Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed May 26, 2021 1:11 pm
Cpv12 that tropical storm disappeared in the 12 z GFS rub, I wouldnt pay any attention to it unless its inside of 7-8 days
In situations like that I don’t really pay much attention to it unless it has ensemble support. The problem with the GFS is that it’s bad with genesis. Often times it’ll sniff something out in the long range and then drop it completely and then not pick back up on it till a depression or a ts has formed. Think back to last year and how many times it did that. Hanna was a good example.
Cpc17 that definitely is true, we had a few surprise storms that the models only picked up on after they became a depression, wouldnt be too shocked if we see something like that happen in the tropics again, just hopefully not on our doorstep haha
Seems like Computer models are saying we will get a front( although a weak one) to push all the way into the gulf, while no models show any tropical development atm we all know that stalled fronts in the gulf always bear watching for any sort of weak low pressure area to develope, especially since sea surface temps are starting to warm up especially in the Northern Gulf
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed May 26, 2021 10:39 pm
Seems like Computer models are saying we will get a front( although a weak one) to push all the way into the gulf, while no models show any tropical development atm we all know that stalled fronts in the gulf always bear watching for any sort of weak low pressure area to develope, especially since sea surface temps are starting to warm up especially in the Northern Gulf
The front is now progged to cruise past CLL to the coast. Low to mid 80s highs for a week after Friday.
Fronts have consistently over-performed since February. Lots of late season school snaps here and late season snow in Denver, etc. When everything buckled with snowmageddon we’ve consistently had cold shots down the front range. I’ve seen this pattern lock in years past.
It’s like we’re a month behind all spring.
I’ll gladly take another cool shot while we can and an extra bonus would be to dry out some if it can clear the coast.
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu May 27, 2021 2:14 am
doctormu haha well it is late may after all, might as well stop calling cold fronts “ cold fronts” and just call them fronts that dont do much
jasons2k wrote: ↑Thu May 27, 2021 8:05 am
Fronts have consistently over-performed since February. Lots of late season school snaps here and late season snow in Denver, etc. When everything buckled with snowmageddon we’ve consistently had cold shots down the front range. I’ve seen this pattern lock in years past.
It’s like we’re a month behind all spring.
I’ll gladly take another cool shot while we can and an extra bonus would be to dry out some if it can clear the coast.
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu May 27, 2021 12:05 pm
Enjoy it while it lasts yall as this is more than likely the last front we see for the next 4-5 months haha
Over the past 3 years, we've seen fronts in June, July, or August. Certainly unusual...but this is an unusual year so far.
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu May 27, 2021 12:05 pm
Enjoy it while it lasts yall as this is more than likely the last front we see for the next 4-5 months haha
Over the past 3 years, we've seen fronts in June, July, or August. Certainly unusual...but this is an unusual year so far.
Yeah that’s true! I actually remember those fronts. Didn’t make a huge difference but I remember seeing the water a lot clearer along the coast due to the north winds and there was a slight drop in humidity.
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu May 27, 2021 12:05 pm
Enjoy it while it lasts yall as this is more than likely the last front we see for the next 4-5 months haha
Over the past 3 years, we've seen fronts in June, July, or August. Certainly unusual...but this is an unusual year so far.
Yeah that’s true! I actually remember those fronts. Didn’t make a huge difference but I remember seeing the water a lot clearer along the coast due to the north winds and there was a slight drop in humidity.
Mainly a drop in humidity although the early July front dipped temps....and the August front killed off the 100s.
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu May 27, 2021 2:19 pm
Northern Gulf Sea temps have risen quite fast, that 26 celcius line (80 degrees) has reached all the way up to galveston bay