Where was gfs before?
August 2020:
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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Is it a safe bet to say until she gets away from Cuba the models won't get a good grasp of the situation
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YesKingwood36 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:16 pm Is it a safe bet to say until she gets away from Cuba the models won't get a good grasp of the situation
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I must say, I'm very impressed with Laura's continued organization in the face of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and Cuba. The upper-level divergence over the top of Laura is insane.
- srainhoutx
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Ukmet into Matagorda this run.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
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Did this one initialize correctly?
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Looks like a long night of model watching 
Yes it does.
- srainhoutx
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Fairly close...within a margin of error. Landfall at 948mb. That's Major territory.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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The UKMET has also done the best with Laura, so far.srainhoutx wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:30 pmFairly close...within a margin of error. Landfall at 948mb. That's Major territory.
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srainhoutx wrote: ↑Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:30 pmFairly close...within a margin of error. Landfall at 948mb. That's Major territory.
Code: Select all
TROPICAL STORM LAURA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N 75.9W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132020
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.08.2020 0 20.5N 75.9W 1003 40
1200UTC 24.08.2020 12 21.1N 80.0W 1001 39
0000UTC 25.08.2020 24 21.9N 83.4W 996 44
1200UTC 25.08.2020 36 23.1N 86.8W 992 51
0000UTC 26.08.2020 48 24.2N 89.8W 984 55
1200UTC 26.08.2020 60 25.5N 92.8W 968 71
0000UTC 27.08.2020 72 27.2N 95.0W 950 81
1200UTC 27.08.2020 84 29.2N 96.1W 948 64
0000UTC 28.08.2020 96 31.8N 96.3W 967 48
1200UTC 28.08.2020 108 34.7N 95.4W 976 35
0000UTC 29.08.2020 120 36.4N 93.3W 986 28
1200UTC 29.08.2020 132 37.0N 89.3W 978 39
0000UTC 30.08.2020 144 37.3N 82.5W 982 29
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Looks to me for the euro run to verify Laura would need to moving NW right now
Yep. Ukie initialized pretty darn close and comes in near Sargent.
That's gonna mess with the consensus track.
That's gonna mess with the consensus track.
Will this run of the unmet cause the NHC it shift back west in the morning’s update?
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CMC big shift west
Wipe left, wipe right, wipe left...