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Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Passing South Of Key West
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:13 pm
by Texas Pirate
biggerbyte wrote:You and me both txflagwaver. I am not mentally ready for another hurricane.
Me either. This brain tumor makes for lots of pain and constant loud ringing in my ears. No power, means hot conditions with no fan at night to mask the ring. No sleep. If we could just get some rain, but keep our power.[/quote]
Hello everyone - want to thank you for your awesome insights.
Biggerbyte- do you have a battery powered fan? Would that help?
And I agree - RAIN with NO NAME is the best!

[/quote]
No battery powered fan yet. Did not know they existed. Thanks for the heads up.[/quote]
Yes they sell them at Targets for around $29
sorry dont mean to take y'all off topic
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:14 pm
by sambucol
ticka1 wrote:where does GFS show landfall?
33hr

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:16 pm
by Texas Pirate
Think GFS is west of NOLA
Euro - NOLA and east
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:18 pm
by biggerbyte
Hmm! Which one will give in.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:20 pm
by Texas Pirate
I wish it would give in and GO AWAY!
I'm leaning with the EURO NOLA and East.
HGX NWS called GFS the "outlier" model
I guess tomorrow will tell us more.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:22 pm
by Rip76
May be the Cabernet, but I think I just saw a decent jump Northward.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Passing South Of Key West
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:23 pm
by sambucol
Texas Pirate wrote:biggerbyte wrote:You and me both txflagwaver. I am not mentally ready for another hurricane.
Me either. This brain tumor makes for lots of pain and constant loud ringing in my ears. No power, means hot conditions with no fan at night to mask the ring. No sleep. If we could just get some rain, but keep our power.
Hello everyone - want to thank you for your awesome insights.
Biggerbyte- do you have a battery powered fan? Would that help?
And I agree - RAIN with NO NAME is the best!

[/quote]
No battery powered fan yet. Did not know they existed. Thanks for the heads up.[/quote]
Yes they sell them at Targets for around $29
sorry dont mean to take y'all off topic[/quote]
I bought my battery powered fan about a month ago at Lowe's. It's a mid-large sized fan, and works great. It was 24.00. Takes 8 "D" sized batteries.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:27 pm
by biggerbyte
That would be perfect.
Thanks, everybody. If I have to get supplies, that fan will be one of them.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:27 pm
by Texas Pirate
NHC says its gonna do a northward turn and I gotta believe it.
We got a HIGH over us in Texas - keep thinking thats not gonna really budge.
And keep drinking that wine!!!
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:29 pm
by biggerbyte
Texas Pirate wrote:NHC says its gonna do a northward turn and I gotta believe it.
We got a HIGH over us in Texas - keep thinking thats not gonna really budge.
And keep drinking that wine!!!
LOL! Wine? Hmmm! A drunk pirate in a hurricane. Sounds dangerous.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:32 pm
by cperk
Texas Pirate wrote:I wish it would give in and GO AWAY!
I'm leaning with the EURO NOLA and East.
HGX NWS called GFS the "outlier" model
I guess tomorrow will tell us more.
The HGX may end up with egg on their face if the GFS verifies.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:33 pm
by Rip76
Texas Pirate wrote:NHC says its gonna do a northward turn and I gotta believe it.
We got a HIGH over us in Texas - keep thinking thats not gonna really budge.
And keep drinking that wine!!!
Now I usually go with NHC, I do get a bit curious in times like these when I don't see Jeff or WX57
Logged in.
Either they're real busy or asleep.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:36 pm
by biggerbyte
Use this link:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/flash-wv.html
Check off the lattitude/longitude and track forecast points.
That will be quite telling over night and tomorrow.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:38 pm
by meowracer
biggerbyte wrote:That would be perfect.
Thanks, everybody. If I have to get supplies, that fan will be one of them.
Also, there are some very good cooling wraps that you can purchase. Academy has some cloths that work quite well (they used to be in the golf dept - you put them in water and wrap around your neck or head, and they keep you cooler). REI has some neat neck wraps that have beads of some sort in them. You soak for a little bit and it's amazing how cool they keep you. That, along with the fan, would be a great help. There are also clothes that have cooling properties. I have some because I race (triathlons) and it can get very hot. These bring your core temp down a few degrees. Hopefully, lack of electricity won't be an issue though! However, a good thunderstorm can knock it out too...just thought I'd mention other helpful cooling things!
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:43 pm
by biggerbyte
Wow! Thanks for thinking of these things that I never would have. Going to have to do something. All of these items sound perfect.
Much appreciated.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:09 am
by Bluefalcon
Been driving me nuts for the last 3 hours...The long range radar out of Key West shows most of the rain and what seems to be a center of circulation spinning off to the North and West of Dry Tortugas. Yet watching the live recon via Tropical Atlantic's Google Earth app. Recon has fix the centers all South of Dry Tortugas. Did the convection blow off and expose the center of Isaac? When bouncing the radar of the Recon's position....it looks pretty dry. Last 3 fixes: 992, 994, and 996mb. That C-130s track looks like a drunk capt. at the controls.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:11 am
by Scott747
Bluefalcon wrote:Been driving me nuts for the last 3 hours...The long range radar out of Key West shows most of the rain and what seems to be a center of circulation spinning off to the North and West of Dry Tortugas. Yet watching the live recon via Tropical Atlantic's Google Earth app. Recon has fix the centers all South of Dry Tortugas. Did the convection blow off and expose the center of Isaac? When bouncing the radar of the Recon's position....it looks pretty dry. Last 3 fixes: 992, 994, and 996mb. That C-130s track looks like a drunk capt. at the controls.
Just had some time to sit down and actually look at real time obs. There sure does look to be some odd structural issues happening. Initially on first glance there is a fairly healthy representation on imagery. Then taking a glance at the latest recon fixes shows the center on the outside of the convection. Latest fix is well to the W of the previous one.
Looks like it's decoupling...
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:14 am
by Bluefalcon
Scott...Starting to see some banding reforming to the south and east of where the last recon fix was...Nice to see someone from Freeport on here. Born, raised, and graduated from.
Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:19 am
by TexasBreeze
It does look like a circulation with convection is taking off to the northwest with a showery center displaced just southeast. Satellite does look good though, but would be nice to have detailed vis. imagery to see better.

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico
Posted: Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:23 am
by Andrew
CMC (FWIW) :