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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 3:17 pm
by Cpv17
We need rain more than cold and our New Years system that looked so promising on the models for so many days is now just about toast for our area.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:25 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
Interesting set up coming if you believe the GEFS

Image

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:42 pm
by harp
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:25 pm Interesting set up coming if you believe the GEFS

Image
Explain, please.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:08 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
harp wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:42 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:25 pm Interesting set up coming if you believe the GEFS

Image
Explain, please.
Negative PNA, WPO, EPO and a NAO trending negative. The only thing about that setup I don’t particularly like is how negative the PNA is, but we can still work with it.

It’s a setup that should deliver cold to us and if we can cut off a system over the Baja, we are in the game for some winter weather.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:44 pm
by harp
That's what I thought. Thanks for the response!

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Mon Dec 30, 2019 11:57 pm
by harp
Interesting stuff. May be a late winter this year according to this. Worth watching since things are so boring at the moment.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_cont ... e=emb_logo

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Tue Dec 31, 2019 11:52 am
by MontgomeryCoWx
harp wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2019 11:57 pm Interesting stuff. May be a late winter this year according to this. Worth watching since things are so boring at the moment.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_cont ... e=emb_logo
The progression is coming. This guy seems to think it’s slower but he sees the same thing I do.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Wed Jan 01, 2020 7:36 am
by cperk
Happy New Year to all my Wx infinity forum members and their families,and i am looking forward to discussing all the wintry weather we will be receiving in the coming weeks. :D :D

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Wed Jan 01, 2020 11:32 am
by Ptarmigan
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:08 pm
harp wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:42 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:25 pm Interesting set up coming if you believe the GEFS

Image
Explain, please.
Negative PNA, WPO, EPO and a NAO trending negative. The only thing about that setup I don’t particularly like is how negative the PNA is, but we can still work with it.

It’s a setup that should deliver cold to us and if we can cut off a system over the Baja, we are in the game for some winter weather.
Negative West Pacific Oscillation (WPO), East Pacific Oscillation (EPO), and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) tend to have ridging over Eastern Russian (WPO), Alaska (EPO), and Greenland (NAO). The ridging tend to bring cold air southward.

One can have positive NAO and negative EPO/WPO and still have cold blasts. That happened in December 1983 and February 1989 freeze.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Wed Jan 01, 2020 11:52 am
by Kingwood36
What happend to this rain we were suppose to get today?

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Wed Jan 01, 2020 4:26 pm
by Rip76
It appears to fall apart right around the Houston area.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Wed Jan 01, 2020 4:28 pm
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Jan 01, 2020 11:52 am What happend to this rain we were suppose to get today?
If you were reading my posts from a few days ago, I mentioned that rain chances for the New Years Day event were decreasing. We went from getting 2-4” to maybe a .25”-.50”

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:28 pm
by Cromagnum
Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:52 pm
by GBinGrimes
There were Robins in my pasture yesterday. Not a lone, lost Robin...many , many Robin's. For those of us that do enjoy some winter cold and occasional "wintery mischief" that's a wee bit early to be seeing them and not a good sign.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 3:23 pm
by snowman65
Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:28 pm Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel
I've been saying that. Nobody will believe me.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 4:41 pm
by GBinGrimes
snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 3:23 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:28 pm Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel
I've been saying that. Nobody will believe me.
Pretty sure I do believe you, I just don't want to admit that the chances for really solid cold weather are over. Now, we all know our summer hating buddy from Montgomery County will rebuff that until the bitter end and he does have some graphs that provide some hope for some cold. But, having lived here in SE Texas my entire life, I just don't have the gut feeling that we're going to get really cold, at least for even a couple of days.

However, this IS Texas and weather-wise, well, most anything can happen and occasionally does.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 7:10 pm
by 869MB
Interestingly, my neighborhood finished 2019 with approximately 33.60 inches of rain for the entire year. That's well behind most locations in Harris County with respect to rainfall totals.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 8:14 am
by JDsGN
869MB wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 7:10 pm Interestingly, my neighborhood finished 2019 with approximately 33.60 inches of rain for the entire year. That's well behind most locations in Harris County with respect to rainfall totals.
The rainfall delta across the county is pretty wide. We got just over 34" in Fairfield at my house and thats well behind normal.

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 12:12 pm
by djmike
Wow. Beaumont finished with 85.49” for 2019. Hopefully 2020 will provide everyone with beneficial rains. Just not all at once.
KBMT Beaumont 2019 Rains
KBMT Beaumont 2019 Rains

Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Posted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 1:08 pm
by mcheer23
snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 3:23 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:28 pm Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel
I've been saying that. Nobody will believe me.
I don't know what you're looking at, or where you're located...but Tuesday night many locations will fall into the 30's.