Classic ice storm on the HRRR for my location.
February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
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TXWeatherMan
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Any chance this system has sleet in it or is it looking like all freezing rain?
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TXWeatherMan
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Not really. That's a very stout warm nose and the freezing layer is very shallow.TXWeatherMan wrote: ↑Tue Feb 16, 2021 12:23 pm Any chance this system has sleet in it or is it looking like all freezing rain?
I hope that mess passes us up...GOAWAY...
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I want single digits and teens and a foot of snow for a few weeks if I’m being completely honest lolMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Feb 16, 2021 12:57 pmThat’s a hell of a warm nose. Very distinct.
I know some of y’all are tired of this, but I could go for another two weeks before I turn the thermostat back over.
That’s what trips to the mountains and places like Montana are for.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 16, 2021 1:31 pmI want single digits and teens and a foot of snow for a few weeks if I’m being completely honest lolMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Feb 16, 2021 12:57 pmThat’s a hell of a warm nose. Very distinct.
I know some of y’all are tired of this, but I could go for another two weeks before I turn the thermostat back over.
That’s very true but it’s just not the same as experiencing it at your own place.jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Feb 16, 2021 1:40 pmThat’s what trips to the mountains and places like Montana are for.Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 16, 2021 1:31 pmI want single digits and teens and a foot of snow for a few weeks if I’m being completely honest lolMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Tue Feb 16, 2021 12:57 pm
That’s a hell of a warm nose. Very distinct.
I know some of y’all are tired of this, but I could go for another two weeks before I turn the thermostat back over.
Well I just went outside to shut the water back on and my backflow is cracked, right above the shutoff valve, even though I drained it. The bonnet is intact. I think some water must have gotten trapped in the ball valve itself and when it froze it cracked the brass. The good news is because of the location of the crack, it's not leaking more than a tiny drip, so at least I can run water again. But when it warms up now I have to buy another backflow and install it.
This cold snap officially sucks now. It's been an exhausting few days and now I have beds and beds of dead plants to dig up. It all adds up in the wallet too. I'm so over it already.
This cold snap officially sucks now. It's been an exhausting few days and now I have beds and beds of dead plants to dig up. It all adds up in the wallet too. I'm so over it already.
No surprise to me. We have albedo from the Dakotas to near the Gulf Coast.don wrote: ↑Tue Feb 16, 2021 9:58 am I was afraid models were underestimating the staying power of arctic air Wxman57 mentioned also that this was a real possibility.12z mesoscale models are all coming in more aggressive and colder due to the coastal low being further offshore.Another thing is that a lot of objects and plants/trees outside are super cooled due to being well below freezing for more than 24+ hours now which could cause ice accretion to be more efficient than normally around here.
These rolling blackouts are getting old. Fortunately we escaped last night and a low of 5°F without pipes (in the attic) freezing. But with freezing rain on the way. Most of the roads are barely drivable...especially with more machismo Aggie idiots on the road trying to POWER THROUGH snow in their truck. Folks, you can't power through snow and ice. You almost have to glide with virtually no acceleration and gentle braking - not date r*ping these conditions!
With the major ice storm back in the late 90s I was about the only person on the road and could manage quite easily. Snow and ice are common back in the old North State (NC) where I grew up.
Anyway, the rolling blackouts will probably continue. Home natural gas heating, cold, and offline power plants that run on gas were competing for slow flow of natural gas. Winter is the offseason for the plants, undergoing maintenance to prepare for those 100°F summers.
In the summer, things will be flipped. Chicago and Minneapolis will struggle through heat waves, while we cruise through 100°F day after 100°F day.
Nice powdery snow. Our Labrador retriever is in her element!
These power outages have proven deadly. People dying due to house fires, carbon monoxide poisoning, people not securing their doors well enough and letting the cold air in.
A little blue painter’s tape on the door seams goes a long way...
We have a busted pipe outside.
My goodness, I would absolutely love to have rolling blackouts. We're getting an hour of power, about twice a day. Others have it far worse.
21 hours and counting of no power or water here. It is absolute bullshit already.
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Kingwood36
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