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Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:33 pm
by Rip76
Rip76 wrote:This may not mean tons, but it's something.

Image
The Met on the Weather Channel explained this image.
Explained why it may stay west.

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:34 pm
by wxman666
TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:36 pm
by sau27
wxman666 wrote:TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.
If the ridge is already blocking it to the north what is going to make him go north

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:38 pm
by Belmer
Rip76 wrote:
Rip76 wrote:This may not mean tons, but it's something.

Image
The Met on the Weather Channel explained this image.
Explained why it may stay west.
For those not watching TWC, if you are going to post this, it would be helpful for you to tell us what they said so other members aren't confused by this picture. ;)

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:39 pm
by Alvin Girl
ticka1 wrote:hearing the wsw motion has been maintained for close to an hour now and no signs to north or stopping - is that what ya'll are seeing too?

No GFS runs yet?
Been watching radar for past few hours with hubby, we see movement to the wsw, with a jog to the south in the last few frames :shock:

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:39 pm
by wxman666
sau27 wrote:
wxman666 wrote:TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.
If the ridge is already blocking it to the north what is going to make him go north
Personally, I haven't detected a true N movement for the past several hours. It's all been some variation of west it seems. It will be interesting to see if this trend keeps up.

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:42 pm
by ticka1
wxman666 wrote:TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.
So is it temporary or will the ridge have a weakness in it tomorrow and Isaac will turn north? Honestly nothing this storm does surprises me....

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:43 pm
by wxman666
ticka1 wrote:
wxman666 wrote:TWC just analyzed the wobbly movement. Just as Gene said, northward movement (so far) is blocked by the ridge and is possibly responsible for steering it west.
So is it temporary or will the ridge have a weakness in it tomorrow and Isaac will turn north? Honestly nothing this storm does surprises me....
Same here. Heck if I know. :lol:

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:45 pm
by wxman666
Alvin Girl wrote:
ticka1 wrote:hearing the wsw motion has been maintained for close to an hour now and no signs to north or stopping - is that what ya'll are seeing too?

No GFS runs yet?
Been watching radar for past few hours with hubby, we see movement to the wsw, with a jog to the south in the last few frames :shock:
Watching it now. Very evident. More so than I've seen thus far.

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:46 pm
by Belmer
The 'circle' or 'eye' of Isaac is now completley off land. So I would have to agree there was a slight South to SW motion as of the past hour.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:46 pm
by Andrew
wxman666 wrote:
Alvin Girl wrote:
ticka1 wrote:hearing the wsw motion has been maintained for close to an hour now and no signs to north or stopping - is that what ya'll are seeing too?

No GFS runs yet?
Been watching radar for past few hours with hubby, we see movement to the wsw, with a jog to the south in the last few frames :shock:
Watching it now. Very evident. More so than I've seen thus far.
Could be trying to get back under the heavier convection to the south:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:48 pm
by skidog40
words of advice. no matter what, nature always wins.

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:51 pm
by wxman666
Looks like it's just spinning now...almost stationary. Does anyone else see that?

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:53 pm
by nuby3
wxman666 wrote:Looks like it's just spinning now...almost stationary. Does anyone else see that?

I was just thinking that. Looks nearly stationary and maybe the eye is tightening in just a bit

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:53 pm
by Belmer
Looks like the eye is starting to get smaller.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes

Strengthening?

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:54 pm
by wxman666
NHC changes it to WNW finally.

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:55 pm
by Belmer
NEW ADVISORY:
80mph
WNW 7mph
969mb

So finally a WNW motion from NHC instead of NW.
Pressure went up by one mb.

EDIT TO ADD...

SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CDT...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 90.0W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.61 INCHES

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Tue Aug 28, 2012 11:55 pm
by TXStormjg

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Wed Aug 29, 2012 12:04 am
by wxman666
TS Warning now extends right down to Cameron, LA to our border and the waters offshore east of High Island. The TS Watch continues for Jefferson and Orange counties.

Edit to add: High Island eastward has NOT been upgraded to a warning. Those are the offshore waters.

Re: Hurricane Isaac: TS Watch Extended To E Of High Island

Posted: Wed Aug 29, 2012 12:08 am
by djmike
Cameron now under a TS Warning.....Next in line, Beaumont, Port Arthur and Sabine Pass!