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Cool. Thanks Srain!srainhoutx wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:55 amWundermaps on Weather Underground provides personal weather station information that updates "live". It's a helpful tool to monitor wind shifts and temperatures.
Meaning what?
Amen!tireman4 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:23 amI just wanted to say Srain, we miss you round these parts!!!srainhoutx wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 8:51 am Front has passed Brenham and nearing Hempstead at this time.
Too soon to put a lot of stock in individual model swings. We're seeing big differences among even hi-res short-range models that tend to do "better" in these setups. Many more swings are likely going forward; both with the duration and magnitude of cold air, as well as timing and placement of approaching disturbances.
I knew it. Seasonal cold on the way.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:18 am zICON much warmer for South Texas...Sunday has low 40s to upper 30s and Monday highs in the mid 50s.
Thanks for the explanation you would think that by now that most on this board should know not to do that.weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:18 amToo soon to put a lot of stock in individual model swings. We're seeing big differences among even hi-res short-range models that tend to do "better" in these setups. Many more swings are likely going forward; both with the duration and magnitude of cold air, as well as timing and placement of approaching disturbances.
That's typically for models to undersell speed and depth of the cold. FWIW, from my seat the Canadian has had the best track record this winter.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 7:38 amLooks likes it moving a little faster than the models predicted alsoMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 7:31 am Temps busting to the downside.
DFW wasn’t supposed to get below freezing until late this week.
Get ready for the models to overshoot temps.
My bad still learning...cperk wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:52 amThanks for the explanation you would think that by now that most on this board should know not to do that.weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:18 amToo soon to put a lot of stock in individual model swings. We're seeing big differences among even hi-res short-range models that tend to do "better" in these setups. Many more swings are likely going forward; both with the duration and magnitude of cold air, as well as timing and placement of approaching disturbances.
Today had been predicted to be in the mid 70s. lolCpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 8:49 amLook at the temperature in College Station right now and then just look a few miles south of there in Navasota.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 8:29 amLooks like its just a tad north of Austin but ya I could see it getting here 2 days earlier then what theu said on tv about it coming in Thursday
No worries at allKingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:54 amMy bad still learning...cperk wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:52 amThanks for the explanation you would think that by now that most on this board should know not to do that.weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:18 am
Too soon to put a lot of stock in individual model swings. We're seeing big differences among even hi-res short-range models that tend to do "better" in these setups. Many more swings are likely going forward; both with the duration and magnitude of cold air, as well as timing and placement of approaching disturbances.
Great group of weather-loving folks here.Like Blake said The Nam is a good positive modelKHOU BLake wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 11:56 pm I think the NAM will offer up a more realistic idea of what temperatures we may see. Arctic air is tricky and may be colder than models are advertising. Although I do find it strange that the GFS was so cold with "only" a 1047 mb high over the northern plains. Seems lightweight. We've pushed our daytime highs into the low to mid 30s for the weekend and Monday but that may be too bullish. May have to inch them back up.
So right now its looking more ice/sleet then snow right
