January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Brazoriatx979
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snowman65 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 1:37 pm Going to be alot of disappointed people with this one.
We're always disappointed down here lol 😆
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DoctorMu
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sambucol wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 12:53 pm Pow Ponder mentioned the PNA going negative this time in his video this morning regarding the front that’s coming.

https://youtu.be/IvfICr2dkco?feature=shared
Bring it.

50s and sunny. My kind of weather. Am going out to mow the lawn soon; then put down some pre-emergence.
Stratton20
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snowman65 lol not how it works
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DoctorMu
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There's a lot of luck with wintry mix and precip in SETX. I don't see the mid-level warm Pacific air like the last system. It's a different setup.

CLL and the Piney Woods have the bast chance of backside wintry precip. In Houston the cold may follow the precip. It's hard to have both at the same place and the same time.
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Stratton20
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Euro/ CMC bring a wintry mix of sleet/ ice and light snow to se texas
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 1:43 pm snowman65 lol not how it works
I hope everyone cashes in and he gets donut holed. Mr negative, no snow for you.
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walsean1
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We would need the air that is forecasted for the week of the 20th to originate from Siberia/Arctic air and it will need to be in place. Then have the system come in behind it with the cold air still in place then we’re in business. I think we would be looking at Freezing Rain setup which is much more dangerous.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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walsean1 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 2:13 pm We would need the air that is forecasted for the week of the 20th to originate from Siberia/Arctic air and it will need to be in place. Then have the system come in behind it with the cold air still in place then we’re in business. I think we would be looking at Freezing Rain setup which is much more dangerous.
Well that’s where the air is originating with a severely negative EPO.

As for the system, I won’t watch that until we are within 5 days but that map screams overrunning precip
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tireman4
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Today's Forecast
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tireman4
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Euro
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Cpv17
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snowman65 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 1:37 pm Going to be alot of disappointed people with this one.
You literally say that every time with every weather event that comes our way.
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tireman4
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Cpv17
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tireman4 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 3:14 pmEuro
That doesn’t align with what the CPC just put out.
Stratton20
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Cpv17 thats the second surge of arctic air that comes later behind this first push, ensembles have been showing another trough setting up shop over the central beyond the first one
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Look out below on the UKMET

Image
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Cpv17
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 5:30 pm Look out below on the UKMET

Image
Sheesh, let that ridge build poleward baby and we’re really in business!
Stratton20
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579 mb alaskan ridge is no joke!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jan 11, 2025 7:28 pm 579 mb alaskan ridge is no joke!
582
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Stratton20
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Widespread snowstorm in se texas on the Euro day 9, 3-5 inches
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jasons2k
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While I ponder trimming the live oaks before the ice storm…today sure was beautiful. I think I lasted about 30 minutes in the sun before I was in my short sleeve T-shirt. Today was one of those beautiful days for sure.
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