Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 9:36 pm
It’s kind of like vacations for a lot of people, half of the excitement is in the lead-up!
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February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
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Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 9:37 pm
I won’t bother with the assessment from Ch. 26 lol.
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 9:45 pm
Icon is way colder this run
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:00 pm
How cold do temps look?
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:07 pm
The wind is getting it here in Friendswood currently.
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:10 pm
ICON is true SLR snow, right? Consistent with Blake in that some snow virtually to the coast.
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:12 pm
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:13 pm
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:15 pm
GFS is coming in a good bit colder.
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:17 pm
I’m inclined to go with the Euro’s colder/snowier model given how the GFS has significantly underestimated the temperatures so far as Blake pointed out.
EDIT: Well maybe the Euro and GFS aren’t so far apart after all.
EDIT: Well maybe the Euro and GFS aren’t so far apart after all.
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:35 pm
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:36 pm
Very sharp cutoff south of 10. That blows loltxsnowmaker wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:35 pm https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_16.png
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:38 pm
Better than nothing...Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:36 pmVery sharp cutoff south of 10. That blows loltxsnowmaker wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:35 pm https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_16.png
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:38 pm
Yes but I would gladly take the 3 inches or so it’s showing. If Euro is handling temps better this model could be on the conservative side.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:36 pmVery sharp cutoff south of 10. That blows loltxsnowmaker wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:35 pm https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_16.png
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:41 pm
Hell I'd be happy with 1 inch loltxsnowmaker wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:38 pmYes but I would gladly take the 3 inches or so it’s showing. If Euro is handling temps better this model could be on the conservative side.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:36 pmVery sharp cutoff south of 10. That blows loltxsnowmaker wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:35 pm https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_16.png
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:43 pm
I would too but that would likely mean more of an ice mess. Hoping we might be able to skirt that if Euro is right.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:41 pmHell I'd be happy with 1 inch loltxsnowmaker wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:38 pmYes but I would gladly take the 3 inches or so it’s showing. If Euro is handling temps better this model could be on the conservative side.
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:44 pm
0z Canadian indicating 1-1.5 inches around Houston on Monday.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_18.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_18.png
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:47 pm
0Z GFS and ICON both show temperatures hovering at or below freezing along and north of the 59 corridor next Wednesday which leads to another winter storm.I am concerned that the accumulations of ice/snow could keep temps Tuesday around freezing or below, and we end up getting accumulations on top of accumulation from Wednesdays storm.As the accumulation from Mondays storm may not be able to melt, before Wednesdays storm arrives.
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:49 pm
I don't think a lot of people are fully prepared for how fast temperatures will drop Monday evening. It's possible we could be sitting in the 20s or even upper 10s by 1-2pm on Monday. Pretty amazing.
Re: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Winter Wx Likely
Posted: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:50 pm
I'm guessing to far out for the finer details to know if that would extend to the coast as the monster system on Monday looks like it willdon wrote: ↑Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:47 pm 0Z GFS and ICON both show temperatures hovering at or below freezing along and north of the 59 corridor next Wednesday which leads to another winter storm.I am concerned that the accumulations of ice/snow could keep temps Tuesday around freezing or below, and we end up getting accumulations on top of accumulation from Wednesdays storm.As the accumulation from Mondays storm may not be able to melt, before Wednesdays storm arrives.