Wx Infinity Forums

djmike wrote:Cameron now under a TS Warning.....Next in line, Beaumont, Port Arthur and Sabine Pass!

Betting they'll put us in a watch. I may as well pop a K-cup in the Keuirig.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE
MAUREPAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA
* MORGAN CITY TO SABINE PASS TEXAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO JUST WEST OF SABINE PASS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.

wxman666 wrote:

djmike wrote:Cameron now under a TS Warning.....Next in line, Beaumont, Port Arthur and Sabine Pass!

Betting they'll put us in a watch. I may as well pop a K-cup in the Keuirig.

This is bad...I already laid down to go to bed 2 hours ago, and here I am AGAIN up and on the computer! This is a nail biter!!!!

somebody tell me when i wake up in morning what will i see. im staying up 1 more hour. if i see one more frame with south movement i will say galveston wake up. remember the most southern part of louisiana is about to be passed

Tropical Storm Warning
HURRICANE ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1117 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FOR WEST CAMERON HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED IN
AREA TO INCLUDE BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU AND VERNON PARISHES.

LCH has also expanded the FFW westward as well. Interesting.

wxman666 wrote:LCH has also expanded the FFW westward as well. Interesting.

Wow...they sure did! Anything further west will be in Tx!

take models out: what is your prediction

Channel 13 has bumped chances for rain for Thursday and Friday. Channel two has not budged. Channel 11 Mobile web site says Isaac moved into LA, and have the same rain forecast as channel 2. Okay, what is up with that?

Looks like Isaac is pretty must stationary right now. Maybe, just maybe a slight movement to the North. Hard to tell. Should be able to know within the next 30 minutes. With the eye getting smaller, it could just be playing with my eyes.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes

Tim Heller and company believe we will see increased rain chances on Thursday and Friday as the Southwest flow develops when Isaac heads North of us and we get under a moisture fetch. I think it's gonna be a very close call. It all depends on Isaac at the moment. I specifically remember about a week ago that a few models were forecasting a storm skirting the coast .... makes me wonder if this is actually what is happening.

Edit to add:

LCH has the Beaumont area at a 100% chance for rainfall on Thursday. They paint a wet picture for Extreme SE Texas.

skidog40 wrote:take models out: what is your prediction

I'm thinking it's a coast hugger for now, unless that ridge really weakens like it's "supposed to". Even then....at what point does it weaken and pick Isaac up to the north?

A few things.

Was the ridge already supposed to weaken?

Was Isaac supposed to be stronger,earlier to feel and react to a weakening ridge?

Still West

No Jeff, no Srain, no Wxman57.

Getting rest?

Rip76 wrote:A few things.

Was the ridge already supposed to weaken?

Was Isaac supposed to be stronger,earlier to feel and react to a weakening ridge?

Still West

Exactly.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/mobile/sat_zoom ... _loop.html

Updated, with 3rd cup of Folgers..

I don't think the system is even moving anymore. Stationary or undetectable movement.

Tornado Warning - Downtown Mobile, AL. Moving NW at 50 mph! Dang!

...CENTER OF ISAAC STILL OVER WATER...

AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST...OR ABOUT
60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HOUMA LOUISIANA...AND ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF
NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. ISAAC HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST COUPLE
OF HOURS...BUT A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
LATER THIS MORNING.

Stationary hurricane stuck in the gulf of mexico. Hmmm.