May 2021:
My grand total was 11.85”.
Just about 2 inches here. Enjoying the green in the Brazos Valley...
...while it lasts!
...while it lasts!
I just looked at the 12z GFS and we could be dealing with a lot more of what we just saw over the coming weeks. And Tuesdays system could give the east side of Houston a lot of rain that this weekends system didn’t provide.
I’m seeing some slight changes in the CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts. It does look like we will be going towards a wetter pattern which is definitely a change from the past few weeks as the CPC has consistently had us in the below normal precipitation area for quite awhile. We could be caught in between two blocking highs, one over the 4 corners area and one over the SE by looking at these maps.
Feels like swamp *** outside.
Could be an interesting forecast coming up in the 8 to 14 day period.
Hearing reports of a pretty significant tornado headed towards Dallas right now. Large tornado on the ground near Rio Vista, TX.
really blew up across Southern Plains
https://twitter.com/NWStornado
https://twitter.com/NWSSevereTstorm
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... §or=sp
https://twitter.com/NWStornado
https://twitter.com/NWSSevereTstorm
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... §or=sp
That stuff up towards Dallas is nasty.
What is with the weather pattern where this really bad stuff is hitting the hill country every few days at the same time at night? Nothing seems to show up earlier in the day.
Local met future cast storms majority look to be all north. Figures. I only got .23” over the weekend. Then Tuesdays storms look promising till on cue, I see percentages slowly diminish on NWS for Beaumont. Was 90 and now 60%. Once again not holding my breath.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Dixie Alley set to do its thing again today. :-/
HRRR model is nasty for Harris County around lunchtime. Has a supercell right over Houston.
I wouldn’t sweat it. It’s almost impossible to maintain a drought over in the Golden Triangle. The summer time storms will start soon enough.djmike wrote: ↑Tue May 04, 2021 5:35 am Local met future cast storms majority look to be all north. Figures. I only got .23” over the weekend. Then Tuesdays storms look promising till on cue, I see percentages slowly diminish on NWS for Beaumont. Was 90 and now 60%. Once again not holding my breath.
Yep the HRRR is showing a potent storm this afternoon. SPC has just issued a Severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Texas.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 142
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
810 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East/Southeast Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 810 AM until
100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage
and intensity across portions of East/Southeast Texas through the
morning, with severe hail and isolated damaging winds as the primary
hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles southwest of
College Station TX to 65 miles north northeast of Port Arthur TX.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 142
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
810 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East/Southeast Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 810 AM until
100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage
and intensity across portions of East/Southeast Texas through the
morning, with severe hail and isolated damaging winds as the primary
hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles southwest of
College Station TX to 65 miles north northeast of Port Arthur TX.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
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Yeah that was my thought as well...seemed like classic dryline set up. Now, I'm not sure how typical that feature is for as far south as San Antonio, but it's the common trigger (outside of fronts) from Central Texas and on north and west.
Looking out west, it’s gonna be close at this location. The current supercell might safely pass to the north.
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