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More WNW then NW as of now. Look at radar for movement. Satellite can be deceiving.Snowman wrote:In the past couple hours there is a clear northwest motion. Tulane has still decided to keep us here. Although class is cancelled tuesday and wednesday, I still have classes tomorrow as of now. Looks like things are gunna get really rough around hear in about 48 hours. But before that happens I am looking forward to attending several hurricane parties on campus!
Nice to see a neighbor. I'm actually just outside Angleton but use Freeport/Surfside as my tropical home base since I'm that close. Doesn't take me but a few minutes to get down to Surfside and catch some wind anytime there is something tropical near us.Bluefalcon wrote:Scott...Starting to see some banding reforming to the south and east of where the last recon fix was...Nice to see someone from Freeport on here. Born, raised, and graduated from.
Well I was looking at the long range radar of the southeast on the government website and it really does look more northwest to me. But my eye is untrained and it is a bit difficult to tell exactly where the center of this one is. I am kind of just looking at the whole thing in general.Andrew wrote:More WNW then NW as of now. Look at radar for movement. Satellite can be deceiving.Snowman wrote:In the past couple hours there is a clear northwest motion. Tulane has still decided to keep us here. Although class is cancelled tuesday and wednesday, I still have classes tomorrow as of now. Looks like things are gunna get really rough around hear in about 48 hours. But before that happens I am looking forward to attending several hurricane parties on campus!
No I understand. I seem to go back and forth between NW and wnw. I think that the center has relocated or has been driven under the more intense convection and gave it that NW look. I think a wnw movement has continued after that but it is close to a NW movement so that could change soon.Snowman wrote:Well I was looking at the long range radar of the southeast on the government website and it really does look more northwest to me. But my eye is untrained and it is a bit difficult to tell exactly where the center of this one is. I am kind of just looking at the whole thing in general.Andrew wrote:More WNW then NW as of now. Look at radar for movement. Satellite can be deceiving.Snowman wrote:In the past couple hours there is a clear northwest motion. Tulane has still decided to keep us here. Although class is cancelled tuesday and wednesday, I still have classes tomorrow as of now. Looks like things are gunna get really rough around hear in about 48 hours. But before that happens I am looking forward to attending several hurricane parties on campus!
Yep...the last recon fix of the center was 45 miles WNW of Dry Tortugas...closer to the rain on radar. No vortex yet, but it'll be out soon.Scott747 wrote:Nice to see a neighbor. I'm actually just outside Angleton but use Freeport/Surfside as my tropical home base since I'm that close. Doesn't take me but a few minutes to get down to Surfside and catch some wind anytime there is something tropical near us.Bluefalcon wrote:Scott...Starting to see some banding reforming to the south and east of where the last recon fix was...Nice to see someone from Freeport on here. Born, raised, and graduated from.
It looks like recon may have found the that the MLC has now become dominant underneath the more rigorous convection as that ULL near the YP has detached the LLC. Haven't seen a VDM yet but might get one soon.
Possibility is there. However, I believe the 12z runs tomorrow will be very important as those runs will have the new relocation of Isaac. A huge jump to the NW like this could actually bring Isaac a further East of New Orleans. But SE TX is in no means in 'the clear' yet. We should all have a better handle on where Isaac could potentially go by tomorrow afternoon sometime.lpweather wrote:Well tomorrow should be a very interesting day. I'm expecting another shift towards the west
Please explain why you think that.Belmer wrote:Possibility is there. However, I believe the 12z runs tomorrow will be very important as those runs will have the new relocation of Isaac. A huge jump to the NW like this could actually bring Isaac a further East of New Orleans. But SE TX is in no means in 'the clear' yet. We should all have a better handle on where Isaac could potentially go by tomorrow afternoon sometime.lpweather wrote:Well tomorrow should be a very interesting day. I'm expecting another shift towards the west
Only speculation. Euro, NAM and Canadian (I believe) is still feeling the weakness to pull Isaac northward more into Mobile, AL then once landfall, move Northeastward. Even though 00z of Euro moved further westward, and correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't have the new relocation of Isaac. Simply put, with a relocation of Isaac to the northwest, the overall (small) chance of Isaac feeling the weakness is there a little greater now. Thus, why I believe models could slighltly nudge a little eastward tomorrow. Plus, I believe I read where the center jumped NW of about ~50-70 miles. That put Isaac on a more northern part of the cone and if a NW trend continued, landfall would look to be New Orleans and eastward. But of course, those are my thoughts and opinions.Andrew wrote:Please explain why you think that.Belmer wrote:Possibility is there. However, I believe the 12z runs tomorrow will be very important as those runs will have the new relocation of Isaac. A huge jump to the NW like this could actually bring Isaac a further East of New Orleans. But SE TX is in no means in 'the clear' yet. We should all have a better handle on where Isaac could potentially go by tomorrow afternoon sometime.lpweather wrote:Well tomorrow should be a very interesting day. I'm expecting another shift towards the west
-thanks
Only speculation. Euro, NAM and Canadian (I believe) is still feeling the weakness to pull Isaac northward more into Mobile, AL then once landfall, move Northeastward. Even though 00z of Euro moved further westward, and correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't have the new relocation of Isaac. Simply put, with a relocation of Isaac to the northwest, the overall (small) chance of Isaac feeling the weakness is there a little greater now. Thus, why I believe models could slighltly nudge a little eastward tomorrow. Plus, I believe I read where the center jumped NW of about ~50-70 miles. That put Isaac on a more northern part of the cone and if a NW trend continued, landfall would look to be New Orleans and eastward. But of course, those are my thoughts and opinions.[/quote]Andrew wrote:Please explain why you think that.Belmer wrote:Possibility is there. However, I believe the 12z runs tomorrow will be very important as those runs will have the new relocation of Isaac. A huge jump to the NW like this could actually bring Isaac a further East of New Orleans. But SE TX is in no means in 'the clear' yet. We should all have a better handle on where Isaac could potentially go by tomorrow afternoon sometime.lpweather wrote:Well tomorrow should be a very interesting day. I'm expecting another shift towards the west
-thanks
ticka1 wrote:by no means are we safe from isaac but the threat isnt as great as it was sunday evening. i will still watch isaac until landfall happens and we are fully out of harms way! i do believe this id new orleans storm! and isaac didnt strengthen overnight either!