February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

[txsnowmaker]

It’s kind of like vacations for a lot of people, half of the excitement is in the lead-up!

[txsnowmaker]

I won’t bother with the assessment from Ch. 26 lol.

[Stormlover2020]

Icon is way colder this run

[txsnowmaker]

Icon is way colder this run

How cold do temps look?

[Rip76]

The wind is getting it here in Friendswood currently.

[DoctorMu]

Icon is way colder this run

ICON is true SLR snow, right? Consistent with Blake in that some snow virtually to the coast.

[txsnowmaker]

Icon is way colder this run

ICON is true SLR snow, right? Consistent with Blake in that some snow virtually to the coast.

Don’t know if it’s true SLR but yes, this would be consistent with Blake’s thoughts today.

[txsnowmaker]

https://mobile.twitter.com/DavidPaulKHO ... 0139599874

[Andrew]

GFS is coming in a good bit colder.

[txsnowmaker]

I’m inclined to go with the Euro’s colder/snowier model given how the GFS has significantly underestimated the temperatures so far as Blake pointed out.

EDIT: Well maybe the Euro and GFS aren’t so far apart after all.

[txsnowmaker]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_16.png

[Cpv17]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_16.png

Very sharp cutoff south of 10. That blows lol

[Kingwood36]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_16.png

Very sharp cutoff south of 10. That blows lol

Better than nothing...

[txsnowmaker]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_16.png

Very sharp cutoff south of 10. That blows lol

Yes but I would gladly take the 3 inches or so it’s showing. If Euro is handling temps better this model could be on the conservative side.

[Kingwood36]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_16.png

Very sharp cutoff south of 10. That blows lol

Yes but I would gladly take the 3 inches or so it’s showing. If Euro is handling temps better this model could be on the conservative side.

Hell I'd be happy with 1 inch lol

[txsnowmaker]

Very sharp cutoff south of 10. That blows lol

Yes but I would gladly take the 3 inches or so it’s showing. If Euro is handling temps better this model could be on the conservative side.

Hell I'd be happy with 1 inch lol

I would too but that would likely mean more of an ice mess. Hoping we might be able to skirt that if Euro is right.

[txsnowmaker]

0z Canadian indicating 1-1.5 inches around Houston on Monday.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... _us_18.png

[don]

0Z GFS and ICON both show temperatures hovering at or below freezing along and north of the 59 corridor next Wednesday which leads to another winter storm.I am concerned that the accumulations of ice/snow could keep temps Tuesday around freezing or below, and we end up getting accumulations on top of accumulation from Wednesdays storm.As the accumulation from Mondays storm may not be able to melt, before Wednesdays storm arrives.

[Andrew]

I don't think a lot of people are fully prepared for how fast temperatures will drop Monday evening. It's possible we could be sitting in the 20s or even upper 10s by 1-2pm on Monday. Pretty amazing.

[Kingwood36]

0Z GFS and ICON both show temperatures hovering at or below freezing along and north of the 59 corridor next Wednesday which leads to another winter storm.I am concerned that the accumulations of ice/snow could keep temps Tuesday around freezing or below, and we end up getting accumulations on top of accumulation from Wednesdays storm.As the accumulation from Mondays storm may not be able to melt, before Wednesdays storm arrives.

I'm guessing to far out for the finer details to know if that would extend to the coast as the monster system on Monday looks like it will