August 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Post Reply
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8156
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2026 9:15 am I'm all for anything that brings cloud cover and rain so my electric bill gets a damn break
Amen to that. Our compressor is overworked and unhappy!

And I'm damn tired of running the sprinklers. NOAA and the locals are finally catching up with the forecasts.

lol TWC was calling for flooding this morning - probably for eyeballs and clicks. We could soak up 5-10 inches without a problem in College Station.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8156
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Stormlover2020 wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2026 12:58 pm You got the high to the north which as we know is usually a recipe for a slow mover.
Correct. Park it here. I saved a space!
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8156
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

There's potentially a midlevel roadblock setting up on the Euro and GFS.

Image

Image

Give me multiple days of rain. Damn the torpedoes. 8-)
Attachments
ecmwf_T850a_us_25.png
(118.7 KiB) Not downloaded yet
gfs_T850a_us_12.png
(124.32 KiB) Not downloaded yet
Last edited by DoctorMu on Sun Aug 30, 2026 2:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Rip76
Posts: 2156
Joined: Mon Feb 15, 2010 12:38 am
Location: The Woodlands
Contact:

Question.
Flying to Florida tomorrow for work, and flying back to Houston on Thursday with a 2 hour layover at DFW. Should I cancel that last leg and rent a car? Just trying to figure out where the remnants will be on Thursday.
Stratton20
Posts: 5909
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

DoctorMu yeah that ridge is going to really slow this down once it moves in land, but at the same time that would really magnify the flooding potential in some areas, even with the dry grounds
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1885
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

So how long till we see tropical watches/warnings on the upper Tx coast?
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Stratton20
Posts: 5909
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

If it does become a TS, which i think it will be overnight when that happens, probably would see warnings issued as early as monday afternoon
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8156
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2026 2:08 pm DoctorMu yeah that ridge is going to really slow this down once it moves in land, but at the same time that would really magnify the flooding potential in some areas, even with the dry grounds
lol You have no idea how dry it is in Aggieland, now.

This is still going to be a weak system. It's no Harvey. Bring it. I can deal with a little flash flooding.
Stratton20
Posts: 5909
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Oh no its not going to be harvey, but it reminds me of Imelda, weak but slow moving that dumped some ridiculous totals around se texas. But this time it has more water to develop, and id strongly argue that this is already a TD.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8156
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

NOAA is on board with heavy rains in Localized areas. Sporadic and heterogeneous. The next 24 hours will be telling.

Imelda dropped 40 inches.
Brazoriatx979
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:10 am
Location: Angleton
Contact:

It's already closed off. Should be upgraded at 4
Brazoriatx979
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:10 am
Location: Angleton
Contact:

It's already closed off. Should be upgraded at 4
Scott747
Posts: 1661
Joined: Tue Feb 23, 2010 9:56 am
Location: Freeport/Surfside Beach
Contact:

djmike wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2026 2:21 pm So how long till we see tropical watches/warnings on the upper Tx coast?
Still not particularly looking that impressive but there is probably enough there given it's proximity to land that they could initiate PTC advisories this evening.

I'd guess Cameron to High Island on Tuesday. Might extend down to Galveston...
Stratton20
Posts: 5909
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

If we see convection blow up tonight, the. all bets are off lol. But it definitely has a closed low
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8156
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Sun Aug 30, 2026 4:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Stratton20
Posts: 5909
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Models are catching up, GFS went from no development to now having a weak TS moving into galveston and moving NW at hour 48
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 8156
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

It will probably rain 10 inches in Huntsville and nothing here.
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1885
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

I hope we get 10” in Beaumont!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
vci_guy2003
Posts: 232
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 4:04 am
Contact:

djmike wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2026 5:51 pm I hope we get 10” in Beaumont!
Don’t worry Beaumont always gets blasted!
cperk
Posts: 861
Joined: Sun Aug 19, 2012 12:09 pm
Location: Richmond
Contact:

OK please don't shoot the messenger, but a few minutes ago i heard KHOU's David Paul mention an outside chance of a cat1 hurricane. :(
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 75 guests