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Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:33 pm
by nuby3
an extrapolation of the current heading would take it a little bit north of Brownsville.

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:35 pm
by Andrew
trof coming weaker on 00z a little farther west also for Isaac through 21h

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:36 pm
by Scott747
Looks about the same. Slower though.

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:42 pm
by Andrew
Scott747 wrote:Looks about the same. Slower though.
Position of Isaac same through 30 hours

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:46 pm
by Andrew
Pretty much same as 12z

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:47 pm
by Scott747
Virtually little change in track compared to the 18z run. I have it about 3-6 hrs slower when it comes ashore near Houma.

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:49 pm
by ticka1
how much slower? any shift west or TX/LA border?

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:49 pm
by Rip76
If I don't see a N'ward turn in 24 hours, it's generator time...

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Passing South Of Key West

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:52 pm
by Texas Pirate
biggerbyte wrote:
ticka1 wrote:
txflagwaver wrote:What concerns me is with Isaac weakening and becoming disorganized he will wander around the Gulf and be even harder to forecast. I went through Ike and really hope to not have to go through another hurricane...I honestly could not start over again.
You and me both txflagwaver. I am not mentally ready for another hurricane.
Me either. This brain tumor makes for lots of pain and constant loud ringing in my ears. No power, means hot conditions with no fan at night to mask the ring. No sleep. If we could just get some rain, but keep our power.
Hello everyone - want to thank you for your awesome insights.
Biggerbyte- do you have a battery powered fan? Would that help?
And I agree - RAIN with NO NAME is the best! :D

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:52 pm
by srainhoutx
Not liking that W drift near Vermillion Bay.

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:54 pm
by Andrew
srainhoutx wrote:Not liking that W drift near Vermillion Bay.

Not to mention the trof being shallower. Doesn't get picked up for sure in this run. If it is any slower that west trend would be right on the coast.

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:55 pm
by Scott747
Still very slow movement.

Around Lake Charles at hr 78.

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Passing South Of Key West

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:00 pm
by biggerbyte
You and me both txflagwaver. I am not mentally ready for another hurricane.[/quote]

Me either. This brain tumor makes for lots of pain and constant loud ringing in my ears. No power, means hot conditions with no fan at night to mask the ring. No sleep. If we could just get some rain, but keep our power.[/quote]

Hello everyone - want to thank you for your awesome insights.
Biggerbyte- do you have a battery powered fan? Would that help?
And I agree - RAIN with NO NAME is the best! :D[/quote]

No battery powered fan yet. Did not know they existed. Thanks for the heads up.

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:04 pm
by cperk
At hour 90 the high has built back over Isaac.

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:05 pm
by CaliforniaSux
What time is next Euro? Anyone thinking it will verify Gfs solution? I get the feeling gfs is no longer the outlier..

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:06 pm
by biggerbyte
I see some unfamiliar names logged in. Welcome, folks. Don't be shy. Feel free to jump in with any questions you might have. All of us are here to help as much as we can.

BB

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:08 pm
by sambucol
I reposted the corrected 0z GFS runs. Sorry about that. http://forums.khou.com/viewtopic.php?f= ... &start=640

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:09 pm
by rnmm
CaliforniaSux wrote:What time is next Euro? Anyone thinking it will verify Gfs solution? I get the feeling gfs is no longer the outlier..

The EURO will start running at 1 AM CDT

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:10 pm
by sambucol
0z GFS Isaac seems to be just sitting there and not leaving.

96hr
Image


but finally starts to roll outta here at hr 99
Image

Re: Tropical Storm Isaac: Moving Over The SE Gulf Of Mexico

Posted: Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:11 pm
by ticka1
where does GFS show landfall?