a bunch of Guests arriving beginning this weekend in our two Airbnb short term rentals. Some are coming to ski at our Cataloochee Ski Area which is 10 minutes away or coming to enjoy Tube World here in Town. Others are visiting to hopefully see snow and enjoy the Holidays in the Mountains!
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Trust in the Southern Jet.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:12 pmIt hasn’t lost anything. Well I guess if you put stock in precip maps over 5 days, it waffles back and forth.brazoriatx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:10 pm It's in the time frame of when they usually loose it or go off the wall..give it time..no need to freak out yet lol
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- MontgomeryCoWx
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Sounds wonderful. I miss that area.srainhoutx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:45 pm I spent the day outdoors getting things done around our 2 properties ahead of a prolonged cold spell. Life here in the Smokies is a bit different than preparing in SE Texas. Our houses are built to handle very cold temperatures, but some things need freeze protection when temperatures are expected to be in the single digits or below. We have a bunch of Guests arriving beginning this weekend in our two Airbnb short term rentals. Some are coming to ski at our Cataloochee Ski Area which is 10 minutes away or coming to enjoy Tube World here in Town. Others are visiting to hopefully see snow and enjoy the Holidays in the Mountains!
Team #NeverSummer
Yeah lol let’s hope it delivers.DoctorMu wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:54 pmTrust in the Southern Jet.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:12 pmIt hasn’t lost anything. Well I guess if you put stock in precip maps over 5 days, it waffles back and forth.brazoriatx wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 6:10 pm It's in the time frame of when they usually loose it or go off the wall..give it time..no need to freak out yet lol
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- MontgomeryCoWx
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Cold front is in Magnolia.
Team #NeverSummer
20°F drop in Dewpoint. I'll take that!
- MontgomeryCoWx
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Not liking this break in the line.
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- MontgomeryCoWx
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- MontgomeryCoWx
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This isn’t being talked about much but that next wave of cold (one before the big one) could make a difference.
Kinda similar to that first 2021 push before the bottom fell out.
Kinda similar to that first 2021 push before the bottom fell out.
Team #NeverSummer