Wxman57: As much as it pains me to have to admit this - I did change the title of this thread to reflect a possible 2nd Arctic air outbreak next week. As much as I'd like to believe the GFS, the Canadian may be onto something with respect to a bigger southward surge of Arctic air around the 19th. St...

wxman57 is the voice of reason in an otherwise hype-filled environment. When he starts talking snow I start to believe. Otherwise, it's just dream-casting. This is true and I know it well. Wxman57 has been a voice of "reason" to me for many years over at S2K. As he says, he "calls th...

wxman57 wrote:

tireman4 wrote:I wonder if anyone can a Meteogram for the 12z Euro for IAH....

That data isn't available. Euro data is VERY expensive (maybe $50,000-$100,000 per year, depending on what data).

Ooops. Sorry. Way too rich for my blood...LOL

This pretty much tells who is getting what in Texas. DFW has changed over to snow. Note that where you see white just means that there is snow. It does not indicate intensity. Also note that it shows nothing in our area. I am thinking about mid-week. I know there is a tutorial on meteograms, I just...

I wonder if anyone can a Meteogram for the 12z Euro for IAH....

Lufkin reporting light snow... ob KLFK 091553Z AUTO 07017G29KT 8SM -SN SCT032 OVC065 03/02 A2989 RMK AO2 PK WND 05029/1553 RAE48SNB48 SLP120 P0011 T00330017 Was that expected? Lufkin is 100 miles from me...LOL Careful with those automated observation stations. The 15Z RUC vertical profile for Lufki...

Not really. There has always been a chance that this system would over perform regarding the amount of cold air to our E being drawn in. They were removed from a Winter Storm Watch yesterday, though. Little or no accumulation was/is expected. My main concern, if there is one, is Wednesday night/Thu...

srainhoutx wrote:Lufkin reporting light snow...

ob KLFK 091553Z AUTO 07017G29KT 8SM -SN SCT032 OVC065 03/02 A2989 RMK AO2 PK WND 05029/1553 RAE48SNB48 SLP120 P0011 T00330017

Was that expected?
Lufkin is 100 miles from me...LOL

As much as I respect Wxman 57 ( and I do..also respect for cyclists from a runner), the NWS still is hedging their bets on this one.....or am I wrong? AS FOR WINTER WEATHER...NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME BUT THE NAM 12 DOES SUPPORT SOME TYPE OF WINTRY PRECIP. SOUNDINGS ARE SATURATED FROM 800 MB TO THE SF...

Thank you wxman57 for your reply. Its greatly appreciated. I just texted the info to my hubby. You're welcome. We could see a few light sprinkles in spots prior to midnight this evening, but it looks like the real rain starts after 3am. Well, heading out on our bikes to Discovery Green now. They're...

Hey Srain,,, where is Mr Heat Miser (Wxman57)? Does he still think this is a more north than south item (Arklatex as opposed to a more southern route)?

18Z NAM suggests a very potent storm system crossing TX. That model suggests some possible wintry weather near Central TX now @ hour 54. Portastorm will likely faint. How many times have we seen surprises pop up? We are still one to two days out so you never know what can happen. :lol: CMC continue...

Page him at S2K....LOL...He is the one hyperventilating and not feeling so good.

srainhoutx wrote:18Z NAM suggests a very potent storm system crossing TX. That model suggests some possible wintry weather near Central TX now @ hour 54. Portastorm will likely faint.

\

Srain,

I think he is already gone. They are going to need paddles to revive him.....

Folks, don't get too hung up on the Operation models. The ensembles are significantly colder (not 'Historic'). Did we see a pattern change starting around Christmas? Have we been discussing at length some potential for interesting weather that we had not seen in many months? There are so many varia...

As Srain has mentioned, HPC hinted this may be a stepping down in temperatures. Winter is not over folks. We are in the middle of a 9 inning game.

If a significant Arctic front is to reach us in 72 hours, it should be in NW Canada already, and it's not. I made a lunch bet with my coworker on Tuesday that IAH would not see 25F or lower next week. Looks like I'm getting a free lunch. To quote Lee Corso..."Not so fast my friend"...the ...

Still a long winter. We have long way to go before the final chapter is written.

Okay, I am really not understanding where Tim is getting this data from. It matches none of the models, none of the other forecasts...it's so far off the charts. Am I missing something? First off, he is predicting the best chance of severe thunderstorms on Sunday afternoon and evening going 80% dur...

Time to use the Magic 8 Ball and Dan's Snow Gun!! It seems they have no clue what is going on...DFW...