FEBRUARY 2018 - Roller Coaster WX To End February

[harp]

If we have more cold coming, it isn't showing up on the GFS as of yet.

[stormlover]

or the CMC and I am happy!!! I am all about crawfish season lol!!

[jasons2k]

After surveying a few area gardens, it appears this (Jan’s freeze) was the worst killing freeze since 1996. Lots of queen palms will be lost to mold and crown rot in the coming weeks and months. The last of the Pygmy dates got wiped out. Canary Island Dates and even Sagos got burned really bad, but should come back. Every eucalyptus I have seen has severe leaf burn (at least). Japanese yews are leaf burned. I have not had a chance to inspect the classic Date Palms at Portofino, but from a distance the fronds look burned. Most tropical shrubs, even those that were covered, were burned to the roots.

Not good to have USDA zone 7a conditions when we have a lot of well-established zone 8 gardens. We’ve been knocked down a hardiness zone for now.

[srainhoutx]

I converted to all Texas native drought resistant landscaping after 2009. One less thing to worry about. Sago Palms look bad throughout my neighborhood.

I see the ECMWF and its ensembles joined the GEFS solutions of a Polar Vortex split today placing the PV entirely over N America near Valentine's Day. That raises an eyebrow when considering what our sensible weather may bring as we begin February.

[harp]

I converted to all Texas native drought resistant landscaping after 2009. One less thing to worry about. Sago Palms look bad throughout my neighborhood.

I see the ECMWF and its ensembles joined the GEFS solutions of a Polar Vortex split today placing the PV entirely over N America near Valentine's Day. That raises an eyebrow when considering what our sensible weather may bring as we begin February.

If that happens, when could we expect to see the results along the Gulf coast? Is there a time line you have in mind?

[DoctorMu]

Just an FYI, Srain is a long rang specialist, so when he gives his forecasts, it is usually right on the mark. His forecasts draw rave reviews on here and S2K. When he says, do not plant yet, dont. This is an ever changing situation so please stay tuned here to he and the rest of the pro mets. They will guide you through this.

Srain was definitely ahead of the curve on the Dec 7 (which became a virtual Nowcasting storm), and particularly the New Years time and mid January events.

[Katdaddy]

Partly sunny skies, highs in the mid 70s, and a slight chance of showers this afternoon. Increasing rain chances still on track for the weekend.

[Cromagnum]

76 in February is disgusting. I hope the cold comes back before the blast furnace turns back on.

[jasons2k]

I’ll gladly take the 76. Great weather for another walk today. I’m glad to see no freezing temps in the forecast and after a brief cool down, back to the 70’s again. Yeah! Houston is back, at least for now! I need about a ten month break from the indoor furnace blasting dry air.

[harp]

This thread title went from Arctic Cold returning to a very progressive pattern.

[srainhoutx]

This thread title went from Arctic Cold returning to a very progressive pattern.

I typically Update the Topic Title as the Month Begins. It also states Roller Coaster WX meaning very changeable Pattern. Without getting too technical in complicated meteorological terminology, Northern Hemispheric Pattern Changes are brewing... Stay Tuned! We see a Polar Vortex split in a planetary wave 2 pattern along with a SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming ) indicated by virtually all the Global Ensemble Computer Schemes in the days ahead.

[jasons2k]

Maybe we’ll get some rumbles of thunder this month...music to my ears.

[harp]

This thread title went from Arctic Cold returning to a very progressive pattern.

I typically Update the Topic Title as the Month Begins. It also states Roller Coaster WX meaning very changeable Pattern. Without getting too technical in complicated meteorological terminology, Northern Hemispheric Pattern Changes are brewing... Stay Tuned! We see a Polar Vortex split in a planetary wave 2 pattern along with a SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming ) indicated by virtually all the Global Ensemble Computer Schemes in the days ahead.

Thanks again for your response. Waiting and watching.....

[redneckweather]

This thread title went from Arctic Cold returning to a very progressive pattern.

Yep.

[harp]

This thread title went from Arctic Cold returning to a very progressive pattern.

I typically Update the Topic Title as the Month Begins. It also states Roller Coaster WX meaning very changeable Pattern. Without getting too technical in complicated meteorological terminology, Northern Hemispheric Pattern Changes are brewing... Stay Tuned! We see a Polar Vortex split in a planetary wave 2 pattern along with a SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming ) indicated by virtually all the Global Ensemble Computer Schemes in the days ahead.

I'm wondering when these changes will begin to show up on the global models?

[srainhoutx]

The afternoon Updated CPC Day 6 to 10 and Day 8 to 14 temperature outlooks suggests slightly below normal readings, but not much in the way of precipitation in the extended period.

[Heat Miser]

This thread title went from Arctic Cold returning to a very progressive pattern.

harp, haven't you seen this before. My gut instinct is the models have backed way off on any arctic intrusions, thus you have this now. We've had our winter fun this year, now bring on the warmth.

[harp]

This thread title went from Arctic Cold returning to a very progressive pattern.

harp, haven't you seen this before. My gut instinct is the models have backed way off on any arctic intrusions, thus you have this now. We've had our winter fun this year, now bring on the warmth.

I've certainly seen this before. However, Srain keeps indicating that more may be on the way. The heat and suffocating humidity will be here soon enough.

[DoctorMu]

I’ll gladly take the 76. Great weather for another walk today. I’m glad to see no freezing temps in the forecast and after a brief cool down, back to the 70’s again. Yeah! Houston is back, at least for now! I need about a ten month break from the indoor furnace blasting dry air.

Soon enough the LOW will be 76°F here.

[kyzsl51]

Harp, Looks like winter is over. I know it’s tough to stomach but it’s time to move on.